Key Inputs in an NBA Projections System

The old adage, “you get out what you put into it,” applies to most things in life and that includes a daily fantasy basketball projections model. Your projections are only going to be as good as the inputs that create them. This lesson will not walk you through how to create a projections model (would take too long to go through all of the intricacies in Excel), but rather which inputs I deem most important in my model. If you have a decent amount of knowledge in Excel, you can create your own set of projections that you can customize to your liking.

First, we will go through each of my inputs and how much weight they have in my NBA model. The best part is that all of these inputs have been talked about in the lessons in this Blueprint Volume 2 course. After that, I will give my thoughts on using projection models as a whole and where they have their shortcomings.

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About the Author

Notorious
Derek Farnsworth (Notorious)

Derek Farnsworth (aka Notorious) is a lead RotoGrinders Expert and one of the most recognizable names and faces in all of DFS. Before joining the RotoGrinders team, Derek received a Master’s Degree from the University of Utah. When he’s not busy providing content, he’s dominating the DFS industry as evidenced by his consistent top rankings in several sports and multiple Live Final appearances. Noto provides expert NBA, NFL, MLB, and PGA analysis for RotoGrinders Premium members on a daily basis and has also been nominated for five different Fantasy Sports Writer’s Association (FSWA) awards. Follow Noto on Twitter – @RG_Notorious