| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-13 | vs. WSH | $5K | $6.3K | -0.05 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 2 |
| 2024-07-07 | @ LAD | $5K | $5.9K | 4.95 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024-07-02 | @ COL | $5K | $5.8K | 14.4 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8.44 | 0 |
| 2024-06-26 | vs. TEX | $6.5K | -- | 1.6 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 1 |
| 2023-10-07 | @ HOU | $5K | $6.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-09-30 | @ COL | $5.1K | $6.2K | 0.6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.38 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13.5 | 2 |
| 2023-09-27 | vs. OAK | $5.1K | $6.2K | 9.95 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10.8 | 0 |
| 2023-09-18 | @ CIN | $5K | $6.2K | 1.15 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
| 2023-09-13 | vs. TB | $10.2K | $6.2K | 1.6 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6.75 | 3 |
| 2023-09-09 | vs. NYM | $5.3K | $6.8K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-09-08 | vs. NYM | $5K | $6.8K | 16.25 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10.8 | 2 |
| 2023-09-02 | @ TEX | $5.5K | $6.6K | -2.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5.4 | 2 |
| 2023-09-01 | @ TEX | $5.2K | $5.8K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-27 | vs. TEX | $5.2K | $5.8K | 13.05 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5.4 | 0 |
| 2023-08-23 | @ MIL | $6.1K | $5.8K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-20 | vs. PIT | $5.2K | $5.8K | 23.65 | 38 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.26 | 1 |
| 2023-08-12 | @ PHI | $10K | $5.9K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-08-11 | @ PHI | $5.2K | $5.9K | -13.65 | -13 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4.8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| 2023-08-06 | vs. ARI | $5.5K | $6K | 3.25 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 1 |
| 2022-09-02 | @ BOS | $5K | $5.5K | 2.5 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.14 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11.57 | 3 |
| 2022-08-27 | vs. DET | $5.7K | $5.9K | -7.2 | -2 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.69 | 3 |
Dallas Keuchel Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Carlos Rodon (illness) scratched Monday; Dallas Keuchel will start in his place
Rodon is reportedly dealing with an upset stomach and won’t make his previously scheduled start in Monday's matchup against the Cleveland Indians, and he’ll be replaced on the mound by Dallas Keuchel, who is also a left-handed pitcher, so his presence on the bump shouldn't alter the projections of the Cleveland bats in any significant fashion. However, it's still recommended to check out the updated projections in LineupHQ and verify any potential lineup changes on the Starting Lineups page prior to submitting daily fantasy lineups this evening.
Cards/Braves features two highest GB rates in the majors, but lowest K rates on the board
The game in St Louis features the two highest ground ball rates in baseball this year (more than 100 IP), but also the only two strikeout rates on the board lower than 23% in Dallas Keuchel (18.7 K%, 60.1 GB%) and Dakota Hudson (18 K%, 56.9 GB%). They are also the only pitchers on the board above a .300 wOBA (both are above .330) and above 35.5% 95+ mph EV (both are above 38%). While these are clearly the bottom two pitchers on the board from a daily fantasy standpoint and further burdened by the prospect of elimination (in Hudson’s case) or working on just three days rest (in Keuchel’s case), none the less, either must be considered in a secondary role on DraftKings, where they’re the two lowest priced pitchers on the board. One reason is the favorable environment in St Louis, a clear pitcher’s park in the cooler months of the season. Another is the fact that it’s hard to call any pitcher really safe today. Even Max Scherzer fails to fit that description in an elimination game against the Dodgers.
All that said, this is certainly not a spot to avoid batters either. RHBs were right around a .340 wOBA and xwOBA against Keuchel this season, still with a 59.3 GB%, but much lower than LHBs (.277 wOBA, 70 GB%). The frightening thing here though, is that this St Louis lineup features just three batters above a .150 ISO vs LHP this year and also just three above a 97 wRC+. Tommy Edman (151 wRC+, .262 ISO) is just one of two above both and he’s batting seventh. The other, and clearly the most coveted batter in this lineup, is Paul Goldschmidt (148 wRC+, .298 ISO).
For the road team, Hudson’s splits have been even worse. LHBs are above a .350 wOBA and xwOBA this year with a ground ball rate (50.2%) nearly 15 points lower. This makes Freddie Freeman (154 wRC+, .280 ISO vs RHP) the clear top bat here, but also adds value to cheaper bats in Nick Markakis (112 wRC+, .147 ISO), Matt Joyce (131 wRC+, .163 ISO) and Brian McCann (97 wRC+, .178 ISO), who has very similar numbers to Ozzie Albies against RHP (98 wRC+, .177 ISO) this year.
Focus on offense in Atlanta with temperatures in the 90s
Temperatures in Atlanta are expected to be the highest they’ve been all season (mid to upper 90s). While this was already the game to target for offense today due to inferior pitching, the weather only makes it more attractive. Dallas Keuchel (18.7%) and Miles Mikolas (18.5%) have essentially the same strikeout rate with the two west coast pitchers tonight both around 10 points higher. Keuchel (23.9%) has a HR/FB 7.8 points higher than Mikolas, the second highest rate on the board, but he also generates grounders at a 60.1% clip with the other three pitchers below 50%. This should help him better deal with conditions. Statcast numbers are basically the same for Mikolas (87.8 mph aEV, 6.3% Barrels/BBE) and Keuchel (88 mph aEV, 6.9% Barrels/BBE).
Both offenses in this game have implied run lines above four with the Braves topping the board by more than a full half run at 4.83. Both pitchers had a wOBA and xwOBA between .330 and .340 against opposite handed batters this season. While Keuchel dominates lefties (.268 wOBA, .302 xwOBA, 68.8 GB%), Mikolas has been merely average (.307 wOBA, .320 xwOBA) with the platoon advantage.
Your top overall bats today are probably the competing first basemen in this game: Freddie Freeman (158 wRC+, .285 ISO vs RHP) and Paul Goldschmidt (145 wRC+, .313 ISO). Tommy Edman was better from the RH side (155 wRC+, .272 ISO), but is the second highest priced batter in this game on DraftKings, though just $3.1K on FanDuel. Josh Donaldson (134 wRC+, .274 ISO) costs a very reasonable $4.3K on DraftKings. DraftKings makes the dynamic even more difficult, where you have to choose two pitchers and Mikolas costs just $5.5K, allowing players to focus on offense, but this remains a very dangerous spot.
GPP Pitcher
Dallas Keuchel against the Chicago White Sox is a pitcher that I like in GPPs. This season the White sox are 8th in strikeout rate and 25th in ISO to left handed pitching. Keuchel is coming off three straight starts with 7 strikeouts and at least 22 DK points. It’s a high price to pay on DK, but it should keep his ownership down.
Alternative Cash Game Option on FanDuel
While Strasburg is clearly the top option on Saturday's main slate, his price tag is a bit more prohibitive on FanDuel. Dallas Keuchel offers a $2,800 discount from Strasburg on FD and while he doesn't offer nearly the same upside as Strasburg he does make for a viable cash game option as the salary savings allows you to allocate more salary to hitters playing in Coors.
Start of NYM-ATL will be delayed due to rain Wednesday
The start of the matchup between the New York Mets and Atlanta Braves on Wednesday evening will be delayed due to rain currently in the area. There’s yet to be any confirmation of an official start time, and the Braves have not yet committed to a specific timeline for providing further updates. The definitive late start is potentially better news for the prospects of starting pitchers like Dallas Keuchel not being pulled from the game early because of a mid-game stoppage, and as Kevin Roth detailed in the latest update to his MLB weather forecast, he believes this game should play through to conclusion following the initial weather delay.
Little Downside With A High Floor
In a small sample size, Keuchel has done a great job at limiting the damage against right-handed hitters. He has a 57% ground ball rate with a 137.8 average hit distance against right-handed hitters this season. The projected starting lineup for the Marlins has a 23% strikeout rate with a 50.4% ground ball rate against left-handed pitching. If BABIP goes well for Keuchel, he could pitch deep into this game.
Limited Upside But A Nice Floor
I'm not a huge Dallas Keuchel fan, but we don't have a lot of cheaper options on FanDuel tonight. I think he has the upside to have both a quality start and a win in this matchup. He has a quality start in three of six starts this season. The projected starting lineup for the Royals has a .188 ISO with a .340 wOBA and a 22.3% strikeout rate against left-handed pitching this season. With Keuchel inducing a lot of ground balls, it really just depends if BABIP is in his favor in this one.
Start of MIA-ATL will be delayed due to inclement weather Sunday
The start of the matchup between the Miami Marlins and Atlanta Braves on Sunday afternoon will be delayed due to rain. There’s yet to be any confirmation of an official start time, and the Braves have not yet committed to a specific timeline for providing further updates. The definitive late start is potentially better news for the prospects of starting pitchers like Dallas Keuchel o not being pulled from the game early because of a mid-game stoppage, and as Kevin Roth detailed in the latest update to his MLB weather forecast, he believes that this contest will play through to conclusion following the initial delay.
Ground balls (53.7%) and K-BB (10.9%) were down for Dallas Keuchel last year
Dallas Keuchel makes his Braves and 2019 debut in Washington tonight. While some may still be considering him some kind of Ace, he had just a 10.9 K-BB% with a 3.74 ERA and matching estimators last year with a 53.7 GB% that was his lowest since his 2012 debut. He’s also been a much more useful real life than daily fantasy pitcher for quite a while now (below a 14 K-BB% three straight years). If Keuchel can continue to generate weak ground balls for a solid Atlanta infield, he should be help this team, but he’s had just two tune up starts, both below AAA and generated just a 44 GB% with a 12.9 K% in his last one in AA. Keuchel did pitch seven innings in each start, so stamina is not an issue here, but RHBs homered 15 times against him last season with just a 16.3 K%. Washington bats may be the way to go here. Even if players aren’t likely to roster Keuchel here, they are more likely to avoid him altogether than attack him. Not only are the Nationals hot (126 wRC+, 18.4 K%, 23.1 HR/FB last seven days), but they’ve also punished LHP all season long (118 wRC+, 16.5 HR/FB). Trea Turner (131 wRC+, .161 ISO), Anthony Rendon (168 wRC+, .359 ISO) and Howie Kendrick (183 wRC+, .276 ISO) have all done serious damage against southpaws over the last year, but also consider Victor Robles (129 wRC+, .222 ISO) if he somehow sneaks his way into the top half of this lineup.