Jhonny Peralta Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Tyler Glasnow has not thrown more than 87 pitches in any of three starts, going just three innings each of last two
Tyler Glasnow has not thrown more than 87 pitches in any of his three starts and that was in his first, while being held to three innings in each of his last two. You can safely forget about him against the Cardinals on DraftKings for more than $7K, but he costs just $4.4K on FanDuel and is a top pitching prospect with some enormous strikeout rates in the minors. Projected for just 4.4 runs and likely to see the bullpen early, players might consider just sticking to top half of the order bats like Carpenter (149 wRC+, .256 ISO vs RHP since 2015), Diaz (150 wRC+, .242 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and Piscotty (110 wRC+, .170 ISO vs RHP since 2015), who hit pitchers from either side fairly well here, though Molina and Peralta both have a wRC+ above 190 over the last week and cost $3.7K or less on either site.
Dan Straily has a 12.9 BB% in September and 20 HRs over his last 17 starts
Dan Straily is an extreme fly ball pitcher, who has now allowed 20 HRs over his last 17 starts and has a 12.9 BB% in September. That leads to multi-run homers. His ERA doesn't necessarily reflect performance due to a .238 BABIP and 80.7 LOB%. Despite a power suppressing environment, the Cardinals have a league average HR rate at home and a bit more power vs RHP (14.9 HR/FB), while Straily has actually been hit a bit harder by RHBs since last season (.314 wOBA, 34.2 Hard%). This is an advantage to the Cardinals who stack up RHBs against him tonight. Chris Carpenter (149 wRC+, .256 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is still so good that he's the top bat, but we're looking at a reasonably priced lineup with perhaps a lot of value on either site, but especially FanDuel, where Randal Grichuk (120 wRC+, .261 ISO vs RHP since 2015) costs just $3.1K and Aledmys Diaz (148 wRC+, .241 ISO vs RHP) costs $3.3K. Piscotty (110 wRC+, .171 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and Peralta (108 wRC+, .129 ISO vs RHP since 2015) costs $3.7K or less on either site.
Robert Stephenson is allowing hard contact 40.2% of the time through six starts
Robert Stephenson allows a ton of walks (9.9%) with fly balls (42.4%) leading to some significant home run issues (2.17 HR/9). That is a terrible recipe for a pitcher, but a great combination for the St. Louis hitters tonight. He has sketchy control and allows the fly balls to both right and left-handed batters, which puts Cardinals batters into play in all formats. They can be used in cash games, stacks, or as one-offs. Stephen Piscotty (.166 ISO vs RHP) is ridiculously priced at $3.4K on DraftKings, and is basically a must play in cash games, and at $3K on FanDuel, we can use him in cash there as well. Matt Carpenter (142 wRC+, .385 wRC+, .261 ISO vs RHP) returns to the lineup tonight and is the clear best second baseman option. Jhonny Peralta (.151 ISO vs RHP) is also underpriced on DraftKings at $3.1K. Anyone in this lineup could homer tonight, but the players to focus on are Brandon Moss (.304 ISO, 42.8% hard hits vs RHP) and Randal Grichuk (.243 ISO, 42.2% hard hits vs RHP).
Adam Morgan is allowing an astronomical 2.38 HR/9 to RHB
Morgan (4.48 SIERA) may not be be as bad as his 6.62 ERA and 37.0% hard contact rate allowed would indicate, but he is still not very good. Morgan has some massive struggles against right-handed batters, as they have a .403 wOBA to go along with a 38.9% hard contact rate. He also surrenders more fly balls (41.8%) to right-handed batters and has a much more difficult time getting them out with any sort of consistency. This great news for the upside of Cardinals righties like Stephen Piscotty (168 wRC+, .423 wOBA, .280 ISO vs LHP), Tommy Pham (117 wRC+, .347 wOBA, .298 ISO vs LHP), Yadier Molina, and Jhonny Peralta. Even though he sacrifices the platoon advantage, Matt Carpenter (129 wRC+, .366 wOBA, .174 ISO vs LHP) remains in consideration due to his ability to hit left-handed pitching and he is simply a better hitter than Morgan is a pitcher.
Matt Adams (undisclosed) scratched on Wednesday
Matt Adams has been scratched on Wednesday, and the club has not yet provided a reason for his absence. Jhonny Peralta will now bat 5th and play 3rd base with Matt Carpenter shifting over to play 1st base. This is a slight upgrade for Anthony DeSclafani but he's still not a recommended DFS option against a tough Cardinals lineup. Carpenter, Moss and Wong are all viable targets against DeSclafani and the porous Reds bullpen.
Cardinals among the top team targets in Cincinnati against Cody Reed
Not only do the Cardinals have one of the highest team totals of the day, they also have a lot of value bats hitting in prime lineup spots. Reds lefty Cody Reed has struggled mightily in his rookie season and the Reds have said they are content in letting him work through his struggles at the major league level, which is great news for DFS players. Reed has allowed a .408 wOBA to RH bats including a 2.8 HR/9 rate with a 41.9 hard%, so there is no reason not to pick on him with several of the Cardinals right-handers. Tommy Pham will draw the nod at the top of the order, and while he doesn't have much data available against LHP, he's got some power upside out of the leadoff spot and is priced very reasonably given his opportunity here. Pham's biggest weakness is the strikeout, so if he work around that this evening, he should be in good shape. Jedd Gyorko will slot into the two-hole, and while his numbers against LHs also aren't overwhelming by any stretch, he does flash that 2-HR upside every now and again and considering Reed's issues with the long ball, it wouldn't be surprising to see him leave the yard tonight. Stephen Piscotty (.460 wOBA, .301 ISO) is among the top overall plays on tonight's slate, and pairing him up with Matt Holliday (.308 wOBA, .248 ISO) is a viable move in any format. Jhonny Peralta will hit sixth tonight and he certainly has some power upside against lefties (.201 ISO vs. LHP in 2015), so he's also very playable as part of a Cardinals stack or as a stand-alone play. Any of the bats in the top seven here are in play, even the lefties who are likely to get a few shots at the plate against right-handed relievers (the Reds own the league's worst bullpen).
Liriano has name-recognition, but may be the best pitcher to target with batters tonight
Liriano has not been good over his last few starts, sporting a SIERA of 5.9 in his last couple of starts. Liriano's name recognition may suppress the Cardinals ownership slightly, which only raises the value of the Cardinals RHBs. Jhonny Peralta will get the opportunity to bat clean-up, while Randal Grichuk will get to lead off.
Holliday out for one of tonight's top projected offenses (5.39 runs)
Alfredo Simon has allowed at least three runs (not all earned) in nine straight starts, exceeding five innings only three times this year. LHBs have a .382 wOBA and 33.3 Hard% against him since last season, while RHBs have hit him at a .344 wOBA clip too. The Cardinals have the 2nd highest run projection tonight (5.39) against a pitcher with an 8.94 ERA and 6.89 FIP. This is an expensive lineup, but it's unlikely players can go wrong with exposure anywhere in it. The top of this order hold to of the top IF bats tonight in Matt Carpenter (155 wRC+, .261 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and a more affordable Aledmys Diaz (151 wRC+, .243 ISO vs RHP since 2015). Matt Adams (batting 3rd) might be the top value player here for less than $4K. He has a 158 wRC+ and .248 ISO vs RHP this season. Jhonny Peralta is still the minimum on FanDuel. Stack up your Cardinals as you can afford him.
Jhonny Peralta returns to lengthen an already deep St Louis lineup
The Cardinals have just a 102 wRC+ vs LHP, but that's a number that's been improving and the addition of Jhonny Peralta ($2K on FanDuel) only serves to lengthen this lineup to where you can't find a weak point. John Lamb hasn't been successful against batters from either side in his career, but has allowed LHBs a .442 wOBA and 37.7 Hard%, though we're only talking about 85 PAs. Still, Matt Carpenter hits LHP well (111 wRC+, .197 ISO since 2015) and is the hottest bat in this lineup (270 wRC+, 47.1 Hard% over the last week). He could see lower ownership atop a lineup projected to score 5.27 runs tonight due to the lefty on the mound. Stephen Piscotty is one of the top OF bats tonight. He has a career 184 wRC+ and .224 ISO vs LHP. Almedys Diaz may have cooled off, but is still an average SS bat (105 wRC+, .154 ISO vs LHP) in the two spot of a potent lineup. While those are the top three bats, this is an entirely stackable offense through the top five at least.