| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-07-26 | vs. ATL | $3K | $2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2020-07-25 | vs. ATL | $2.9K | $2K | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-14 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-13 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-06 | @ DET | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-07-05 | @ DET | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2019-07-04 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-07-03 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-30 | vs. NYY | -- | -- | 7 | 9.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
| 2019-06-29 | vs. NYY | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-26 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2019-06-25 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 2 | 3.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-24 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 10 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-06-23 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-06-22 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-06-21 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-06-19 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 12 | 15.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 2019-06-18 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-16 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-06-14 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | 0 |
| 2019-06-13 | vs. TEX | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-12 | vs. TEX | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-10 | vs. TEX | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-09 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-08 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-07 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-06-06 | @ KC | -- | -- | 14 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0.75 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 2019-06-04 | @ KC | -- | -- | 18 | 25.7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
| 2019-06-02 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 10 | 12.7 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-06-01 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-05-31 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-05-29 | vs. CLE | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-26 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 12 | 15.7 | 0 | 4 | 0.75 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2019-05-24 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2019-05-23 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 10 | 12.7 | 0 | 5 | 0.4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 |
| 2019-05-19 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-17 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-15 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-14 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 12 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| 2019-05-12 | vs. SEA | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-05-10 | vs. SEA | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-05-08 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2019-05-06 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2019-05-05 | @ CWS | -- | -- | 7 | 9.7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-05-04 | @ CWS | -- | -- | 16 | 22.2 | 0 | 6 | 0.67 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2019-04-17 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-16 | @ NYY | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-14 | vs. BAL | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2019-04-13 | vs. BAL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-12 | vs. BAL | -- | -- | 10 | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-04-11 | vs. TOR | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-07 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-06 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-04-05 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-04-04 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-03 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2019-04-02 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-01 | @ OAK | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-31 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 7 | 10 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2019-03-30 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-29 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-28 | @ SEA | -- | -- | 14 | 18.4 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
Eduardo Nunez Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Power + Speed
Similar to the Nationals, the Red Sox find themselves in a spot conducive for both power and speed on Tuesday night. Despite relative success this season, Arrieta has historically been terrible in preventing stolen bases (career -12 rSB). He's also seen a declining strikeout rate (17.2%) coincide with a near career low SwStr% (7.1%) this season. Mookie and Benintendi are both expensive but could see an ownership discount because of their high tags on a full slate - I like using the two Boston OF's as lineup fillers because both guys can get you points at the plate and on the base paths. JDM is obviously a great power play but is unlikely to get you the stolen base bonus points (although he does have 3 this year!) that we're chasing. If going with an all out Red Sox stack I prefer filling in with some bottom of the order guys that should see single-digit ownership and once again can get you points with their legs (Eduardo Nunez/JBJ).
Bottom Half
With the Yankees not being included on the main slate, the Red Sox only competition for highest run total of the night is Cleveland. Boston hitters will be high owned considering the plus matchup against Rangers lefty Mike Minor, so one way to differentiate your stack would be to focus on the bottom half of the Red Sox order. Focusing on the bottom half of the order allows you to squeeze in one stud + pitch Gerrit Cole at SP1. It's not necessarily my preferred approach, but one that will allow you to access a more unique lineup.
The Top Offense to Stack
Despite a solid 3.40 ERA, the overall profile for Jaime Barria doesn't look all that great when you start to peel back the layers of the onion. He has a low ground ball rate and is allowing hard contact nearly 40% of the time, which doesn't bode well against a dangerous Red Sox offense that is starting to get locked in right now. The Red Sox have the highest implied team total on the board by a wide margin at 5.5 runs, and I wouldn't be scared of this matchup at all. Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez are obvious top plays if you can fit them in, and I like Mitch Moreland tonight as a great component of a stack. Eduardo Nunez remains a fine value choice if he finds his way into the lineup, as well.
Yefry Ramirez had a very competent 16.9 K-BB% at AAA this year
Twenty-four year old Yefry Ramirez was with his third organization before ever reaching AAA this year, where he's had a very competent 16.9 K-BB% through 60 innings. In fact, he hasn't been below a 20% strikeout rate at any level since rookie ball in 2014. None of that matters against the Red Sox. He will be the pitcher who is picked on this afternoon, especially with capable pitchers going in almost every other later afternoon affair. Ramirez does not even appear to be available on DraftKings. The obvious applies for Mookie Betts (124 wRC+, .239 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and J.D. Martinez (168 wRC+, .370 ISO) with Andrew Benintendi (138 wRC+, .213 ISO) joining the club this year as well. Cheaper exposure comes in the form of Eduardo Nunez (112 wRC+, .160 ISO). There can be some justification for fading the team everyone is expected to be all over against an unknown arm with decent minor league numbers, making his major league debut.
Red Sox have the highest implied run line on the board (5.47) without Mookie Betts again
Mookie Betts is out again. Despite that, the Red Sox still have the top implied run line tonight at 5.47, which actually seems kind of low for a 15 game slate, but no other team is even above 5.2 runs with most games occurring in neutral or negative run environments. While David Hess has an 85 point standard platoon split by actual wOBA, xwOBA closes that to 14 points with batters from both sides within 10 points of .325. While that's not terrible, Hess has just a 13.6 K% and 38.3 GB%, which has led to 9.6% Barrels/BBE. This could cause some problems for him against a contact prone lineup tonight. The biggest issue might be how to afford Andrew Benintendi (139 wRC+, .212 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and J.D. Martinez (167 wRC+, .371 ISO), but Eduardo Nunez (113 wRC+, .162 ISO) might solve that problem for $3.6K or less in the leadoff spot.
Ready to Explode in a Great Matchup
I am by no means a believer in Dylan Covey. Even though he has been decent through his first few starts of 2018, a lot of that has been due to good luck, as he has yet to allow a home run. That will change soon. His walk rate remains sky high, and he still has a SIERA and xFIP over 5.00 for his brief major league career. The Red Sox have a potent offense that should cause lots of problems for Covey. Andrew Benintendi has been phenomenal this year and is one of the top plays on the slate, with Eduardo Nunez provides a nice source of value. A full stack is also very much in play against Covey.
Blaine Hardy hasn't embarrassed himself in four starts, but has a tough task ahead of him at Fenway
The Red Sox have one of the top Vegas run lines on the board (5.33) at home against Blaine Hardy, who hasn't lit the world on fire, but hasn't embarrassed himself in his four starts (no more than two ERs in any). In 59.1 innings, mostly out of the bullpen since last season, RHBs have a .355 wOBA, LHBs a .323 wOBA, but xwOBA reverses that to .337 and .367. Same handed batters actually have a hard hit rate 10 points higher against him too (42.4% to 32.8%). Regardless, J.D. Martinez (166 wRC+, .425 xwOBA, .307 ISO, 53.4 Hard% vs LHP last calendar year) remains an elite bat tonight and a potential bargain, even at $5K. Eduardo Nunez (71 wRC+, .127 ISO) costs around $3K on either site, but has a lineup leading 210 wRC+ over the last week if players are looking for cheaper exposure to this lineup. Sam Travis makes an appearance for less than $3K as well, but his 123 wRC+ in limited appearances against LHP over the last calendar year at the major league level is not supported well by .318 xwOBA andn .125 ISO. He had just an 84 wRC+ and 32.6 K% overall at AAA this season as well.
Red Sox have the top run line on the board (5.8) against Artie Lewicki (7.6 K-BB%)
Even without Mookie Betts, the Boston Red Sox have the top implied run line on the board (5.8) against Artie Lewicki and the Detroit Tigers. Only two other teams are above five runs. Boston bats will be popular tonight as the absence of Betts makes them a bit cheaper, though it's hard to call any of the bats in the top half of the lineup cheap. J.D. Martinez (163 wRC+, .365 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is one of the top bats on the board. In 25 major league innings (one start), Lewicki has a 7.6 K-BB% with batters from either side of the plate exceeding a .340 wOBA and xwOBA and 36% hard hit rate. Andrew Benintendi (135 wRC+, .215 ISO) and Mitch Moreland (119 wRC+, .259 ISO) are top left-handed bats here. Eduardo Nunez (117 wRC+, .165 ISO) is the value play for $3.2K or less. He has a lineup leading 217 wRC+ over the last seven days.
Without Mookie Betts again, the Red Sox still generate a 5.53 implied run line against Sam Gaviglio
The Red Sox are again without Mookie Betts this afternoon. None the less, a lineup without a batter above a 91 wRC+ or .160 ISO against RHP over the last calendar year beyond the five spot in today's lineup has the second highest implied run line (5.53) on this afternoon's board. Sam Gaviglio has struck out 12 of 46 batters in two starts, allowing just three runs in 11.1 innings against the Phillies and A's. He struck out 26.9% in 29 AAA innings as well this season, but hasn't previously been above 20% at any leve since 2014. The only change to his pitch mix has been a few more sliders at the expense of the curveball early on. He has a 4.9% Barrels/BBE at the major league level this year, but with a 41.5% 95+ mph EV. He has no real platoon split with batters from either side within a point of a .340 wOBA since last season, though he generates a few more ground balls against RHBs. Andrew Benintendi (130 wRC+, .215 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and J.D. Martinez (161 wRC+, .362 ISO) are the most attractive Boston bats, while Xander Bogaerts (89 wRC+, .171 ISO), Rafel Devers (89 wRC+, .190 ISO) and Eduardo Nunez (113 wRC+, .164 ISO) should garner interest as well.
Red Sox exceed five implied runs despite a 33.7 K%, 2.55 SIERA and .266 xwOBA for Trevor Cahill
Trevor Cahill has a 2.25 ERA supported by a 2.55 SIERA and .266 xwOBA. He has a 59.6 GB%, has struck out one-third of batters faced and has gone at least six innings in three of four starts. This does not sound like a pitcher players should want to attack, yet the Red Sox have a board high 5.07 implied run line that only two other teams are within a run of. One issue might be a 90 mph aEV and another might Fenway park against a team with a 114 wRC+ at home and 115 wRC+ (18.6 K%, 14 HR/FB) vs RHP. Cahill may even be worth a contrarian look for just $5.1K on DraftKings, though he is making his first start in 11 days due to an elbow issues and Oakland may wish to be cautious even if he does pitch well. While RHBs have a .376 wOBA against Cahill since last season, xwOBA drops that 65 points, giving him virtually no platoon split. J.D. Martinez (152 wRC+, .424 xwOBA, .341 ISO, 48.3 Hard% vs RHP last calendar year) is worth more than his cost against just about any pitcher. He and Mookie Betts (107 wRC+, .212 ISO) breach $5K on either site. Mitch Moreland (116 wRC+) is second in the linup in both xwOBA (.408) and ISO (.244) against RHP over the last calendar year. Cahill may also be a pitcher the Red Sox can run on (premium players have access to Stolen Base Threat Ratings) and Eduardo Nunez (121 wRC+, .179 ISO) could be the best prospect for that.