Byung-ho Park Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Tom Koehler has walked at least four in six of 11 starts and exactly five in four straight starts before snapping that streak last time out. He has just a 16.7 K% and a 4.50 ERA with estimators a run higher. Lefties have a .341 wOBA (34 Hard%) against him since last season, making Robbie Grossman (128 wRC+, .241 ISO vs RHP since 2015) the bargain play of the night for the minimum on DraftKings. RHBs have hit him at an average clip as well (.309 wOBA), keeping average bats like Eduardo Nunez (124 wRC+ .134 vs RHP since 2015) in play, should you want to pay over $5K on DraftKings. Byung-Ho Park (107 wRC+, .244 ISO vs RHP) would be the only remaining bat with an ISO above .200 against righties this year (or last).

Eduardo Nunez is destroying LHP this year (214 wRC+, .462 ISO). Unfortunately, no other Twins are following his lead, as only Brian Dozier (155 wRC+, .235 ISO) and Byung-Ho Park (109 wRC+, .229 ISO) have been above average against southpaws this season. Robbie Grossman is a cheap OF bat that has been hot (206 wRC+, 38.5 Hard% last seven days) in the 2nd slot tonight. Wei-Yin Chen has allowed a .339 ISO and 31.9 Hard% to RHBs since 2015. He has struck out 10 of his last 42 batters, allowing just three runs over his last two starts, but has been very inconsistent this season, pitching into the 7th just once over his last six starts. This is not a pitcher you're looking to build around tonight, but if you find yourself with $8K left for a pitcher, you could probably do worse. Minnesota has been terrible vs LHP (83 wRC+, 24.8 K%).

Jake Odorizzi has about league average K and BB rates, but draws a lot of his value from an ability to limit HRs some of the more pitcher friendly parks. That seems to have disappeared this year (12.0 HR/FB) with his .247 BABIP keeping 3.36 ERA nearly a run below his estimators. Without HR suppressing skills, he's a league average pitcher. He's got a favorable matchup against the Sano-less Twins, but $9K price tag probably comes very close to capturing what he's worth. With a .326 wOBA and 31.5 Hard% vs RHBs, he has a bit of reverse platoon split, so we might want to look at a couple of RH Twins batters who have hit RHP well. Eduardo Nunez is a leadoff bat who might be SS eligible for less than $4K with a 127 wRC+, though not much power (.140 ISO) vs RHP since last season. He has just a 25.3 Hard% against them over this period though, so we're not exactly sure what's holding that up, but it continues to work (184 wRC+ over the last week with a 20.7 Hard%). Byung Ho Park (112 wRC+, .260 ISO vs RHP) is a low cost power bat here. Minnesota is less constrictive against RH power than it is against lefties.

Ian Kennedy has pitched well in non power friendly parks and Minnesota plays slightly negative for RH power and more strongly against lefties. Minnesota has just an 8.0 HR/FB at home with a 23.4 K% against RHP. These are circumstances under which Kennedy should be a viable choice tonight and he is for $8.4K on FanDuel, however costs $2K more on DraftKings where he'll need to surpass 20 points just to meet value. Then there is also the question of weather. This is the one game Kevin Roth labelled as Orange this morning, so you'll want to pay attention to his update later. There are a couple of power bats for the Twins worth looking into. Miguel Sano (133 wRC+, .238 ISO vs RHP) is a HR threat against a prone pitcher for less than $4K as is Byung-Ho Park (121 wRC+, .292 ISO vs RHP). Robbie Grossman is less than $3K batting 6th and has a 283 wRC+ over the last week and may serve as a punt OFer.

Marco Estrada has a .241 BABIP just 19 points below his career rate and his 78.8 LOB% isn't obscene, while he's striking out 22.9% with a SwStr (10.4%) right on his career average, but he has a 10.1 BB% and his 7.5 HR/FB would be a career low as his ERA (2.89) runs a run and a half below his SIERA (4.20) and xFIP (4.39). As a fly ball pitcher who has allowed 29 and 24 HRs the previous two seasons in under 200 innings pitched each, players can look to target high power Twins bats at moderate prices in GPPs. Brian Dozier is back in the leadoff spot, but has unfortunately been abysmal since the 1st half of last season. We're looking at 4th and 5th batters here: Miguel Sano (135 wRC+, .241 ISO vs RHP) and Byung-Ho Park (136 wRC+, .314 ISO vs RHP). Both have a wRC+ above 150 over the last week.

The Twins have some nice value bats available today against Mike Pelfrey, and will be needed on a slate with so many high-end pitching options. Pelfrey (4.54 ERA, 5.15 SIERA, 1.54 WHIP) faces a hot Twins lineup, that has scored an average of 6.25 runs in their last four games. Pelfrey sports a 12.1K% (2nd lowest of all pitchers available) and walks 10.2% of his batters in 2016. Jorge Polanco is batting 2nd and only cost $2.4k on FD. Polanco (.204 wRC+, .464 wOBA vs. RHP) has also walked 16.7% of his at-bats against right-handers. The Twins are sending out seven batters that are sub-3k on FanDuel, making it easy to stack them with Miguel Sano and/or Byung-Ho Park. Sano has a .366 wOBA and .230 ISO vs. RHP and has recorded 15+ fpts in 4 out of his last 5 games, with a high of 25.2 fpts last night. Park has a .447 wOBA in his last 14 games and will be the cleanup hitter for the third consecutive game.

Jordan Zimmermann has a career low 14.6 K% and has struck out three or fewer in three of his last four starts. His 1.50 ERA is three runs below his SIERA (4.67) and xFIP (4.62) due to an 88.1 LOB%. This is cause for concern as $10K would seem a lot to risk on batted ball outcomes in this spot. He has struck out more than four twice this season and once was against these Twins (7 IP - 7 K) and they are a below average offense (91 wRC+, 23.2 K% vs RHP), so there is some precedent for strong performance, but it's an exorbitant cost for such a low strikeout rate otherwise. Minnesota bats are likely to be low owned, so there may be value in looking at a couple tonight. Byung-Ho Park has had a strong start to his major league career against RHP (155 wRC+, .340 ISO) as has Miguel Sano (133 wRC+, .230 ISO).

After getting rained out last night, it’s Kevin Gausman turn to square off against the Twins. He’s pitched pretty well this year (3.73 SIERA – 3.87 xFIP), but doesn’t offer much strikeout upside (20K%). The Twins have been a much better team at home over the past two seasons (.323 wOBA), which makes Gausman a slightly less appealing option tonight. Consider him a low end SP2 this evening. The Twins own a Vegas projected run total of just under 4, and their lineup features a few players to consider. Joe Mauer (.384 wOBA – 152 wRC+ vs RHP this year) is batting leadoff tonight while Miguel Sano is pushed down to the 5 spot. Byung-ho Park is also an excellent GPP option tonight, given his success against RHP this year (.389 wOBA - .329 ISO – 155 wRC+ vs RHP). Trevor Plouffe is another player to consider, as he owns a .333 ISO and .530 wOBA vs RHP at home this season through a small sample size of 19 AB’s.

Tyler Wilson serves as a pretty good pitcher to pick on tonight. He owns a career 10.5K% and isn’t going to strike many batters out. That bodes well for the Twins who have had major K issues this year. The Twins are projected by Vegas to score 4.43 runs and should be able to get to Wilson early in this one. Joe Mauer (.384 wOBA – 152 wRC+ vs RHP this year) is batting leadoff tonight while Miguel Sano is pushed down to the 5 spot. Byung-ho Park is also an excellent GPP option tonight, given his success against RHP this year (.389 wOBA - .329 ISO – 155 wRC+ vs RHP). Trevor Plouffe is another player to consider, as he owns a .333 ISO and .530 wOBA vs RHP at home this season through a small sample size of 19 AB’s.

Mat Latos has a 93.8 LOB% that is screaming for regression with just a 12.6 K%. It's going to come crashing down sooner than later and there are several strong options in this Minnesota lineup that could hammer away at that foundation tonight. Unfortunately, Brian Dozier will not be among them. Miguel Sano is one of the top OF plays tonight with a 140 wRC+ and .229 ISO vs RHP. He has a 94 mph aEV and 255 ft avg distance this season. Eduardo Nunez moves into the two spot at a weak SS position and has a strong reverse split (145 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015) with a 192 wRC+ over the last week. Byung Ho Park has thumped RHP for a 150 wRC+ and .347 ISO through 80 plate appearances.