Brandon Loy Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Homer Bailey had been seeing a velocity bump, but it dropped back down last start. However, he still hasn’t had fewer than six strikeouts or an 8.8 SwStr% in any of his four starts and he’s faced some decent offenses. He seems to have picked up a split finger and it’s his second most favored pitch this year (25.1%). It has replaced some sinkers and generated a 48% whiff rate. He’s still a fly ball pitcher (35.1 GB%), with some hard contact problems (50% 95+ mph EV) and he’s facing a difficult lineup (120 wRC+, 31.5 Hard-Soft% vs RHP), but in a pitcher’s park with a pitcher’s umpire (Brian O’Nora). The Rays are a lift and pull offense. This is dangerous, but there is some upside here (Rays 29.1 K% at home, 24 K% vs RHP, 25.6 K% last seven days). Bailey is plenty cheap enough to work in a secondary spot on DraftKings ($6.2K) in GPPs, even if players want to use some bats against him as well. Batters from either side of the plate are above a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against Bailey over the last calendar year (though that’s dropped some this year). Brandon Lowe, Tommy Pham and Yandy Diaz all have at least a 130 wRC+ with ISOs above .200 vs RHP over that same span. All three are also averaging above a 90 mph aEV this season. There should be both some HRs and strikeouts here.