Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020-09-01 | @ BAL | -- | $5.5K | -2.4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4.5 | 2 |
2019-09-24 | vs. BOS | -- | -- | -0.85 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
2019-09-20 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2019-09-11 | vs. TB | -- | -- | -11.05 | -10 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5.42 | 4 |
2019-09-03 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 0.8 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.75 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6.75 | 0 |
2019-08-28 | @ LAA | -- | -- | 17.7 | 27 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 |
2019-08-22 | @ CWS | -- | -- | 5.9 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2.25 | 3 |
2019-08-17 | vs. MIN | -- | -- | -4.9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
2019-08-12 | @ TOR | -- | -- | -8.95 | -4 | 3 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.27 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7.38 | 3 |
2019-08-07 | @ CLE | -- | -- | 18.75 | 34 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6.43 | 0 |
2019-07-30 | vs. SEA | -- | -- | 3.6 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.75 | 2 |
2019-07-25 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 22.75 | 40 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.71 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7.71 | 1 |
2019-07-20 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 3.85 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7.2 | 4 |
2019-07-14 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | -1.6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6.75 | 1 |
2019-07-07 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 2.85 | 7 | 0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2019-07-03 | vs. LAA | -- | -- | 10.7 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10.5 | 2 |
2019-06-27 | @ DET | -- | -- | 22.95 | 43 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5.14 | 2 |
2019-06-21 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 6.7 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.17 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4.5 | 1 |
2019-06-16 | @ CIN | -- | -- | -13.85 | -12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
2019-06-11 | @ BOS | -- | -- | 18.7 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
2019-06-06 | vs. BAL | -- | -- | 17.5 | 37 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
2019-05-31 | vs. KC | -- | -- | 20.7 | 40 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
2019-05-26 | @ LAA | -- | -- | 11.45 | 26 | 3 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.26 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4.27 | 0 |
2019-05-22 | vs. SEA | -- | -- | 5.05 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
2019-05-18 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 10.15 | 19 | 4 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8.31 | 1 |
2019-05-14 | @ KC | -- | -- | -1.15 | 1 | 0 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
2019-05-12 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 1.35 | 5 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
2019-05-09 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 7.9 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
2019-05-08 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 6.25 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2019-05-03 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 2.45 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
2019-05-01 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 5.75 | 8 | 1 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.42 | 0 |
2019-04-30 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2019-04-27 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 10.5 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.5 | 0 |
Ariel Jurado Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Ariel Jurado allows the hardest contact on the board (10.4% Barrels/BBE, 43.3% 95+ mph EV)
Ariel Jurado is tied for the highest xwOBA on the board (.362) and is one of only two pitchers tonight above a .400 mark over the last 30 days (.437 – Cole Hamels .432). His 10.4% Barrels/BBE is also the worst, while his 43.3% 95+ mph EV is tied for worst as well with Antonio Senzatela. Yup, the guys pitching in Texas and Colorado tonight allow the hardest contact. Wonder how that’s gonna work out? While Jurado has a sizeable wOBA split this year (37 points) batters from either side are above .330 and xwOBA suggests no split at all (.362-.363). However, RHBs have a ground ball rate 14 points higher than LHBs against him though. Austin Meadows (155 wRC+, .283 ISO) is one of the top batters on the board tonight. Ji-Man Choi (118 wRC+, .181 ISO) costs $4K on DK/$2.9K on FD is one of the top values in a great hitting environment. The Rays have the second highest implied run line outside Coors tonight (5.65).
Ariel Jurado has a .405 xwOBA over the last month
Ariel Jurado has the worst xwOBA on the board over the last 30 days (.405), while his 43.6% 95+ mph EV is worst on the board for the season. While it always helps getting out of Texas, it’s unlikely many parks are strong enough make a pitcher with a 15.6 K%, 6.60 DRA and all that hard contact a good bet. Batters from either side of the plate exceed a .340 wOBA and xwOBA with a hard hit rate above 40% against him over the last 12 months. The Angels have a 5.44 implied run line that’s sixth best on the board tonight. Aside from Mike Trout (198 wRC+, .393 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Shohei Ohtani (140 wRC+, .249 ISO), Kole Calhoun (102 wRC+, .226 ISO) and Justin Upton (106 wRC+, .201 ISO) complete a powerful stack. David Fletcher (102 wRC+, .099 ISO) could be good for a run or two should he reach base ahead of the slugging portion of the lineup.
Yoan Moncada (142 wRC+, .230 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) returns in a strong spot
Ariel Jurado has the highest Hard-Soft (30.2%), DRA (6.51), 95+ mph EV (43.2%) and xwOBA over the last 30 days (.393) on the slate. None of those are good things. He does have the second lowest strikeout rate (16.4%), but that’s not a very good thing either. However, the White Sox have an 81 wRC+ and 20.1 K-BB% vs RHP this year. Not the kind of offense you’re in a rush to stack. In fact, only two batters in tonight’s lineup have a wRC+ above 100 vs RHP over the last calendar year. The good news for potential Chicago backers tonight is that one of them, Tim Anderson (105 wRC+, .178 ISO) bats second tonight and costs a very reasonable $3.1K on FanDuel. Even better, Yoan Moncada (142 wRC+, .230 ISO). Jose Abreu (89 wRC+, .200 ISO) has a 170 wRC+ and 59.1 Hard% over the last week. Eloy Jimenez (97 wRC+, .230 ISO) has power potential. While batters from either side of the plate exceed a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against Jurado over the last 12 months, RHBs (.355 wOBA, .363 xwOBA) have actually been slightly better than lefties. The White Sox are tied for the fifth highest implied run line on the board (5.25).
Ariel Jurado has a .369 road xwOBA since last year
While Cleveland is a bit of a park bump for Rangers pitchers, it’s still one of the more positive run environments in the league and Ariel Jurado has just a 5.5 SwStr% with a board high .385 xwOBA over the last month. As far as getting out of Texas goes, since the start of last season, he owns a .368 road xwOBA. His 9.2% Barrels/BBE in 2019 is third highest of any pitcher on the slate with a start this season. Over the last 12 months batters from either side of the plate are above a .330 wOBA and within a point of a .355 xwOBA against him. The projected lineup for the new look Indians does not contain a single batter below a .170 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year. Surprisingly, Jason Kipnis has the highest wRC+ (128) with a .222 ISO. This is now a group of quality bats with above average power, including a great rebound from Carlos Santana (126 wRC+, .239 ISO). It’s difficult to find a poor value among the bunch with an offense that has currently moved into second place on the board tonight at 6.18 implied runs.
A .400+ xwOBA and 90.8 mph aEV
The Mariners have a healthy 4.84 implied run line in a tough park in Seattle. The Texas Rangers have the worst bullpen FIP on the board over the last month (5.37) and starter Ariel Jurado hasn't been much better (.404 xwOBA, 90.8 mph aEV this season). While LHBs have torched him with a .445 wOBA, Statcast brings his xwOBA against RHBs up 81 points to within 24 points of his .417 mark against LHBs. This is a lineup that can do some damage with just Kyle Seager (78 wRC+, .194 ISO) below a 100 wRC+ among the first six in the order and only Jean Segura (105 wRC+, .106 ISO) below a .185 ISO among that group. Mitch Haniger (135 wRC+, .224 ISO), Robinson Cano (132 wRC+, .185 ISO) and Nelson Cruz (131 wRC+, .243 ISO) are your top bats in a nice looking stack.
Daily Bullpen Alert: Several poor pens to choose from on a short slate
Only two major league bullpens exceed a FIP of five over the last 30 days. On just a six game slate, as luck would have it, one of those bullpens is active tonight in Los Angeles (AL). The Texas Rangers (5.37 FIP, 7.2 K-BB%) will be starting Ariel Jurado, who's last four appearances have come out of the pen and who has only exceeded five innings in two of 11 major league outings. Other spots to consider attacking are in Kansas City (4.66 FIP, 8.3 K-BB%) hosts Cleveland with Glenn Sparkman (8 IP in 2 starts) getting the nod and probably also an early hook and Minnesota (4.44 FIP, 12.0 K-BB%), who are riding that pen the entire way against Detroit. Though Julio Teheran has been pitching well, the Atanta bullpen has a 4.32 FIP and 3.9 K-BB% over the last month. The Orioles (4.76 FIP, 10 K-BB%) could get into the bullpen early for their home game against the Astros if there's a rain delay or if David Hess gives them his usual effort, which has led to to a 5.85 FIP that's even worse than the pen.
Breaking the scale with just about everything heavily favoring this offense
The Dodgers. Yes. This is the team you want. They are in Texas, facing a pitcher with a .399 xwOBA and 92.6 mph aEV over six starts and have broken the scale with a run line of 6.69. Ariel Jurado has allowed fewer than four runs only in two starts, one in the most negative run environment in baseball and the other against the Orioles. Literally, USE - EVERY - SINGLE - DODGER! Brian Dozier (94 wRC+, .199 ISO) is the only batter in the lineup below a 110 wRC+ vs RHP this season. Justin Turner (127 wRC+, .178 ISO) has the lowest ISO. Dozier, Cody Bellinger (132 wRC+, .227 ISO) and Joc Pederson (143 wRC+, .299 ISO) are the only Dodgers below a 140 wRC+ over the last week.
Highest aEV on the board and a terrible bullpen behind him
In a negative run environment in Oakland, the A's have a 5.47 implied run line that's surpassed by only one other team at Coors. Ariel Jurado has allowed a 93.2 mph aEV in five starts and the bullpen hasn't been much better (5.15 FIP last 30 days). LHBs have a .460 wOBA against him so far and batters from either side of the plate are above a 43 Hard%. Each of the first five batters in the order for Oakland are above a 125 wRC+ vs RHP over the last calendar year. Nick Martini (135 wRC+, .141 ISO) is the only one below a .215 ISO. Khris Davis (149 wRC+, .316 ISO) and Matt Olson (140 wRC+, .300 ISO) are your top pieces.
Lowest K% and highest aEV on the board in the worst park
Through four starts, Ariel Jurado has struck out just 9.2% of batters with a 4.7 SwStr%. He has a 93.8 mph aEV and batters from either side of the plate are sitting on an xwOBA around .400 against him. Even without Mike Trout, the Angels have one of the highest run lines on the board (5.38) in Texas tonight. Consider Kole Calhoun (108 wRC+, .217 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Justin Upton (137 wRC+, .246 ISO) and Shohei Ohtani (173 wRC+, .318 ISO) three of the top bats on the board tonight, along with David Fletcher (99 wRC+, .089 ISO) a nice value in the two spot. Jurado has the lowest K% an highest aEV on the board, a terrible combination in any park, but especially Texas.
Daily Bullpen Alert: Two rookie starters, poor pens, make Texas even more attractive than usual
Three of six bullpens above a five FIP over the last 30 days are active and that's not even counting the always poor Kansas City pen (4.66 FIP, 9.2 K-BB% last 30 days) backing first time starter Glenn Sparkman or the Angels (4.28 FIP, 11.8 K-BB%) who are throwing a bullpen game in Texas. Opposite them, the Rangers (5.44 FIP, 10 K-BB%) will start Ariel Jurado for the fifth time. He has exceeded five innings just once. The Blue Jays (5.24 FIP, 16.9 K-BB%) don't have the peripherals to remain this bad for long and are in Kansas City, but Sam Gaviglio is the only pitcher on the board averaging fewer than five innings per start. The new entry here is the Washington bullpen (5.02 FIP, 11.5 K-BB%). Relief is something the Nationals haven't seen much of recently, but Tanner Roark has gone at least seven innings in four straight starts and may not need much of it.