Dillon Peters Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Dillon Peters has struck out a total of 12 batters through four starts and allowed a total of 15 runs (four HRs) over his last three with 10 walks. Though he did not allow a lot of hard contact in his cup of coffee last season, he has a 92.8 mph aEV with more than half his contact above a 95 mph exit velocity. This is a pitcher players can attack with a Dodger lineup owning a 4.75 implied run line tonight. The Dodger lineup has not yet been confirmed, but should include many of the same batters as last night against their second straight southpaw. Kike Hernandez (143 wRC+, .292 ISO, 42 Hard% vs LHP since last season) is affordable and projected for a top of the order lineup spot. Austin Barnes (136 wRC+, .240 ISO) offers more salary relief, likely to bat lower in the order though. Chris Taylor (117 wRC+, .190 ISO) is likely your leadoff hitter. None of the three cost more than $3.7K on either site.

The Milwaukee Brewers (5.23) are the only offense Vegas projects above five runs tonight. While Dillon Peters has completed six innings with two runs or less in two of his three starts, he was tagged for nine runs in between, while failing to strike out more than three batters in any start this year. An 8.4 SwStr% suggests some potential improvement there, perhaps closer to his 19.4 K% in 31.1 major league innings last year, but his hard hit rate was actually lowest (30.8%) in his worst start. His .398 xwOBA, 93.1 mph aEV, and 53.8% 95+ mph EV are all easily worst on the board tonight. Peters still has a hard hit rate below 30% against batters from either side of the plate in 46 career innings (LHBs have a 63.9 GB%), though a double digit walk rate allows batters from either side an xwOBA above .350 in his short career. The amazing thing is that Milwaukee bats are fairly cheap tonight, allowing for easy stacks. Domingo Santana (113 wRC+, .197 ISO, 44.3 Hard% vs LHP since 2017) costs $3K or less on either site with Jesus Aguilar (140 wRC+, .223 ISO, 59.3 Hard%) in the same range. While lower end of the lineup batters are not usually recommended, a cheap power hitting catcher on a short slate is an acceptable exception. Jett Bandy (151 wRC+, .258 ISO) will not be hitting eighth much longer should he continue lefty-mashing like this, but beware that his xwOBA (.326) suggests some decline. In fact, his hard hit rate (26.1%) is lowest in the lineup against LHP since last season.

Dillon Peters (40 Future Value grade via Fangraphs) and Jack Flaherty (50 Future Value grade) both made their major league debuts last week and both make their second start tonight. While Flaherty had the better outlook as a prospect overall, both had great matchups that night against the Giants and Phillies. Peters had the better performance, striking out eight of 27 Phillies (11 SwStr%) with 81.3 GB% and -31.2 Hard-Soft%. It was certainly a dominant debut, but he takes a step up in class tonight against an all right-handed Washington lineup. PlateIQ shows the confirmed lineup with a .351 wOBA and .200 ISO vs LHP, but also just a 15.8 K%. Flaherty was knocked out after four innings, having allowed five runs in San Francisco. However, a look underneath the hood suggests he may have not been that bad. He struck out six of 21 batters with just one walk, a 50 GB% and 28.6 Hard%. A .538 BABIP and 33.3 HR/FB don't necessarily seem deserved or sustainable. His second start is in San Diego tonight. The Padres strike out 25.1% of the time against RHP. That may be enough to give him another shot on a pitching deficient slate.

September first means roster expansion and while players should expect a lot of new faces, two pitchers making their major league debuts right off the bat is a bit unexpected. For the Marlins, Dillon Peters is a 25 year-old lefty, who was graded as the sixth best prospect in a weak Miami system by Fangraphs before the season, but only given a 40 Future Value grade. He's a former Tommy John patient, who has never seen AAA, but had a 16.2 K-BB% in 45.2 AA innings this season. He allowed just one HR with a 46 GB%. His ground ball rate had previously been above 50% at every other level above rookie ball. The stuff is considered fringey and he could be over-matched in the majors right now, but it may not take much to keep the Phillies off balance (77 wRC+ on the road, 84 wRC+ vs LHP, 22.2 K-BB% last seven days. He did strike out 12 of his last 47 batters over his last two starts (12.2 IP - 0 ER) before leaving AA. Jack Flaherty is also the sixth ranked prospect (Fangraphs) in the St Louis system. However, this near 22 year-old was given a 50 Future Value grade and also received some consideration, but just missed their Top 100 list. He's done absolutely nothing to hurt that ranking at AAA this season with an 18.0 K-BB% in 15 starts with 10 HRs and a 41 GB%. He may not be in line for a lot of strikeouts against the Giants (19% at home, vs RHP, last seven days), but he may generate a rate around league average and has little to worry about from a contact perspective (6.0 HR/FB at home, 8.8 HR/FB vs RHP, 7.1 HR/FB last seven day).