Mark Trumbo

Baltimore Orioles
Pos: DH | Hand: R
Status: Inactive
player props
FPTS 1 2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10 11 SAL $990 $2K $3K $4K $5K $5.9K $6.9K $7.9K $8.9K $9.9K
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 3
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 3
  • FPTS: 11
  • FPTS: 7
  • FPTS: 5
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 3
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 3
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 0
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: $3.2K
  • SAL: $9.9K
  • SAL: $3.7K
  • SAL: $3.9K
  • SAL: $3.6K
  • SAL: $3.4K
  • SAL: $3.9K
  • SAL: $3.7K
  • SAL: $3.7K
  • SAL: $3.7K
  • SAL: $3.6K
  • SAL: $3.4K
08/17 08/18 08/19 09/02 09/03 09/05 09/06 09/08 09/10 09/11 09/13 09/18 09/19 09/22 09/29
Date Opp DKSAL FDSAL DKFPTS FDFPTS sf ab slg h so hbp gidp 1b babip 2b pa 3b sb hr xbh r obp rbi iso bb ops ibb
2019-09-29 @ BOS $3.4K $2.2K 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-22 vs. SEA $3.6K $2.2K 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 1 0.33 0
2019-09-19 vs. TOR $3.7K $2.4K 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-18 vs. TOR $3.7K $2.4K 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2019-09-13 @ DET $3.7K $2.5K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-09-11 vs. LAD $3.9K $2.5K 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-10 vs. LAD $3.4K $2.5K 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-08 vs. TEX $3.6K $2.5K 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-09-06 vs. TEX $3.9K $2.4K 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-05 vs. TEX $3.7K $2.4K 5 6 0 3 0.67 1 0 0 1 0 0.33 1 3 0 0 0 1 0 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2019-09-03 @ TB $9.9K $2.4K 7 9.5 0 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 3 0
2019-09-02 @ TB $3.2K $2.4K 11 16.2 0 4 0.5 1 0 0 1 0 0.25 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.25 2 0.25 0 0.75 0
2018-08-19 @ CLE -- -- 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2018-08-18 @ CLE -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-08-17 @ CLE -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-08-15 vs. NYM -- -- 5 6.5 0 5 0.2 1 1 0 0 1 0.25 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 1 0 0 0.4 0
2018-08-14 vs. NYM -- -- 4 6.5 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 0 1 0.25 0
2018-08-12 vs. BOS -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-08-11 vs. BOS -- -- 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2018-08-11 vs. BOS -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-08-10 vs. BOS -- -- 22 27.9 0 5 1.2 3 1 0 0 2 0.67 0 5 0 0 1 1 2 0.6 1 0.6 0 1.8 0
2018-08-09 @ TB -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 1 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-08-08 @ TB -- -- 17 21.7 0 4 1.25 2 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 1 0.75 0 1.75 0
2018-08-07 @ TB -- -- 5 6.5 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 0 0 0.5 0
2018-08-05 @ TEX -- -- 37 50.9 0 4 2.25 3 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 2 2 2 0.75 5 1.5 0 3 0
2018-08-04 @ TEX -- -- 8 9.5 0 3 0.67 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 1 0 0 1.33 0
2018-08-03 @ TEX -- -- 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 1 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-08-02 @ TEX -- -- 18 25.7 0 5 0.8 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 1 1 1 0.2 3 0.6 0 1 0
2018-07-31 @ NYY -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-07-29 vs. TB -- -- 9 12.9 0 5 0.2 1 2 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 0 0 0 2 0.2 1 0 0 0.4 0
2018-07-28 vs. TB -- -- 8 9.5 1 4 0.5 2 0 0 0 2 0.4 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 1 0 0 0.9 0
2018-07-27 vs. TB -- -- 11 15.4 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 0 0 0 2 0.6 0 0 2 0.93 0
2018-07-26 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-24 vs. BOS -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-07-23 vs. BOS -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-07-22 @ TOR -- -- 12 15.2 0 3 1 2 0 0 0 1 0.67 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.75 0 0.33 1 1.75 0
2018-07-21 @ TOR -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2018-07-20 @ TOR -- -- 3 3 0 5 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2018-07-15 vs. TEX -- -- 5 6 0 4 0.5 1 0 0 0 0 0.25 1 4 0 0 0 1 0 0.25 0 0.25 0 0.75 0
2018-07-14 vs. TEX -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-13 vs. TEX -- -- 8 9.2 0 4 0.5 2 0 0 0 2 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2018-07-12 vs. PHI -- -- 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-07-11 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-10 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 5 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-09 vs. NYY -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-07-09 vs. NYY -- -- 20 28.4 0 3 1.33 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 2 0.5 2 1 1 1.83 0
2018-07-08 @ MIN -- -- 5 6 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.83 0
2018-07-07 @ MIN -- -- 6 9.2 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2018-07-06 @ MIN -- -- 6 6 0 4 0.5 2 0 0 0 2 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2018-07-05 @ MIN -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-04 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-07-03 @ PHI -- -- 19 24.7 0 3 1.67 2 1 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.75 1 1 1 2.42 0
2018-07-01 vs. LAA -- -- 28 37.4 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 2 2 0.5 2 1.5 0 2.5 0
2018-06-30 vs. LAA -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2018-06-29 vs. LAA -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-06-28 vs. SEA -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-06-27 vs. SEA -- -- 5 6.5 0 5 0.2 1 0 0 0 1 0.2 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 1 0 0 0.4 0
2018-06-26 vs. SEA -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-06-25 vs. SEA -- -- 7 9.2 0 3 0.33 1 2 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 1 0.83 0
2018-06-24 @ ATL -- -- 16 22.2 0 1 4 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 3 0 5 0
2018-06-23 @ ATL -- -- 22 32.2 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 4 1 1 1.83 0
2018-06-22 @ ATL -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-06-21 @ WSH -- -- 14 18.7 0 4 1 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.25 1 0.75 0 1.25 0
2018-06-20 @ WSH -- -- 16 22.2 0 3 1.33 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 1 1 0.33 2 1 0 1.67 0
2018-06-19 @ WSH -- -- 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-06-17 vs. MIA -- -- 28 37.6 0 5 1.4 3 0 0 0 1 0.5 1 5 0 0 1 2 3 0.6 2 0.8 0 2 0
2018-06-16 vs. MIA -- -- 7 9 0 3 0.67 1 0 0 0 0 0.33 1 4 0 0 0 1 0 0.5 0 0.33 1 1.17 0
2018-06-15 vs. MIA -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-06-13 vs. BOS -- -- 8 12.2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.75 0 0 2 0.75 0
2018-06-12 vs. BOS -- -- 11 16 0 4 0.5 1 1 0 0 0 0.33 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 0.4 2 0.25 1 0.9 0
2018-06-11 vs. BOS -- -- 2 3 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 1 0.2 0
2018-06-10 @ TOR -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-06-09 @ TOR -- -- 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-06-08 @ TOR -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2018-06-07 @ TOR -- -- 17 21.7 0 4 1.25 2 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 1 0.75 0 1.75 0
2018-06-06 @ NYM -- -- 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2018-06-05 @ NYM -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2018-06-02 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-06-01 vs. NYY -- -- 5 6 0 3 0.33 1 1 1 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 0.83 0
2018-05-30 vs. WSH -- -- 2 3 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 1 0.33 0
2018-05-29 vs. WSH -- -- 6 6 0 4 0.5 2 0 0 0 2 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2018-05-28 vs. WSH -- -- 2 3 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 1 0.33 0
2018-05-22 @ CWS -- -- 18 21.5 0 4 1.5 4 0 0 0 2 1 2 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 1 0.5 0 2.5 0
2018-05-21 @ CWS -- -- 14 18.7 0 4 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.25 1 0.75 0 1.25 0
2018-05-20 @ BOS -- -- 3 3 0 5 0.2 1 2 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2018-05-19 @ BOS -- -- 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-05-18 @ BOS -- -- 9 13 0 5 0.4 1 0 0 0 0 0.2 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 0.2 2 0.2 0 0.6 0
2018-05-17 @ BOS -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-05-16 vs. PHI -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-05-13 vs. TB -- -- 10 12.4 0 5 0.4 2 1 0 0 2 0.5 0 5 0 0 0 0 2 0.4 0 0 0 0.8 0
2018-05-12 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-05-12 vs. TB -- -- 12 15.4 0 4 0.75 2 0 0 0 1 0.5 1 4 0 0 0 1 2 0.5 0 0.25 0 1.25 0
2018-05-11 vs. TB -- -- 14 18.7 0 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.25 1 0.75 0 1.25 0
2018-05-10 vs. KC -- -- 12 15.2 0 3 1 2 0 0 0 1 0.67 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.75 0 0.33 1 1.75 0
2018-05-09 vs. KC -- -- 7 10 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 2 0 0 0.5 0
2018-05-08 vs. KC -- -- 8 9.2 0 5 0.4 2 1 0 0 2 0.5 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.4 0 0 0 0.8 0
2018-05-06 @ OAK -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018-05-05 @ OAK -- -- 8 9 0 5 0.6 2 0 0 0 1 0.4 1 5 0 0 0 1 0 0.4 0 0.2 0 1 0
2018-05-04 @ OAK -- -- 10 12.5 0 4 0.75 2 2 0 0 1 1 1 4 0 0 0 1 0 0.5 1 0.25 0 1.25 0
2018-05-03 @ LAA -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 0 0 1 1 0.25 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2018-05-02 @ LAA -- -- 8 9.2 0 4 0.5 2 1 0 0 2 0.67 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 0 0 1 0
2018-05-01 @ LAA -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Mark Trumbo Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Mark Trumbo (trapezius) scratched Monday; Stevie Wilkerson replaces

Trumbo has been scratched from the Baltimore Orioles original confirmed lineup and will not start in Monday’s matchup against the Detroit Tigers a left trapezius strain. He’ll be replaced in the lineup by Stevie Wilkerson, who will now play left field and slot into the eighth spot in the order, which bumps Austin Hays and Pedro Severino up to sixth and seventh, respectively. However, the remainder of the Orioles lineup will stay intact offensively as they face off against left-hander Tyler Alexander on the road this afternoon.

Baltimore Stack Offers Extreme Value and Upside

Some days when you first glance at pricing for a slate one spot stands out significantly above the rest - today, that is the Orioles facing Rangers southpaw Martin Perez. Let's start with how bad Perez has been. He has the lowest K% and SS% on the slate at 10.9% and 5.0%, respectively, and has allowed the highest HC% on the slate at a whopping 46.7%. This combination of not striking anyone out and allowing everyone to hit the ball hard explains his 9.67 ERA on the season thus far. He also has show extreme splits tendencies, allowing a .473 wOBA to RHH. He is almost sure to struggle against an Orioles lineup stacked with righties top to bottom, which leads us to their pricing. Despite currently having the highest Vegas-implied team total on the slate outside of Coors, all Orioles players outside of Machado are simply mispriced like value options. Stacking Orioles is the clearest path to both safety and upside - expect them to carry high ownership (for good reason) on tonight's slate.

Baltimore faces a hard contact prone, low strikeout rookie in Minnesota

Twenty-five year old Aaron Slegers is not a prospect of note. He's failed to reach even a 20% strikeout rate at any stop above rookie ball and has a 5.8 K-BB% in 20.2 major league innings with three starts for the Twins last year. Batters from either side of the plate have a hard hit rate not much below 50% against him in this small sample, though RHBs have a 56.7 GB%. The Orioles have a Vegas projection of 4.68 runs that's fifth best on the board. Manny Machado (140 wRC+, .237 ISO), Adam Jones (114 wRC+, .188 ISO) are the only two batters above an 85 wRC+ against RHP over the last calendar year among the first seven in the order tonight. Additionally, Mark Trumbo (83 wRC+, .193 ISO) is the only other bat above a .160 ISO over that span. Tim Beckham (82 wRC+, .131 ISO) does have appeal due to matchup, run line, batting order spot (leadoff), and price ($3.2K or less).

An Interesting High-Upside Value Stack

Make no mistake about it - the 2018 Orioles are a disaster. However, most of their lineup now comes at a dirt cheap DFS cost, and they draw a good matchup tonight against a hittable young pitcher in Aaron Slegers. Slegers has shown below average strikeout ability at every minor league level and is clearly in over his head at the MLB level. His early returns have been very poor, and this could be a breakout spot for Baltimore.

Jones, Schoop, and Beckham are the top "value" picks if you are looking to stack cheap guys in order to fit the likes of Justin Verlander, while Machado and Trumbo are the higher-end options. All five are solid components of any Baltimore GPP exposure, even if you are looking for one-off plays.

Why does Baltimore have one of the higher run totals on the board against Wade LeBlanc?

The Orioles have been one of the worst offenses in baseball this year (90 wRC+ at home, 80 wRC+ vs LHP), while Wade LeBlanc has been pretty good (19.8 K%, 3.76 FIP) and even has a reverse split (.286 wOBA vs RHBs since last year). Vegas seems to have unjustified confidence in the Baltimore lineup though. Their 4.67 implied run line is sixth highest on the board. It starts to come apart a bit with LeBlanc's .369 xwOBA over the last month. He's both dominated and been punished by the Red Sox in his last two starts with two more difficult matchups against the Angels and Astros preceding that. The reverse split is also picked apart by xwOBA though which has batters from either side either two or three points above .340 since last season. Manny Machado (113 wRC+, .235 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) is the obvious candidate here, but has some hot bats behind him. Danny Valencia (126 wRC+, .218 ISO) costs $3.2K or less and has a 165 wRC+ over the last week. Mark Trumbo (99 wRC+, .211 ISO) has a 231 wRC+ with four HRs and a 76.9 Hard% over the last seven days.

Cheap Baltimore bats could have some value against a Felix Hernandez coming off of two strong starts

Felix Hernandez is coming off 12 innings of four run ball (just two earned) against the Yankees and Red Sox over his last two starts, striking out 12 of 49 batters faced with a 51.4 GB%. He did have a hard hit rate above 60% against the Yankees though. Yet, the Orioles still have a 4.54 implied run line that's less than a half run off the top spot on the board. There are just three batters in the lineup above an 82 wRC+ against RHP over the last calendar year, but what they do offer is a modicum of affordability, which players who are paying up for Verlander tonight are looking for. While LHBs have a .350 wOBA (.396 xwOBA) against Felix since last season, RHBs are within four points of a .330 wOBA and xwOBA as well. Only Manny Machado (130 wRC+, .226 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Mark Trumbo (82 wRC+, .190 ISO) are above $4K on DraftKings/$3K on FanDuel. Collby Rasmus (51 wRC+, .121 ISO) costs just $2.3K on FanDuel in the leadoff spot. There are not a lot to love in the Baltimore lineup, but there may be some value.

Power Stack

Career ISO vs LHP:

Trumbo: .227

Machado: .190

Valencia: .182

Mancini: .177

Schoop: .157

Jones: .149

Jason Vargas versus RHB for his career: 4.62 xFIP, .325 wOBA, 1.25 HR/9

Listing all of that out was more of a thought exercise for me as I always am attracted to an Orioles stack when they face a LHP because despite continually putting up poor numbers as a team, individually they possess above average power against southpaws. Since 2014, when fences were moved in at CitiField, the park has played right around league average for HR power out to left field. So while this is an unfavorable park shift from Camden, it could be worse. Jason Vargas has already given up 6 HRs this year in just 25.1 IP and Baltimore is one of my favorite sneaky stacks of Tuesday's slate despite a relatively low implied run total (4.2).

Opposing batters have a .502 xwOBA (93.3 mph aEV) against Sonny Gray's' four-seam fastball this year

Sonny Gray has just not shown any type of consistency this season. His .369 xwOBA is sixth worst on the board tonight and he hasn't been able to string together more than two straight quality starts this year. He's allowed six HRs over his last seven starts and has struck out more than five just three times this year. The four-seam fastball is the pitch he's thrown the most often and while the whiff rate has actually increased to 22% this season, it has a .502 xwOBA and 93.3 mph aEV overall. Manny Machado (129 wRC+, .230 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Mark Trumbo (75 wRC+ .155 ISO) both hit that pitch and the sinker, which Gray also throws often, above a .380 wOBA since 2016 (according to PlateIQ). Gray has struggled with same-handed batters (.322 wOBA/.336 xwOBA) more than lefties (.288 wOBA/.318 xwOBA) since last season, which may not be a good omen against a predominantly right-handed Baltimore lineup, though they have a team 80 wRC+ and 18 K-BB% vs RHP this year.

Opposing batters have a .502 xwOBA (93.3 mph aEV) against Sonny Gray's' four-seam fastball this year

Sonny Gray has just not shown any type of consistency this season. His .369 xwOBA is fourth worst on the board tonight and he hasn't been able to string together more than two straight quality starts this year. He's allowed six HRs over his last seven starts and has struck out more than five just three times this year. The four-seam fastball is the pitch he's thrown the most often and while the whiff rate has actually increased to 22% this season, it has a .502 xwOBA and 93.3 mph aEV overall. Manny Machado (126 wRC+, .228 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Mark Trumbo (79 wRC+ .160 ISO) both hit that pitch and the sinker, which Gray also throws often, above a .380 wOBA since 2016. Gray has struggled with same-handed batters (.322 wOBA/.336 xwOBA) more than lefties (.288 wOBA/.318 xwOBA) since last season, which may not be a good omen against a predominantly right-handed Baltimore lineup, though they have a team 80 wRC+ and 18 K-BB% vs RHP this year.

Ian Kennedy brings a 2.92 ERA, but a .364 xwOBA and 12.2% Barrels/BBE to Baltimore

Ian Kennedy has allowed more than two runs just twice and failed to go six innings in just three of his seven starts this year, but none the less, the Baltimore Orioles have a top five implied run line tonight (5.17) against a fly ball pitcher prone to long ball issues in a park that favors power. Kennedy's 7.9 SwStr%, 90 mph aEV, 12.2% Barrels/BBE, .364 xwOBA and 4.10 SIERA may paint a better picture than his 2.92 ERA. While no bat in the Baltimore lineup is above a 120 wRC+ vs RHP over the last calendar year (Manny Machado 119 and Chance Sisco 118 come closest), only Jace Peterson is below a .165 ISO with Machado, Sisco, Adam Jones, Chris Davis and Pedro Alvarez all between a .198 and .214 ISO. Kennedy has allowed a .327 wOBA (.353 xwOBA), 37.7 Hard% and 40.4 GB% to RHBs since last season. Against lefties, it gets even worse: .340 wOBA, .379 xwOBA, 45.4 Hard%, 30.3 GB%. There's likely to be a home run or two. Peterson (77 wRC+, .095 ISO) and maybe Mark Trumbo (77 wRC+, .166 ISO) would seem the least likely candidates. All others would appear somewhere between a decent and significant threat.