Turnover-Adjusted Usage Rate
As you can see from above, a player’s usage rate is determined by both his minutes and by his team’s pace. Therefore, a player that plays five minutes per game can have just as high of a usage rate as a player that plays 40 minutes per game. This is important to keep in mind, because it measures the percentage of possessions a player uses while he is ON THE FLOOR, not the overall percentage of possessions used in the game. This brings us back to the previous lesson and the importance of minutes.
Usage rate is one of the most commonly used statistics in daily fantasy basketball, but often we put our faith into a statistic without giving any thought to what it actually consists of. While I agree that a player’s usage rate carries a lot of value in predicting fantasy production, it is flawed for our fantasy purposes. When you look at the formula above, can you spot the flaw?
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