How Do You Measure Player Volatility?

There are two ways to measure volatility: standard deviation and coefficient of variation (CV).

Standard Deviation

Since daily fantasy shares many similarities with investing, here is how Investopedia defines standard deviation:

A measure of the dispersion of a set of data from its mean. The more spread apart the data, the higher the deviation.

To illustrate, let’s do an example. Drew Brees averaged 20.0 FanDuel points per game in 2014, and Ben Roethlisberger averaged 19.7. Below I’ve listed their highest scores (FanDuel scoring) in order from 1-16, their average score, and the standard deviation.

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About the Author

chrisraybon
Chris Raybon (chrisraybon)

One of the most well respected DFS analysts in the industry. Chris Raybon (@Chris Raybon) is the Senior DFS Editor for 4for4.com and the host of the DFS MVP Podcast. Nominated for the FWSA‘s Newcomer of the Year award in 2015, Raybon is known for his DFS Playbook positional strategy guides as well as his groundbreaking work on stacking with running backs in DFS tournaments. A Syracuse University alum who specialized in accounting, Raybon believes in the synergy of quantitative and qualitative analysis. He started playing fantasy as a kid in the mid-90s and has seen every single play of every single NFL game since 2010.