Sports prop betting is now legal in many states, and the rankings and projections shown here may serve as another data set for your use in constructing a consensus opinion on which lines may be exploitable.
RotoGrinders Fantasy Football Projections are designed to help you make more informed betting decisions, and we will take pride in ensuring our data is achieving that goal.
We use data from our providers (such as Sports Info Solutions Inc. and SportRadar) to generate baseline expectations for each week of the NFL season. We project the weeks individually to capture the specific scenario as closely as possible. We also leverage the time test betting market expectations to set the parameters of the game environment. The foundation set with this data helps us deliver an accurate forecast at the team level.
Once the expectations are set for the team, the process pivots to the player level where we assign the projected usage rates of rushing, receiving, and scoring across all the fantasy positions. This is where we introduce information outside the world of data to help inform our projections, without being dismissive of relevant past season usage stats that may be applicable to the upcoming season. Snap counts, air yards, deep passing, pressure rates, target share, red zone usage, and situational workload splits are just some of the data points used to inform our decisions on player usage.
The resulting outputs are displayed above, with rankings based solely on the fantasy stats that come from the projections model. We rank for points per reception (PPR), half-point per receptions (.5PPR), and the DraftKings best ball format featuring player bonuses. We also rank for the full 18 week season, the Week 1 through 17 season used by many leagues, the week 1 through 14 regular season used commonly in best ball, and the week 15 through 17 playoff weeks also used commonly across many leagues.
These projections will be available to all through August 12th, 2021. RotoGrinders premium members will be able to access fantasy projections throughout the entire NFL preseason. They will also have access to the preseason DFS projections and the LineupHQ optimizer for all preseason games.
You may have come for season long fantasy information or betting guidance but you should absolutely stay for our non-stop coverage of the each week of the NFL season with premium DFS projections, rankings, and tools. You can sign up for access to these great tools here.