| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-25 | @ SD | -- | -- | 0.95 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ LAD | $6.4K | $6K | -1.6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6.75 | 1 |
| 2020-08-02 | vs. TEX | $6.5K | $7.2K | -0.05 | 5 | 1 | 5.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.41 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1.59 | 1 |
| 2020-07-28 | vs. SD | $6.5K | $8.1K | -2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.25 | 0 |
| 2019-09-25 | vs. COL | $7.5K | $7.1K | 19.9 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7.5 | 0 |
| 2019-09-18 | @ BOS | $6.5K | $6.3K | 15.9 | 31 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 2019-09-12 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 4.85 | 13 | 2 | 6.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.42 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2.84 | 1 |
| 2019-09-06 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 14.5 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2019-09-01 | vs. SD | -- | -- | -2 | 4 | 2 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3.38 | 3 |
| 2019-08-27 | vs. ARI | -- | -- | 11.65 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.4 | 0 |
| 2019-08-22 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 19.95 | 34 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5.14 | 0 |
| 2019-08-16 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 11.8 | 22 | 4 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 |
| 2019-08-10 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 28.8 | 46 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5.63 | 0 |
| 2019-08-05 | vs. WSH | -- | -- | 9.4 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.75 | 0 |
| 2019-07-31 | @ PHI | -- | -- | 25.1 | 43 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7.5 | 0 |
| 2019-07-26 | @ SD | -- | -- | 19.3 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.17 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 2019-07-20 | vs. NYM | -- | -- | 13.05 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12.6 | 0 |
| 2019-07-07 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 20.75 | 37 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.57 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2.57 | 1 |
| 2019-07-01 | @ SD | -- | -- | 25.8 | 46 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6.75 | 2 |
| 2019-06-26 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 10.25 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10.8 | 0 |
| 2019-06-21 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 10.9 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 2019-06-16 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 6.05 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 2 |
| 2019-06-08 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 10 | 22 | 5 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.69 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8.44 | 4 |
| 2019-06-02 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 25.7 | 43 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| 2019-05-28 | @ MIA | -- | -- | 1.6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 1 |
| 2019-05-22 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 23.3 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10.5 | 0 |
| 2019-05-17 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 1.2 | 7 | 0 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-05-11 | vs. CIN | -- | -- | 8.2 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11.25 | 0 |
| 2019-05-05 | @ CIN | -- | -- | 8.25 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7.2 | 0 |
| 2019-04-29 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 11.45 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1.8 | 0 |
| 2019-04-23 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 16.4 | 28 | 4 | 5.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.75 | 1 |
| 2019-04-17 | @ WSH | -- | -- | 13.05 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12.6 | 0 |
| 2019-04-11 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 31.35 | 52 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.57 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-04-06 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 8.3 | 17 | 4 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7.73 | 1 |
| 2019-03-31 | @ SD | -- | -- | 11.05 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.6 | 1 |
Jeff Samardzija Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Joc Pederson has a 423 wRC+ with five HRs over the last week
Jeff Samardzija has a 3.61 ERA that’s well below estimators due to a .244 BABIP. He’s generated just 36.3% ground balls with an 89 mph aEV, which has resulted in 8.4% Barrels/BBE. This may play well enough in San Francisco, but it’s unlikely to lead him towards success on the road against the Dodgers (116 wRC+, 10.4 K-BB%, 18.1 HR/FB vs RHP). Samardzija has not yet had the displeasure of facing the Dodgers on the road this season, but his issues with LHBs (.329 wOBA, .344 xwOBA) has to oddsmakers gracing the home team with the third highest implied run line on the board (5.45) currently. The projected lineup for the Dodgers shows five LHBs and aside from Gavin Lux, each of the other four are above a 115 wRC+ and .220 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year. Joc Pederson (137 wRC+, .330 ISO) has been pure fire over the last week (423 wRC+, five HRs), which Cody Bellinger (170 wRC+, .342 ISO) has been doing all year. Corey Seager (136 wRC+, .232 ISO) and Matt Beaty (136 wRC+, .232 ISO) cost less than $4K on either site.
Seven Of The Last Ten Starts
I don't like the price for Samardzija on DraftKings, but I do like the price on FanDuel. On FanDuel, I won't be paying down much, but I do think he's a good tournament option. He has a quality start in seven of the last ten games. Shark has a 49.2% fly ball rate with a 40.8% hard-hit rate against left-handed hitters this season. I worry about the lefties in this lineup, but I'm hoping the ballpark can help him post another quality start tonight.
Jeff Samardzija has struck out 27 of 91 batters since the break
On a board without much on the high end and many mid-range pitchers either struggling or more contact managers in potentially difficult spots, it’s tough to find really anyone who stands out on the mound tonight. In that case, Jeff Samardzija may be your man. The most obvious factor in his favor is his home park, a negative run environment that crushes LHP, something the Nationals don’t have much of anyway. This is partially the reason they also have just a 94 wRC+ vs RHP this year. Samardzija has struck out 27 of 91 batters since the All-Star break, allowing just seven runs over 23.2 innings, three of his four starts on the road, including one at Coors. His 3.75 ERA is a bit below estimators in the mid-fours this season, but a .317 xwOBA is right around average. Over the last month, those estimators are right around four. With the park bump, a cost below $9K should have some value if he can hold recent gains.
LHBs have a 21.9 GB% and 46.7 Hard% against Jeff Samardzija over the last 12 months
A big park in San Francisco has been able to hide some of Jeff Samardzija’s flaws, but his 5.50 DRA is two runs above his 3.51 ERA (.239 BABIP, 80.7 LOB%). His 89.1 mph aEV may be more of an issue outside in a more neutral environment like Arizona. His 34.1 Hard-Soft% is worst on the board, while he’s had some serious problems with LHBs over the last calendar year (.340 xwOBA, 46.7 Hard%, 21.9 GB%). That’s nearly 80% of his contact in the air as either a line drive or fly ball with nearly half of it of the hard hit variety. Those are some pretty enticing numbers against a guy with a single digit SwStr rate (9.2%) this year. While the Arizona lineup may feature several LHBs, there are only two that we can call above average hitters. Those are Eduardo Escobar (119 wRC+, .261 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and David Peralta (149 wRC+, .249 ISO, 50.8 Hard%). While neither is very cheap, they should be worth their cost in a lineup implied for nearly five runs tonight (4.9) and is just inside the top third of teams on the board.
Quality bats could go under-owned
Analysis coming soon.While Jeff Samardzija looked strong in his last outing, that was at home against the Marlins. While he does now have a 10.8 SwStr% on the season and the Nationals have struck out 24.6% of PAs against RHP this year, Samardzija maintains a 91.3 mph aEV thus far in 2019 and will not have the big ballpark in San Francisco to bail him out tonight. This is a deep lineup he’ll have to contend with in Washington, which features four hitters above a 120 wRC+ against RHP over the last calendar year among the first five batters in the order. Matt Adams (109 wRC+) adds a .252 ISO against them. In addition, four of those five batters are also at or above a 190 wRC+ over the last seven days overall with Juan Soto (55 wRC+) being the exception. Washington bats are not exceptionally cheap and are only implied for 4.5 runs, which puts them in the middle of the board, but without much high priced pitching, players should be able to find room for their quality bats. Batters from either side of the plate are below a 40% ground ball rate and above a 35% hard hit rate against Samardzija over the last 12 months, while LHBs own a .353 wOBA.
Save At SP2
Saturday's main slate seriously lacks attractive pitching options so it makes sense to look to save at SP2 in order to pay for Coors bats. Jeff Samardzija looks to be the best value option on the slate as he'll take on the Oakland Athletics who will be without a DH with this game being played in San Francisco. Samardzija has had a poor injury-riddled season but the skill has been there in the past as he owns a career 3.82 SIERA. This is Samardzija's second start since his return from the DL so it's unlikely he'll top 100 pitches but he should have plenty of leash to pay off his dirt cheap price tag.
Cheap Pitcher for Some Coors Exposure
This is strictly a price play. there isn't anything in Samardzija's numbers this year to suggest that he is a great player, but coming off a lengthy injury he may be back to a little bit of what he was last year. If we can get anywhere close to the 3.62 xFIP and the 24% k rate he had last year then his 5.4k price tag on DK is an incredible value when you consider that he's playing in SF and playing against high strikeout team in the A's. At this point, Vegas seems to think that he's back to where he was considering the sub 4 implied team total for the A's. If you want Coors bats on today's 6 game slate, then unfortunately Shark is your best option.
Left-handed hitters have a .405 wOBA, 0.0 K-BB% and 21.7 GB% against Jeff Samardzija this year
As they generally do at home, the Rockies have the top run line on the board (5.97) with only one other team within a half run. Tonight they face Jeff Samardzija, who has held RHBs below a .300 wOBA and xwOBA since last season, but LHBs have a .334 wOBA and .348 xwOBA. While this year alone, RHBs are still below .300, LHBs have a .405 wOBA with a 0.0 K-BB% and 21.7 GB%. Three of the top four in the lineup are LHBs tonight. Charlie Blackmon (139 wRC+, .283 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) should rake. Carlos Gonzalez (119 wRC+, .215 ISO) and Gerardo Parra (91 wRC+, .138 ISO) cost below $4K on either site, the former with a 192 wRC+ and 63.6 Hard% over the last week. Nolan Arenado (112 wRC+, .238 ISO) still plays here, but at a cost equal to Blackmon's. Chris Iannetta (112 wRC+, .240 ISO) costs less than $3.5K, but is batting eighth and the only remaining bat in the lineup above a 61 wRC+ or .300 xwOBA against RHP over the last calendar year.
The Houston Astros have the highest implied run line on the slate (4.96), nearly doubling their opponent (2.54)
The Houston Astros (4.96) nearly double the implied run line of their opponents (2.54) this afternoon. It's the best and worst mark on the board by a decent margin. Justin Verlander (32.8 K%, 13.4 SwStr%, 2.88 SIERA, .240 xwOBA) is easily the top pitcher on the board even if his .205 BABIP, 90.5 LOB% and 4.6 HR/FB all demand significant regression. He also costs in excess of $3K more than any other pitcher on either site. While mid-week early afternoon games are among the most unpredictable, interest in the San Francisco offense should be minimal, especially with Brandon Belt (157 wRC+, .284 ISO, 47.5 Hard% vs RHP last calendar year) costing $4.3K on either site. Jeff Samardzija completed six innings for the first time this year and even got two outs in the seventh, but both walked and struck out three batters each for the third time in six starts. He hasn't exceeded five strikeouts in any one yet. His 10.4% Barrels/BBE is second highest this afternoon (Junis 11.3%). It's been left-handed batters that continue to plague him (.421 wOBA this season, .335 since 2017), while he's been able to handle same-handed batter (.267 wOBA this season, .288 since 2017), which makes a fade of high priced Houston RHBs more conceivable if paying up for their pitcher. However, each of the first eight bats in the lineup exceed a 100 wRC+ and .170 ISO against RHP over the last calendar year. Alex Bregman (123 wRC+, .182 ISO) costs around $3.5K on either site, batting second. Marwin Gonzalez (132 wRC+, .185 ISO) costs $3.1K or less on either site.
Daily Bullpen Alert: San Diego unit one of the better pens players may not know about
David Price, Jeff Samardzija, Cole Hamels, and Chris Archer are the only pitchers on the board to average six innings or more per start over the last calendar year. None of them have reached that level this season. In fact, Samardija is one of three guys (Andrew Triggs and Eric Lauer) averaging less than five innings per start. The highest average innings per start this year belong to Kevin Gausman, Chad Bettis, Matt Boyd, and James Shields. Expect to see a lot of bullpens tonight. With Eric Lauer averaging a board low four innings per start, the San Diego bullpen could see the most work, but they've actually been one of the top units in the league (2.1 fWAR, 3.24 FIP, 16.7 K-BB% are all top six marks). They are the only active bullpen tonight which can make such a claim, though the pen has been a source of strength for the Red Sox (2 fWAR, 3.45 FIP, 17.7 K%), Pirates (1.6, 3.19, 16.1%) and Mariners (1.1, 3.91, 18.2%) as well. On the other end, the A's (4.48) and White Sox (4.16) have the lowest active bullpen FIPs tonight. Both have bottom eight K-BB% marks as well. The Tigers have a FIP above four (4.07) with the second worst K-BB (10.3%) in the majors, but Boyd has been working deep into games, as mentioned. With Max Fried a last minute replacement, who hasn't reached six innings in any outing at any level this year, the Atlanta bullpen should be noted as well. They have a 3.71 FIP, but with a 10.8 K-BB% that's third worst in baseball.