UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz Beat Down - MMA DFS Preview
NOTE: Please read the analysis, it is far more important than who I simply pick to win. I’ve also added confidence levels to give you an extra idea of where my head is at. This relates to the pick itself, not the method of victory.
Curtis Blaydes vs. Junior Dos Santos
Fight Odds: Blaydes -240, Dos Santos +200
Odds to finish: -410
Salaries: Blaydes 9k, Dos Santos 7.2k
Weight Class: HW
Still considered to be one of the best Heavyweight prospects in the sport, Curtis Blaydes has mostly dominated his regional and UFC competition, with the exception of his two bouts against Francis Ngannou.
Blaydes lost the first fight to Ngannou via TKO doctor’s stoppage, but the two rematched in 2018 and Ngannou knocked him out in just 45 seconds. Since that point, Blaydes has won two more fights, defeating Justin Willis by decision and most recently stopping Shamil Abdurakhimov in the second round by strikes.
He’ll get a Main Event stoplight this Saturday against the legend Junior Dos Santos, and it’s another opportunity for Blaydes to push himself back toward title contention.
Dos Santos is arguably a shell of his former self, but he’s still won the majority of his recent matchups, having only lost to Ngannou, Miocic and Overeem since 2014. In 2018-19 Dos Santos went on a string of three consecutive victories, defeating Blagoy Ivanov by decision, and both Tai Tuivasa and Derrick Lewis by TKO.
Even though he’s declining athletically, Dos Santos is still very skillful and arguably poses a decent style test for the wrestler Blaydes. Dos Santos has defended takedowns at an impressive 80 percent throughout his career, and has held a black belt in jiu-jitsu for quite some time.
To take it a step further, Dos Santos has really never been dominated on the mat, the only exception came against Cain Velasquez in 2012, when Velasquez landed 11 takedowns in five rounds but only advanced position three times.
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