Daniel Wright Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Targeting a pitcher with a strikeout rate south of 10% is always a good idea
Daniel Wright has a strikeout rate of 9% over the last couple of weeks and he has really struggled against batters on both sides of the plate. His xFIP on the season versus LHBs and RHBs is over 5.50, fueled largely by his inability to strike out batters. Against RHP this year, the Astros have a trio of hitters with ISOs greater than 0.190, including Jose Altuve, Evan Gattis, and Carlos Correa. Correa and Gattis, however, have some risk, owning k-rates versus RHP of 21% and 29%, respectively. Daniel Wright's inability to strike batters out should mitigate the K risk for the Astros RHBs today, making Evan Gattis and company plenty viable.
Rangers are projected for six runs against a pitcher with a 43.8 Hard% and 4.6 K-BB% through 23 innings
The Rangers are projected for six runs tonight, the second highest total on the board, facing Daniel Wright, who was rejected from the Reds' rotation and has a 4.6 K-BB% and 43.8 Hard% through his first 23 major league innings with just a 10.3 K-BB% at AAA this season. The issue with the Texas lineup is what it normally is. They have just a 99 wRC+ vs RHP, but play in a great park and project well overall, but no single batter stands out, while few of them are inexpensive. Almost all of them are a bit above average with some power vs RHP. This is often a lineup you have to stack or pass on. If we're attempting to pull the single best values tonight, perhaps that's Adrian Beltre, who has really turned it around against RHP this season, (116 wRC+, .200 ISO vs RHP) for just $3K on FanDuel. Mitch Moreland (93 wRC+, .201 ISO vs RHP this season) for just $3.2K on DraftKings, at least $900 less than the second least expensive bat in the first eight. Stacking this lineup is also fine if players can afford to do so. None are really poor choices.
Blue Jays find themselves in a plus matchup, likely to fly under the radar due to park downgrade
Against Minor League right-handed hitters this year, Daniel Wright has allowed an .814 OPS. He has struck out only 18.4% of the Minor League righties he has faced, and he has allowed about one home run every 30 at bats. Of course, this ballpark is not ideal for home runs, but the Blue Jays come to town with their fly ball hitting tendencies and power. They are perfectly capable of putting up a big game in this spot. After dropping a game in the playoff chase yesterday, we should expect the Blue Jays to come out on a mission to score in this one. Wright is actually the perfect type of pitcher for them to face in this situation. It's more than probable that the Toronto bats are able to bang a couple out of the park tonight, it's just a matter of choosing the correct ones. The full stack is our best course of action in this scenario in order to soak up as much upside as possible. Josh Donaldson (150 wRC+, .397 wOBA, .270 ISO vs RHP), Edwin Encarnacion (139 wRC+, .379 wOBA, .279 ISO vs RHP), and Jose Bautista (.211 ISO vs RHP) are our top targets per usual.
Mallex Smith moves into leadoff spot against Daniel Wright
Eleven of the 49 batters Daniel Wright has faced this year have scored and he's pitched just 24 innings above AA in his career. He has excellent control (just one walk), but little to no prospect status around him as a 25 year old former 10th round draft pick. Lefties (and righties) have a wOBA above .400 against him with nearly 50% hard contact. Mallex Smith has a 142 wRC+ vs RHP and speed, giving him value at a reasonable cost on either site out of the leadoff spot. Freddie Freeman has struggled this year (86 wRC+, .165 ISO vs RHP), but is still the only proven bat in this lineup. The Braves are projected for 4.54 runs, so more than normal exposure could be justified as a way to save salary if paying up for Scherzer tonight.