| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-28 | @ PHI | $12.9K | $5.5K | 6.7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-09-25 | @ NYM | $7.2K | $5.5K | 6.35 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 |
| 2019-09-11 | vs. MIL | $7.2K | $5.5K | 7.2 | 13 | 3 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20.3 | 0 |
| 2019-09-09 | vs. MIL | $7.2K | $5.5K | -3.05 | -2 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-08-31 | @ WSH | $7.2K | $5.5K | 12.4 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 1 |
| 2019-08-27 | vs. CIN | $7.2K | $5.5K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-08-24 | vs. PHI | $12.9K | $5.5K | 0.1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 |
| 2019-08-23 | vs. PHI | $7.2K | $5.5K | -4.9 | -4 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-08-20 | @ ATL | $7.2K | $5.5K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-08-17 | @ COL | $7.2K | $5.5K | 0.1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-08-13 | vs. LAD | $7.2K | $5.5K | -7.1 | -6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
| 2019-08-09 | vs. ATL | $7.2K | $5.5K | 12.75 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-08-05 | @ NYM | $12.9K | $5.5K | 9.3 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.5 | 0 |
| 2019-08-03 | @ TB | $12.9K | $5.5K | 2.9 | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.64 | 0 |
| 2019-07-31 | vs. MIN | $7.2K | $5.5K | 7.45 | 13 | 2 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.29 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7.73 | 1 |
| 2019-07-27 | vs. ARI | $12.9K | $5.5K | 8.35 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 |
| 2019-07-21 | @ LAD | $7.2K | $5.5K | 6.1 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13.5 | 0 |
| 2019-07-19 | @ LAD | $7.2K | $5.5K | 1.05 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-17 | vs. SD | $7.2K | $5.5K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-14 | vs. NYM | $7.2K | $5.5K | -0.95 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2019-07-03 | @ WSH | $7.2K | $5.5K | -2.15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-30 | vs. PHI | $7.2K | $5.5K | -11 | -12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-27 | vs. WSH | $7.2K | $6K | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-26 | vs. WSH | $7.2K | $6K | 3.05 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| 2019-06-22 | @ PHI | $7.2K | $6.2K | 4.85 | 10 | 1 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3.86 | 1 |
| 2019-06-20 | @ STL | $7.2K | $6.2K | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27.27 | 0 |
| 2019-06-17 | @ STL | $7.2K | $6.2K | -0.95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-06-16 | vs. PIT | $7.2K | $6.2K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-10 | vs. STL | $7.2K | $6.2K | 8.5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-06-07 | vs. ATL | $7.2K | $6.2K | 5.3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-06-02 | @ SD | $7.2K | $6.2K | 5.9 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-05-30 | vs. SF | $7.2K | $6.2K | 6.55 | 11 | 2 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.84 | 1 |
| 2019-05-26 | @ WSH | $7.2K | $6.2K | 1.15 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 |
| 2019-05-24 | @ WSH | $7.2K | $6.2K | 1.05 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 |
| 2019-05-21 | @ DET | $7.2K | $6.2K | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-11 | @ NYM | $7.2K | $6.2K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-05-09 | @ CHC | $7.2K | $6.4K | 5.3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-05-03 | vs. ATL | $7.2K | $6.4K | 4.4 | 7 | 1 | 1.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.77 | 0 |
| 2019-04-27 | @ PHI | $7.2K | $6.6K | 7.3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-04-21 | vs. WSH | $7.2K | $6.9K | 2.9 | 5 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.64 | 0 |
| 2019-04-15 | vs. CHC | $7.2K | $7.2K | 2.1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2019-04-14 | vs. PHI | $7.2K | $7.2K | 1.05 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
| 2019-04-09 | @ CIN | $7.2K | $7.2K | -15.5 | -15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13.5 | 1 |
| 2019-04-02 | vs. NYM | $7.2K | $7.5K | 3.5 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2019-03-31 | vs. COL | $7.2K | $7.5K | -1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2018-09-26 | @ WSH | -- | -- | -3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2.25 | 1 |
| 2018-09-21 | vs. CIN | -- | -- | 29.95 | 49 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10.29 | 2 |
| 2018-09-14 | @ PHI | -- | -- | 1.6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 2018-09-08 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 10.8 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13.5 | 2 |
| 2018-09-01 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 32.2 | 52 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7.88 | 1 |
| 2018-08-25 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 32.7 | 58 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 1 |
| 2018-08-18 | @ WSH | -- | -- | 11.75 | 20 | 3 | 5.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.88 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.77 | 1 |
| 2018-08-12 | vs. NYM | -- | -- | 17.9 | 34 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
| 2018-08-06 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 22.95 | 35 | 4 | 5.2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.36 | 0 |
| 2018-07-30 | @ ATL | -- | -- | -1.55 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 2 |
| 2018-07-24 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 14.7 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 2018-07-13 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 23.9 | 43 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
| 2018-07-07 | @ WSH | -- | -- | -3.65 | 1 | 3 | 4.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6.24 | 2 |
| 2018-07-02 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 21.7 | 37 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 2018-06-27 | vs. ARI | -- | -- | 17.9 | 34 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7.5 | 1 |
| 2018-06-22 | @ COL | -- | -- | -5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6.75 | 2 |
| 2018-06-16 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 10.1 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| 2018-06-14 | vs. SF | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-06-11 | vs. SF | -- | -- | 5.75 | 16 | 5 | 4.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2.31 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10.39 | 1 |
| 2018-06-06 | @ STL | -- | -- | 4.95 | 13 | 2 | 4.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.16 | 3 |
| 2018-05-31 | @ SD | -- | -- | 0.15 | 5 | 4 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21.69 | 0 |
| 2018-05-26 | vs. WSH | -- | -- | 23.5 | 41 | 6 | 7.1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0.68 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7.37 | 1 |
| 2018-05-20 | @ ATL | -- | -- | 14.4 | 25 | 5 | 5.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8.44 | 0 |
| 2018-05-15 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 12.15 | 22 | 3 | 4.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.24 | 0 |
| 2018-05-09 | @ CHC | -- | -- | -14.65 | -15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| 2018-05-04 | @ CIN | -- | -- | -0.4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 | 2 |
| 2018-04-28 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 15.8 | 28 | 3 | 5.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.07 | 2 |
Wei-Yin Chen Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
A Dangerous Risk/Reward GPP Option
It's very hard to trust Wei-Yin Chen. I know that. It's also hard to put a ton of stock into home/road splits. I know that. However, we have almost a full year of data with him with EXTREMELY wide splits, so there's reason behind trusting his splits at this point. Chen has a 1.77 ERA in home starts this year, which would put him in the Cy Young discussion. He has a 9.29 ERA in road starts, which would put him on a bus to the minor leagues. He has held LHBs to a .180 wOBA in those home starts, which will give him an advantage over some of the more dangerous hitters in this Reds lineup, too. If you are looking to save with a pitcher selection tonight, Chen makes the most sense.
Home Sweet Home
I'm of the opinion that Home/Road splits aren't useful in predicting future performance but Chen's splits are so wide this season that they are worthy of pointing out. Chen has been a monster at home holding opposing hitters to a .238 wOBA and striking them out 23.4% of the time. Conversely, Chen has struggled on the road with a .421 wOBA and suppressed strikeout rate of 14.8%. Even if you don't place any value in Chen's home splits, he still is a fine value option against the Reds.
Tremendous home/road splits
The Phillies have a healthy 4.87 implied run line that puts them within the top five marks tonight at home against Wei-Yin Chen. The "at home" part might be the most important because Chen has a gap of over seven runs in his home/road ERA and his road FIP (6.37) is exactly double his home FIP (3.18). The Phillies will send everyone against him from the right-hand side (.333 wOBA, 34.1 GB% vs Chen this year). Against a fly ball pitcher in a power friendly park, we're looking for power against LHP and that comes from only two Philadelphia batters: Wilson Ramos (156 wRC+, .250 ISO) and Carlos Santana (114 wRC+ .221 ISO). Single season sample marks against LHP are still rather small by nature, so one might expect further growth from Rhys Hoskins (105 wRC+, .128 ISO), while Jose Bautista (101 wRC+, .172 ISO) is cheap and hasn't been terrible near the top of the lineup.
The Free Spot on the Slate
For some reason that I (and no one else for that matter) can really understand, Chen is one of the best pitchers in the league at home. I've looked through everything and still cannot find a reason why, but I will roll with 100% of him at home until it stops working. On the year, Chen owns a 1.86 ERA and a 23.1% k rate (compared to a 9+ ERA and 12.6% k rate on the road). He is one of the cheapest plays on the entire slate and you should lock him in with no questions asked.
Stop Reading and Just Throw this Guy in
Play Chen at home no matter what. (analysis over)...I have been told it's my job to write more, so you can read the rest if you like, but you shouldn't be playing this slate if you're not locking in Chen. Overall his numbers on the year are not good, but he's been absolutely crushing at home. He owns a 9% higher k rat, and an ERA 7 runs lower than on the road. He is just a completely different pitcher at home and I can only assume that it has to do with him having a garden of Popeye's spinach at his house and it goes bad if he takes it on the road. Play 100% Chen today if you want any chance of making money.
Save Money For The Bats
There is a tremendous amount of high end offense that will be tough to get away from today. With that in mind, it's tough to overlook the savings of Wei-Yin Chen at home against the Mets, who are just an awful team against left-handed pitching. Chen has been outstanding at home, where his ballpark is helpful to his fly ball style. Today's Mets lineup has just a .128 ISO and .291 wOBA against left-handed pitching, and if all Chen does is throw strikes, the Mets should do the rest of the work for him. He has even shown some upside at home, but we don't need that at this salary today, we just need him to be OK.
Searching For Double-Digits
This may make you fell a little uncomfortable but Wei-Yin Chen is my preferred SP2 option on DraftKings where you'll want to get some hitting exposure to expensive Coors bats. Chen's numbers are unimpressive but he's been solid at home this season as he's posted fantasy totals north of 14 DK points in each of his last five home starts. Double-digits is all we're really looking for here with Chen and this is a good spot for him to achieve that against a weak Mets offense.
An Extreme Home/Road Split Pitcher
Look, if you read anything about Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde then you pretty much know everything you need to know about Chen. This year he has had some of the most extreme home/Road splits I have ever seen. On the year, his ERA is 10.27 on the road and a tiny 1.94 at home and his K rate is up at home and his walk rate is down. There is nothing to really explain these occurrences, but that doesn't matter cause I'm buying into it with this tiny price tag. If he's any bit of a decent pitcher when pitching in this ballpark and up against this trash Mets lineup that only has a .129 ISO and .291 wOBA vs. LHP then he is going to crush value. On a slate with a whole bunch of aces, I'm calling that Chen will be a top 3 scoring pitcher on the slate. Lock him in.
Terrible park, solid contact manager, but some great bats vs LHP
Each of the eight batters in the St Louis lineup have at least a 108 wRC+ against LHP over the last calendar year with only cleanup hitter Marcell Ozuna (118 wRC+, .158 ISO) below a .200 ISO. That's some proficiency against a southpaw who has allowed a .350 wOBA to RHBs since the start of last season. Howeve,r they have just a 4.44 run line for a reason. Wei-Yin Chen doesn't miss bats (16.9 K%), but manages contact fairly well (.318 xwOBA, 86.3 mph aEV, 5.2% Barrels/BBE this season). In fact, RHBs have just a .317 xwOBA against him since last season, 33 points below their actual mark. Miami also greatly suppresses power and is an extremely negative run environment. That said, Jose Martinez (163 wRC+, .230 ISO) and Jedd Gyorko (197 wRC+, .337 ISO) have been so good against LHP over the last calendar year at reasonable prices that they can't be ignored. And despite Chen's dominance of LHBs (.244 wOBA since 2017), perhaps Matt Carpenter (142 wRC+, .269 ISO) can't be either (269 wRC+, four HRs last seven days).
There may be some pitching bargains on the middle and lower end of Monday's board
Though not a ton of arms with enormous upside and consistency, this is a board with some pitching depth. Luke Weaver has struggled in two of his last three starts, but has gone six innings with two ERs or less and at least five strikeouts in three of his last five. By strikeout rate (21%), SIERA (4.37 – better than Lance Lynn) and xwOBA (.337 – better than Lynn and Cole Hamels), he’s been a reasonably competent pitcher this year, who seems to manage contact decently (86.9 mph aEV). He’s in a great spot tonight with a park boost in Miami (8.8 HR/FB at home, 16.1 K-BB% vs RHP) at a reasonable price (around $7K). Nick Tropeano has a 10% walk rate and has allowed 15 HRs over 13 starts (89.8 mph aEV). He does have an 11.7 SwStr% that suggests better than his 20 K% and the Tigers have just a 73 wRC+, 16.6 K-BB% and 8.5 HR/FB on the road and a 75 wRC+, 15.7 K-BB% and 8.1 HR/FB vs RHP. His weaknesses are also theirs. Zack Godley set a season high with 10 strikeouts in seven two-hit innings against a hot Texas offense last time out. Over the last month, he has a 29.7 K%, 16.4 SwStr% and 3.06 SIERA, all best on the board. He’s in a high upside spot (Phillies 25.8 K%, 8.8 Hard-Soft% vs RHP) at home. Matt Boyd has allowed three runs over his last 19 innings with 20 strikeouts. He has a 22 K% on the season and a 3.10 SIERA over the last month. His .290 xwOBA is tied for third best on the board. He’s been a great contact manager (86.2 mph aEV, 3.9% Barrels/BBE, 28.8% 95+ mph EV). He gets a park upgrade and the Angels have just an 83 wRC+ vs LHP despite being predominantly right-handed and Mike Trout has missed the last four games with a wrist issue. Wei-Yin Chen is also an interesting, nearly min-priced DK SP2 option. Without much upside, he has gone six innings in each of his last four home starts, allowing more than one run in just one of those. He has just a 16.9 K%, but manages contact well enough (.318 xwOBA, 86.3 mph aEV, 5.2% Barrels/BBE). The Cardinals do have some proficiency against LHP (104 wRC+, 10 BB%, 17.3 HR/FB), but it’s the most negative run environment and possibly most power suppressing one on the board.