Weather Ratings - Week 1

Weather is one of the most underrated aspects of football analysis. High winds can seriously hamper a passing game, while playing with no wind or in a dome provides a huge boost. Weather is a big component of THE BLITZ during the regular season, and it seems even more important during the pre-season, which is riddled with uncertainty. While we’re making educated guesses about playing time and have a tough time gauging the exact quality of backup players, weather is one factor we can assess with 100% certainty. In a game with so many unknown factors, knowing one absolute is a big deal. To capitalize on this, each week I’ll provide a rating for each game’s weather conditions.

WEEK HOME TEAM AWAY TEAM VENUE FORECAST TEMPERATURE WIND SPEED PASS GRADE RUN GRADE
1 Arizona Cardinals Los Angeles Chargers University of Phoenix Stadium Dome Dome 0 A B
1 Kansas City Chiefs Houston Texans Arrowhead Stadium Clear 86 3 A F
1 Seattle Seahawks Indianapolis Colts CenturyLink Field Clear 88 6 B D
1 Baltimore Ravens Los Angeles Rams M&T Bank Stadium Clear 87 5 B D
1 Green Bay Packers Tennessee Titans Lambeau Field Clear 79 5 B D
1 Miami Dolphins Tampa Bay Buccaneers Hard Rock Stadium Clear 86 8 C C
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About the Author

DerekCarty
Derek Carty (DerekCarty)

Derek Carty is the creator of THE BAT X (for MLB) and THE BLITZ (for NFL) projection systems, widely considered the gold standard for projections and the driving force behind multiple Milly Maker winners. You may also know him from ESPN.com, from his time on Baseball Tonight and SportsCenter, or from his early career managing the fantasy sections for Baseball Prospectus and The Hardball Times. While perhaps best known for DFS, he also has an elite track record in both sports betting (career ~13% ROI on thousands of publicly-tracked bets as of the end of the 2023-24 NFL season) and season-long fantasy expert leagues (11 titles while placing in the top 3 in roughly half of all leagues). On the sports betting side, you may recognize his work from EV Analytics, ScoresAndOdds, Covers, and Unabated. For season-long fantasy, THE BAT X is prominently featured at FanGraphs. While known mostly for his analytical skills, he’s also proud to be the only active fantasy or betting analyst to have graduated from MLB’s exclusive Scout School. Follow Carty on Twitter – @DerekCarty