Cody Asche Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Chad Bettis is an average major league starting pitcher that get's the unfortunate disadvantage of pitching roughly half of his starts at Coors Field. Bettis (4.17 SIERA, 11.7% K-BB%) has pitched much better than his 5.85 ERA would lead us to believe, but most of that stems from the "Coors effect" and a high .347 BABIP and a low 62.3% LOB%. We would typically assume that Bettis is due for positive regression but it is so difficult to accurately gauge the advanced stats of Rockies pitchers. There are a considerable amount of warning signs that Bettis may be able to contain this Phillies offense tonight and their hitters may not be the slam dunk plays we thought they were. With that said, we still want to target Phillies hitters travelling to the best hitting environment in Major League Baseball. Bettis has actually struggled more with RHB this season (5.19 FIP, .375 wOBA, 38.4% Hard%) so we don't want to just rule out the righties in the Phillies lineup. Odubel Herrera (147 wRC+, .393 wOBA, .176 ISO vs RHP) and Maikel Franco (110 wRC+, .339 wOBA, .211 ISO vs RHP) are going to the most popular Phillies options tonight and will be for good reason. Cody Asche (116 wRC+, .348 wOBA, .239 ISO vs RHP) and Cameron Rupp (113 wRC+, .343 wOBA, ..217 ISO vs RHP) are the other two bats that should be included in any Phillies stack.

Mike Foltynewicz is not allowing a ton of hard contact 3.6 Hard-Soft%, but does have a 17.1 HR/FB being kept in check with an 84.2 LOB%. The Phillies are the worst home offense in baseball (65 wRC+, 15.9 K-BB%), but have a 133 wRC+ and 17.0 HR/FB over the last seven days. While batters from both sides have hit him well since last season, LHBs have a .409 wOBA, keeping them all on the board at moderate or low prices for a team surprisingly projected to score 4.5 runs tonight. Odubel Herrera (127 wRC+ vs RHP career) is the top bat and only costly one. Cody Asche (107 wRC+, .207 ISO vs RHP this season) is a great bargain on either site for around $3K or less. The Phillies offer a likely contrarian and affordable stack with a higher end run projection if paying up for pitching tonight.

Ian Kennedy struck out 11 of 24 Astros in his best start this year last time out. His 15.2 K-BB% is solid, but he’s on pace for a career high in HRs with 19 already (15.8 HR/FB) and the second highest fly ball rate in baseball (49.4%). The Phillies have been hitting the ball well lately. All seven batters with more than 10 PAs over the last week in tonight's lineup have a wRC+ at 110 or higher. They are still the worst home offense in baseball this season (58 wRC+, 15.9 K-BB%, 8.7 HR/FB, 22.9 Hard%). Kennedy is one of a number of marginally useful pitchers tonight. He should be able to generate some strikeouts, but could get himself in trouble in a small park. If not using Kennedy and otherwise paying up for pitching, the entire Philadelphia lineup can be interesting at low prices. Both lefties and righties have a wOBA above .320 with a hard hit rate above 35% against Kennedy since last season. Only Odubel Herrera (123 wRC+ vs RHP career) and Maikel Franco (113 wRC+, .200 ISO vs RHP career) are much above $3K on either site and the latter has a 52.6 Hard% to go along with a 172 wRC+ over the last week. The top value may be new 3rd place hitter Cody Asche (93 wRC+, .169 ISO vs RHP since 2015) for less than $3K on either site with a 130 wRC+ and 46.7 Hard% over the last week.

Odubel Herrera is batting second for Philadelphia and facing the most expensive pitcher on the early slate, Zach Greinke. Greinke has been going deep into games in his most recent starts, going 7, 9, and 7 innings in his last three outings. Barring a 11 strikeout game in Houston, Greinke has not been getting many punch-outs, possessing a 13% K rate over the last 14 days. On the other hand, Herrera is striking out only 16.7% of the time against RHP to go along with his wRC+ against RHP. The game is in Philadelphia, a slightly above average park for left-handed batters, 1.024 on the RotoGrinders park factors tool where 1 is league average. In addition to Herrera, Cody Asche is worth a look, considering he has a 185 wRC+ over the last week!