David Holmberg Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Rockies and Indians each have implied run lines above six tonight
The Colorado Rockies have an slate leading 6.83 run projection from Vegas tonight that's well above the next highest team (Cleveland 6.04), who are a half run ahead of the rest of the pack themselves. In all, eight teams have an implied run line above five runs and four more above 4.8 on a full board. The Rockies are generally going to have an inflated run line at home and due to poor performance this season, they've often been a profitable fade at Coors, especially when facing competent pitching. Tonight, they face Ty Blach. He has just an 11.1 K% (6.4 SwStr%), but an 85.8 mph aEV and 3.8% Barrels/BBE (fifth best on the entire board), which often makes him a guy to completely ignore in a daily fantasy setting. However, we know that marginal contact travels farther at Coors and he's also allowed six HRs over his last four starts with a hard hit rate above 33% in four of his last six starts. RHBs overall have a .347 wOBA and 33.1 Hard% against him this season. Nolan Arenado (212 wRC+, .431 ISO, 36.1 Hard%, 49.1 FB% vs LHP) is today's top overall bat with DJ LeMahieu (146 wRC+, .181 ISO vs LHP) and Trevor Story (153 wRC+, .373 ISO, 48.3 Hard%, 46.7 vs LHP) candidates for an abundance of exposure as well. Story even costs below $4K on either site because he's been so terrible against RHP this year. Although Blach has handled LHBs well (.273 wRC+, 29.5 Hard%), Charlie Blackmon hits LHP very well (138 wRC+, .234 ISO). Players certainly shouldn't be sleeping on Cleveland bats either. They are facing David Holmberg. He's faced 373 RHBs in his career, allowing a .380 wOBA with 20 HRs (39.5 GB%, 22 Hard-Soft%). Jose Ramirez (125 wRC+, .207 ISO vs LHP) and Edwin Encarnacion (122 wRC+, .191 ISO vs LHP) are perhaps the top batters outside Coors with Austin Jackson (164 wRC+, .221 ISO) a strong value if he remains near the top of the order.
David Holmberg owns a career 5.85 xFIP and 2.2% K-BB% versus RHB
David Holmberg is set to make his sixth start of the year in tonight's home matchup against the New York Yankees following a brief one inning bullpen appearance just three short days ago. Since 2013, Holmberg has pitched just 93.2 career innings at the Major League level and has not seen great success, evidenced by his 5.52 SIERA, 12.6% strikeout rate, and 10.9% walk rate. He typically hasn't struggled to that extent with the free passes in the Minors, but the low strikeout rate appears more real than not, as he has never been a strikeout pitcher at baseball's lower levels. Holmberg has also lacked the ability to control batted balls in any way, making him a low strikeout pitcher with questionable control that is unable to influence groundballs or fly balls one way or another. As a left-handed pitcher, he also draws the unenvious task of facing a Yankees lineup that consists of seven right-handed hitters Monday night. The Yankees bats will surely be popular, but Aaron Judge (48% hard hits, .383 ISO vs LHP) and Gary Sanchez (47% hard hits, .214 ISO vs LHP) are arguably the top plays on this entire slate, making them a tough fade in any format. The other Yankee most likely to take advantage of Holmberg and his 38.5% hard hit rate is Starlin Castro (33% hard hits, .364 OBP vs LHP), while Tyler Austin (195 wRC+, .460 wOBA, .304 ISO in 27 career PAs vs LHP) remains cheap across the industry and will see a bump up to the fifth spot in the order with Aaron Hicks heading to the disabled list and Matt Holliday receiving the night off. Clearly, a Yankees stack seems to be more than viable in large-field tournaments, as Holmberg is bad enough that there is a significant chance the entire lineup can go off in this matchup.
Five of 12 offenses have an implied run line above five on the six game night slate
Five of 12 offenses have an implied run line above five runs tonight with the Yankees (5.84) currently being the highest. It looks like the most stackable spot against David Holmberg (RHBs 39.7 Hard%), but the Yankees are dealing with some injuries and have just a 96 wRC+ LHP. In theory, they should make short work of a subpar lefty, but on a night where players may be paying up for pitching, it could be difficult to afford top Yankee bats as well. Ricky Nolasco has allowed multiple HRs in 10 of 15 starts and would be the next victim against a red-hot Dodger offense (176 wRC+ over the last week). They have a 5.45 implied run line. Nolasco has a reverse split (RHBs .345 wOBA, 36.5 Hard% since last season), which may make Justin Turner (152 wRC+, 225 ISO RHP since last season) and Chris Taylor (124 wRC+, .204 ISO vs RHP this year) the top plays and persuade the Dodgers to play a few more RHBs tonight. LHBs have hit Nolasco well too though (.326 wOBA, 34.5 Hard%). While Eddie Butler has shown some improvement against RHBs this year (.300 wOBA, 54.2 GB%), LHBs continue to hit him hard (25 GB%, 38.3 Hard%), making not only Harper and Murphy top plays, but Brian Goodwin (101 wRC+, .217 ISO vs RHP since last season) a nice salary savor as well. Potentially less popular and with the lowest implied run line (5.1) of those above five, Cleveland bats could leave their mark on a returning Cole Hamels tonight.
David Holmberg owns a career 0.4% K-BB% versus RHB
David Holmberg is set to make his third start of the year in today's road matchup against the Cleveland Indians following two mediocre outings, failing to pitch past the fourth in each. Since 2013, Holmberg has pitched just 80 career innings at the Major League level and has not seen great success, evidenced by his 5.68 SIERA, 11.6% strikeout rate, and 11.6% walk rate. He typically hasn't struggled that much with free passes in the Minors, but the low strikeout rate appears more real than not, as he has never been a strikeout pitcher at baseball's lower levels. Holmberg has also lacked the ability to control batted balls in any way, making him a low strikeout pitcher with questionable control that is unable to influence groundballs or fly balls one way or another. As a left-handed pitcher, he also draws the unenvious task of facing an Indians lineup that will roll out seven right-handed hitters Saturday night. Edwin Encarnacion has really lacked power against left-handed pitching this season, evidenced by a minuscule 0.92 ISO, but if relying on numbers since last season, he joins Francisco Lindor (151 wRC+, .398 wOBA, .265 ISO vs LHP) as top Cleveland bats to target in all formats. Other than that, no other individual Indians hitters particularly stand out against southpaws, making this more of a stack or fade situation in tournaments, as Holmberg is bad enough that there is a significant chance the entire lineup can go off in this matchup.
David Holmberg owns an absurdly-low career 0.3% K-BB%
David Holmberg is set to make his second start of the year in today's road matchup against the Detroit Tigers following an outing against the Boston Red Sox in which he allowed three earned runs in just four innings of work. Since 2013, Holmberg has pitched just 76 career innings at the Major League level and has not seen great success, evidenced by his 5.63 SIERA, 11.9% strikeout rate, and 11.6% walk rate. He typically hasn't struggled that much with free passes in the Minors, but the low strikeout rate appears more real than not, as he has never been a strikeout pitcher at baseball's lower levels. Holmberg has also lacked the ability to control batted balls in any way, making him a low strikeout pitcher with questionable control that is unable to influence groundballs or fly balls one way or another. As a left-handed pitcher, he also draws the unenvious task of facing a Tigers lineup that will roll out nine right-handed hitters Sunday afternoon. J.D. Martinez (154 wRC+, .398 wOBA, .269 ISO vs LHP since 2016) and Miguel Cabrera (151 wRC+, .396 wOBA, .199 ISO vs LHP since 2016) are both elite plays on Sunday's main slate and the top Tigers bats to target in all formats. Nick Castellanos (.205 ISO vs LHP since 2016) and Justin Upton (.191 ISO vs LHP since 2016) both possess decent power upside versus left-handed pitching, while salary-saving options like John Hicks (157 wRC+, .403 wOBA, .421 ISO in 20 PA vs LHP), Mikie Mahtook (.200 ISO vs LHP), and Dixon Machado can also be considered to round out a Tigers stack in tournaments.
David Holmberg owns a 0.6% K-BB% in his career
David Holmberg is set to make his first start of the year in today's home matchup against the Boston Red Sox after making eight appearances out the Chicago White Sox bullpen this season. Since 2013, Holmberg has pitched just 72.1 career innings at the Major League level and has not seen great success, evidenced by his 5.55 SIERA, 11.9% strikeout rate, and 11.3% walk rate. He typically hasn't struggled that much with free passes in the Minors, but the low strikeout rate appears more real than not, as he has never been a strikeout pitcher at baseball's lower levels. Holmberg has also lacked the ability to control batted balls in any way, making him a low strikeout pitcher with questionable control that is unable to influence groundballs or fly balls one way or another. As a left-handed pitcher, he also draws the unenvious task of facing a Red Sox lineup that will roll out eight right-handed hitters Monday afternoon. Hanley Ramirez (172 wRC+, .432 wOBA, .310 ISO vs LHP since 2016), Chris Young (140 wRC+, .390 wOBA, .219 ISO vs LHP since 2016), Xander Bogaerts (126 wRC+, .366 wOBA vs LHP since 2016), Dustin Pedroia (115 wRC+, .351 wOBA vs LHP since 2016), and Mookie Betts (.237 ISO vs LHP since 2016) all possess discernable skills versus left-handed pitching, while salary-saving options like Sam Travis and Christian Vasquez (119 wRC+, .355 wOBA vs LHP since 2016) can also be considered if looking to differentiate a Red Sox stack in tournaments. Although, it's vital to keep in mind that the lefty-specialists like Young and Travis could be lifted for a pinch-hitter later in the game since the Red Sox are likely to see a good amount of the White Sox bullpen in this one.