Why Player Volatility Matters and How It Should Affect Your Strategy Depending on Game Type

What Is Volatility?

A player’s volatility refers to the degree of week-to-week fluctuation in a player’s fantasy output.

Why Volatility Matters in Daily Fantasy

When it comes to weekly fantasy scoring, certain players have higher highs and lower lows than others. In cash games, you want to avoid players with lower lows in order to keep your lineup’s floor high. In tournaments, you want to expose yourself to the players with higher highs in an effort to maximize your ceiling.

How Player Volatility Should Affect Your Strategy Depending on Game Type

You need to roster players that offer consistent, predictable production in cash games — you need to maximize your floor just enough to finish better than roughly half of the field. You want to use your salary cap dollars to minimize risk in cash games.

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About the Author

chrisraybon
Chris Raybon (chrisraybon)

One of the most well respected DFS analysts in the industry. Chris Raybon (@Chris Raybon) is the Senior DFS Editor for 4for4.com and the host of the DFS MVP Podcast. Nominated for the FWSA‘s Newcomer of the Year award in 2015, Raybon is known for his DFS Playbook positional strategy guides as well as his groundbreaking work on stacking with running backs in DFS tournaments. A Syracuse University alum who specialized in accounting, Raybon believes in the synergy of quantitative and qualitative analysis. He started playing fantasy as a kid in the mid-90s and has seen every single play of every single NFL game since 2010.