| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-23 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2023-03-22 | vs. MIN | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-03-21 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 8 | 9.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-03-20 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-03-19 | @ PHI | -- | -- | 9 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.75 | 0 |
| 2023-03-18 | vs. BAL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-17 | vs. ATL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-15 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-13 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-12 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2023-03-11 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2023-03-10 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2023-03-09 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 16 | 22.2 | 0 | 3 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.67 | 0 |
| 2023-03-07 | @ ATL | -- | -- | 8 | 9.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 |
| 2023-03-06 | vs. DET | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-04 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023-03-02 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2023-03-01 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
Daniel Palka Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Still Too Cheap On FanDuel
From time to time we see massive price swings on FanDuel and DraftKings, and it's been that way all season for Daniel Palka. He's been underpriced on FanDuel all season, and I love being able to take advantage of it. Shane Bieber has been really strong against righties, and while he has a good strikeout rate against lefties, he also gives up a lot of power to them. He has a .393 wOBA with a .238 ISO against and a 47.3% hard-hit rate. Palka continues to have a really good season, and has a lot of upside in this matchup.
Left-handed batters have torched this normally reverse split pitcher
Generally a pitcher with a reverse platoon split, Josh Tomlin has still allowed a .346 wOBA to RHBs with an xwOBA 35 points higher, but LHBs are above a .460 xwOBA and xwOBA. We can't exactly call it a small sample anymore either at 59.2 innings. The White Sox are just in the middle of the board at 4.15 implied runs, but players have to seriously look at all four LHBs in their lineup, all above average hitters against RHP this year: Yoan Moncada (105 wRC+, .189 ISO), Yolmer Sanchez (104 wRC+, .159 ISO), Daniel Palka (125 wRC+, .289 ISO) and Omar Narvaez (133 wRC+, .172 ISO).
Underpriced For This Matchup
I really like the White Sox tonight, and I like to target them when facing a pitcher with a low strikeout rate. Josh Tomlin has a 13.5% strikeout rate with a 5.54 xFIP and a 39.3% hard-hit rate on the season. If you're playing on FanDuel tonight, there's no doubt that you should have Daniel Palka in your lineup. He has a .289 ISO with a .490 CXwOBA against right-handed pitching this season, while Tomlin owns a .487 wOBA with a .384 ISO against left-handed hitters this season.
Find Some Cheap Power
The Indians are the top projected offense of the night, but don't forget the other side of this game with the most home run prone pitcher in all of baseball in Josh Tomlin. Tomlin has allowed an absurd 3.47 HR/9 this season, throwing tons of hittable strikes, with a low 13.2% K rate to lefties, with 42% fly balls and 40% hard hits leading to a .384 ISO against. On FD, Daniel Palka is way too cheap for his power upside, with a team leading .289 ISO against righties this season. His only issue is that he strikes out too much, but with Tomlin being one of the lowest K pitchers in the league, the power upside outweighs the strikeout downside.
A Nice Risk/Reward Stack with HR Upside
There's no doubt that it has been a down year for the White Sox. They haven't been able to hit, pitch, catch, or really do anything right all year long. However, they do have some guys with boom-or-bust power upside, and they draw a fine matchup tonight against a fly ball pitcher that often struggles with the long ball in Josh Tomlin. The Indians are coasting to the finish line now that they have clinched the division, and I am more than happy to fire up some stacks of the White Sox power bats here, with Garcia, Moncada, and Palka leading the way. Palka is particularly cheap on FD, if you are playing over there.
Rookie pitcher could be over-matched by major league bats
The White Sox find themselves with a 4.83 implied run line that's fifth best on the board tonight. How do they find themselves in this situation? A park upgrade in Baltimore for one. The atrocious Baltimore bullpen for another. Lastly, 22 year-old Luis Ortiz makes his first major league start. Ortiz was the fourth best prospect in the Milwaukee system back in December with a 50 Future Value grade at the time and was included in the Jonathan Schoop trade. The Orioles quickly promoted him to AAA for the first time, where he had just a 15.6 K%. He's faced seven major league batters and walked three without a strikeout. While Ortiz may have a future, it doesn't appear to be now. Omar Narvaez (124 wRC+, .151 ISO) is the top bat in the lineup by wRC+ vs RHP this year, but Daniel Palka (111 wRC+, .261 ISO) and Jose Abreu (111 wRC+, .200 ISO) have more upside in front of him, as does Yoan Moncada (103 wRC+, .189 ISO). In fact, though just the two have an ISO above .200 against RHP this season, each of the first eight batters are above .150. This is a playable lineup, even if they strike out too much.
Really Like The Advanced Numbers
Daniel Palka continues to have a massive strikeout rate on the season, but I love to attack his upside against pitchers with smaller strikeout rates. He has a .249 ISO with a .475 CXwOBA and a 92.7mph average exit velocity against righties this season. Fulmer has a decent strikeout rate, but it's at 18.8% on the season against lefties. He has a .223 ISO with a 37.3% hard-hit rate against left-handed hitters on the season. With the lack of value plays on this 7-game slate, I'm looking for home run upside from my cheap guys, and that's exactly what we get with this matchup for Palka.
Power potential in a power boosting park
Masahiro Tanaka is a high upside pitcher in a high upside spot against the White Sox, but he's also a very home run prone pitcher in a park that significantly boosts LH power. While Tanaka's wOBA is actually 42 points higher against RHBs than LHBs this year, xwOBA brings them both within three points of .325 and he's historically had very little platoon split. The Chicago bat players should be looking at with the most HR upside here is Daniel Palka (106 wRC+, .263 ISO vs RHP last calendar year). In fact, he's the only batter in the lineup above a .200 ISO vs RHP over that span, though all except the ninth place hitter are above a .160 ISO.
Double Dong Alert
At first glance, this looks like a dream matchup for Palka, and when you keep looking, nothing changes. Zimmerman is an extreme fly ball pitcher that give up a whole lot of hard contact. Palka on the other hand is a guy that hits the ball so hard it is imperceptible to the human eye (this is either true or I need to get my eyes checked). Palka owns a .256 ISO on the season and is going against Zimmerman that owns a .209 ISO. The one problem in this matchup is that Palka strikes out a lot so this is an all or nothing spot here, but for the price, I'm willing to take either 2 home runs, or zero points.
Matchup of work horses in early afternoon affair
Carlos Rodon only has a league average strikeout rate with estimators two runs above his ERA due to a .210 BABIP, 79.4 LOB% and 8.3 HR/FB, none of which seem remotely sustainable. However, those numbers have allowed him to record eighth inning out sin five of his last six starts and he is generating an 86.9 mph aEV with just 4.5% Barrels/BBE. He might be a bit over-priced in this spot, but the Twins have an 85 or less wRC+ and sub-10 HR/FB on the road and vs LHP. Tyler Austin (163 wRC+, .348 ISO) is the only batter in the opposing lineup above a 100 wRC+ vs LHP over the last calendar year. The other side of this matchup features Kyle Gibson facing an Abreu-less White Sox lineup. His strikeout rate is down (18.5%) with an increased SIERA (4.45) over the last month as well, but he's been a quality arm this season with a 22.7 K% and 86.8 mph aEV. The White Sox have a 19+ K-BB% at home and vs RHP. Gibson has completed seven innings in nine of his last 15 starts. Only Omar Narvaez (132 wRC+, .157 ISO) is above a 110 wRC+ and only Daniel Palka (104 wRC+, .256 ISO) is above a .200 ISO against RHP over the last calendar year. Yolmer Sanchez (110 wRC+, .178 ISO) is cheap in the leadoff spot however, but at a slightly lower price, Gibson can give you the same workload as Rodon with an ERA more closely matching slightly better peripherals than his left-handed counterpart.