Daily Strikeout Predictor
by
System Last Updated
2014-08-09 15:37:45 The Daily Pitcher Hub K-Predictor takes Pitcher K-rates in a number of crucial splits and weights that against their opponent’s K% differential against the league average. This leads to a projected K/9 rate. Beyond that, we look at an actual strikeout projection by applying that to the pitcher’s innings pitched per game.
DAILY STRIKEOUT PREDICTOR FAQ
| Pitcher K/9 Splits | Opp. K% Splits 1 |
1 – K% Splits based on differential against league average.
Saturday, August 9th
| Pitcher | Opp | IP/G | K/9-S | K/9-L14 | K/9-HA | Avg | K%-S | K%-7 | K%-LR | Avg | K/9-Proj | K-Proj |
| Corey Kluber | NYY | 6.88 | 9.62 | 8.88 | 9.50 | 9.33 | -9.7% | -19.0% | -11.1% | -13.3% | 8.10 | 6.19 |
| Brandon McCarthy | CLE | 6.09 | 7.78 | 8.15 | 8.30 | 8.08 | -7.2% | -18.0% | -4.7% | -10.0% | 7.27 | 4.92 |
| Max Scherzer | TOR | 6.65 | 10.06 | 9.00 | 10.39 | 9.82 | -9.7% | -3.7% | -11.6% | -8.3% | 9.00 | 6.65 |
| Marcus Stroman | DET | 4.54 | 7.91 | 8.47 | 7.94 | 8.11 | -8.2% | 2.4% | -8.2% | -4.7% | 7.73 | 3.90 |
| Jake Odorizzi | CHC | 5.28 | 10.03 | 5.40 | 9.82 | 8.42 | 11.5% | -0.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.96 | 5.26 |
| Edwin Jackson | TBR | 5.44 | 8.16 | 8.40 | 8.80 | 8.45 | -11.6% | -25.6% | -15.1% | -17.4% | 6.98 | 4.22 |
| John Lackey | BAL | 6.55 | 7.48 | 5.14 | 6.01 | 6.21 | 0.2% | 15.7% | 1.2% | 5.7% | 6.56 | 4.78 |
| Ubaldo Jimenez | STL | 5.51 | 7.95 | | 6.88 | 7.42 | -8.2% | -29.7% | -10.6% | -16.2% | 6.22 | 3.81 |
| Eric Stults | PIT | 5.28 | 5.71 | 5.84 | 5.92 | 5.82 | -0.8% | 15.7% | 1.2% | 5.4% | 6.14 | 3.60 |
| Francisco Liriano | SDP | 5.32 | 9.77 | 11.77 | 8.72 | 10.09 | 9.1% | -13.4% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 10.08 | 5.96 |
| Dillon Gee | PHI | 6.31 | 6.48 | 7.27 | 8.48 | 7.41 | 3.7% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.89 | 5.53 |
| Cole Hamels | NYM | 6.86 | 9.11 | 9.39 | 9.34 | 9.28 | 5.1% | 5.0% | 21.4% | 10.5% | 10.26 | 7.81 |
| Yu Darvish | HOU | 6.67 | 11.22 | 10.29 | 11.46 | 10.99 | 15.5% | -4.2% | 15.5% | 8.9% | 11.97 | 8.87 |
| Scott Feldman | TEX | 5.86 | 4.90 | 2.95 | 4.26 | 4.04 | -4.2% | 10.1% | -5.2% | 0.2% | 4.04 | 2.63 |
| Zack Greinke | MIL | 6.35 | 9.72 | 11.45 | 8.24 | 9.80 | 0.7% | 9.0% | -2.7% | 2.3% | 10.03 | 7.08 |
| Mike Fiers | LAD | | | | | | -0.8% | 11.1% | -0.8% | 3.2% | | |
| Tanner Roark | ATL | 6.41 | 6.77 | 7.08 | 7.62 | 7.16 | 9.6% | 16.7% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 7.96 | 5.67 |
| Aaron Harang | WAS | 6.18 | 6.96 | 5.21 | 8.35 | 6.84 | 3.7% | -4.7% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 6.93 | 4.76 |
| Brad Penny | CIN | | | | | | 3.2% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 4.6% | | |
| Alfredo Simon | MIA | 6.27 | 5.54 | 3.31 | 4.69 | 4.51 | 15.0% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 18.9% | 5.37 | 3.74 |
| Tim Hudson | KCR | 6.55 | 5.67 | 5.00 | 5.27 | 5.31 | -21.5% | -21.0% | -23.0% | -21.8% | 4.15 | 3.02 |
| James Shields | SFG | 6.55 | 7.26 | 4.50 | 7.01 | 6.26 | 3.7% | -3.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 6.34 | 4.61 |
| Jorge De La Rosa | ARI | 5.57 | 6.92 | 9.24 | 6.96 | 7.71 | -5.7% | 7.0% | -9.7% | -2.8% | 7.49 | 4.64 |
| Trevor Cahill | COL | 2.74 | 8.53 | 6.92 | 8.27 | 7.91 | -1.3% | 12.6% | -0.3% | 3.7% | 8.20 | 2.50 |
| Clay Buchholz | LAA | 5.62 | 6.64 | 8.10 | 7.08 | 7.27 | 0.2% | 14.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.76 | 4.85 |
| Garrett Richards | BOS | 6.66 | 8.92 | 7.36 | 8.00 | 8.09 | 2.7% | -2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 8.15 | 6.03 |
| Trevor May | OAK | | | | | | -13.6% | 4.4% | -14.1% | -7.8% | | |
| Jeff Samardzija | MIN | 6.57 | 7.89 | 6.65 | 7.56 | 7.37 | 5.6% | -6.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 7.49 | 5.47 |
| Hector Noesi | SEA | 4.75 | 6.63 | 5.23 | 6.44 | 6.10 | 4.1% | -1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 6.20 | 3.27 |
| James Paxton | CWS | 5.37 | 9.92 | 10.38 | | 10.15 | 9.1% | -14.9% | 9.6% | 1.3% | 10.28 | 6.13 |
