Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-07-13 | @ ATL | $2.3K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-11 | @ ATL | $2.4K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-09 | vs. MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-08 | vs. MIA | $2.4K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-07 | vs. MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-06 | @ CIN | $2.8K | $2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-04 | @ CIN | $2.6K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-03 | vs. TEX | $2.3K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-07-01 | vs. TEX | $2.1K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2022-06-29 | vs. HOU | $2.3K | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
2022-06-28 | vs. HOU | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-10 | @ MIA | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-09 | @ MIA | $2.1K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-07 | @ PIT | $2.1K | $2K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
2021-07-05 | @ PIT | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-04 | vs. MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-02 | vs. MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-07-01 | vs. NYM | $2K | $2K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2021-06-30 | vs. NYM | $2.3K | $2K | 6 | 9.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
2021-06-27 | @ CIN | $2.6K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-26 | @ CIN | $2.1K | $2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
2021-06-25 | @ CIN | $2.5K | $2.1K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
2021-06-24 | @ CIN | $2.7K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-23 | @ NYM | $2.4K | $2.1K | 16 | 22.2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
2021-06-22 | @ NYM | $2.5K | $2.1K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
2021-06-21 | @ NYM | $2.4K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-20 | vs. STL | $2.2K | $4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-20 | vs. STL | $2.2K | $4K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
2021-06-17 | vs. STL | $2.3K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-16 | vs. BOS | $2.5K | $2K | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-15 | vs. BOS | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-13 | @ MIA | $2.5K | $2K | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
2021-06-12 | @ MIA | $2.6K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-11 | @ MIA | $2.7K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-10 | @ PHI | $2.7K | $2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
2021-06-09 | @ PHI | $2.8K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-08 | @ PHI | $2.7K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-06 | vs. LAD | $2.6K | $2K | 7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 |
2021-06-05 | vs. LAD | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-04 | vs. LAD | $2.3K | $2K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.17 | 0 |
2021-06-03 | vs. WSH | $2.4K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-06-01 | vs. WSH | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-31 | vs. WSH | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-29 | @ NYM | $2.6K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-26 | @ BOS | $2.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-25 | @ BOS | $2.1K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-23 | vs. PIT | $2.3K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-22 | vs. PIT | $2.2K | $2.1K | 12 | 15.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
2021-05-20 | vs. PIT | $2.1K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-05-16 | @ MIL | $2.1K | $2K | 9 | 13.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
2021-05-14 | @ MIL | $2K | $2K | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
2021-04-16 | @ CHC | $8.1K | $2.1K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
2021-04-15 | vs. MIA | $2.3K | $2.1K | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
2021-04-14 | vs. MIA | $2.4K | $2K | 10 | 12.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.42 | 0 |
2021-04-13 | vs. MIA | $2.4K | $2.1K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
2021-04-12 | vs. MIA | $2.4K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-10 | vs. PHI | $2.4K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-09 | vs. PHI | $2.1K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-07 | @ WSH | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-07 | @ WSH | $3.1K | $4.5K | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 3 | 0.67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
2021-04-06 | @ WSH | $2.2K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-04 | @ PHI | $2.7K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2021-04-03 | @ PHI | $2.6K | $2.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Ender Inciarte Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Taking Advantage of Extreme Splits
This matchup is simply too good to ignore. While Anthony DeSclafani is a solid pitcher with some skills, he has one major flaw -- he still can't get lefties out. The splits are extreme, as he has held RHBs to a .242 wOBA this year, while lefties have posted a massive .385 mark. Lefties make hard contact at a 48% clip against the Cincinnati starter, too. Oh, and his ground ball rate is 18% lower against lefties. Basically, LHBs smack him around on a consistent basis. Enter Freeman, who has a 52% hard contact rate and .412 wOBA against RHP this year. It's a graet matchup for the Atlanta slugger, and he is my favorite bat on the slate. You can certainly throw in other lefties like Albies, McCann, and Inciarte to make a GPP stack, too.
Statcast confirms struggles vs LHBs
While Nick Pivetta has an ERA well above his estimators and his Statcast numbers even agree, we also have to recognize and accept several things. The strikeout rate and SIERA have been worse over the last month. LHBs have a .340 wOBA against him that is supported by xwOBA (.342). The Braves have the fifth highest implied run line on this slate (4.8). Pivetta is a viable starting option at his current price in GPPs because there is some upside there. However, a hedge/exposure towards the top half of the Atlanta lineup is certainly acceptable as well. This group includes Ronald Acuna (140 wRC+, .269 ISO vs RHP this season), Ender Inciarte (98 wRC+, .132 ISO), Freddie Freeman (135 wRC+, .185 ISO) and Nick Markakis (121 wRC+, .152 ISO). The three above a .150 ISO also are all above a 40 Hard% too against RHP this year.
Quality pitcher, but with platoon issues
Vince Velasquez is one of the better pitchers on the board, but he has exhibited a significant platoon issue this season and as such, the Braves have a 4.65 implied run line that's fourth best on the board tonight. For Ronald Acuna (144 wRC+, .273 ISO vs RHP) it matters not which arm the pitcher throws with, but Velasquez's .366 wOBA against LHBs boosts Freddie Freeman (132 wRC+, .183 ISO), Ender Inciarte (97 wRC+, .138 ISO) and Nick Markakis (120 wRC+, .153 ISO), all in the top half of the lineup.
Peripherals show larger platoon issues than surface stats
The Braves have just a 4.27 implied run line against Rick Porcello tonight, but the Boston right-hander has had some platoon issues this year. The actual wOBA (.314) is only 20 points higher than RHBs, but the xwOBA is 30 points above that, while his hard hit rate (39.8%) is more than 10 points higher and the ground ball rate (34.7%) more than 18 points lower than against RHBs. The LHBs bunched at the top of the order for the Braves could give him some trouble: Ender Inciarte (97 wRC+, .130 ISO vs RHP this season), Freddie Freeman (130 wRC+, .170 ISO) and Nick Markakis (124 wRC+, .160 ISO). Ronald Acuna (146 wRC+, .284 ISO) is the only batter in the lineup above a .200 ISO vs RHP this season. If players are considering Atlanta bats, they probably work better as part of a stack.
Some well projected bats in a difficult park
Elieser Hernandez has been working out of the pen for the Marlins since his last start in June. He's gone three innings in each of his last two outings, but hasn't reached 40 pitches in over a month, which puts his cap at around four or five innings most likely, if he even gets that far. He has a 16.1 K% and 5.24 SIERA, though a respectable .338 xwOBA and 87.1 mph aEV. The Braves are one of the top projected offense tonight, but their 4.87 implied run line a distant third on this board, likely due to the extremely negative run environment. Players should consider some Atlanta exposure, since LHBs have a .389 wOBA against Hernandez this season, but keep the park effects in mind when paying up for Freddie Freeman (134 wRC+, .192 ISO vs RHP last calendar year). Ender Inciarte (99 wRC+, .130 ISO) is more affordably available in between Freeman and the hottest Atlanta bat, Ronald Acuna (149 wRC+, .280 ISO).
Weather concerns for the only game being played without dome capabilities this afternoon
On a three game slate this afternoon, the only game outside of a dome has weather concerns in Atlanta. Kevin is skeptical about the viability of starting pitching in this game, which is a shame because in Luis Castillo, we have the highest SwStr% on the board (13.7%) for the entire day and Sean Newcomb offers a 23.9 K% with exceptional contact management (3.5% Barrels/BBE best for the entire day). Despite being separated by more than half a run (4.59 to 3.91), these are the two middle teams in terms of implied runs this afternoon. Newcomb has a reverse platoon split, holding RHBs below a .300 wOBA and xwOBA for his career, while LHBs have a .332 wOBA, .370 xwOBA and 32.8 Hard%, which are all much higher. On the small slate, assuming they play, that could make Joey Votto (122 wRC+, .144 ISO), Scooter Gennett (117 wRC+, .178 ISO) and Scott Schebler (98 wRC+, .136 ISO) slightly interesting as LHBs who have hit same-handed pitching reasonably well over the last calendar year. Luis Castillo has nearly the same numbers against RHBs (below a .330 wOBA and xwOBA), though LHBs have a .327 wOBA (.325 xwOBA) with a 38.2 Hard%. Freddie Freeman (137 wRC+, .213 ISO) is the top hitter in this lineup. While Ender Inciarte (101 wRC+, .127 ISO) and Nick Markakis (107 wRC+, .125 ISO) have been league average hitters against RHP, both do so with little power. Ozzie Albies is not in this lineup.
Worst split on the board belongs to Matt Harvey against LHBs
Matt Harvey is coming off his best start in a long time against the Cubs of all teams (6 IP – 2 ER – 1 BB – 6 K – 25 BF), but he has massive issues with LHBs since the start of last season (.409 wOBA, .414 xwOBA, 38.6 Hard%, 34.7 GB%). It's the worst split on the board among those with more than three starts. This seems simple enough. The Braves start their order with four batters ranging from average to great against RHBs and have the fourth highest implied run line on the board (4.96). Freddie Freeman (138 wRC+, .215 ISO vs RHP last calendar year and Ozzie Albies (108 wRC+, .205 ISO), who is suddenly red hot over the last week again (204 wRC+, 58.6 Hard%), can be complimented with Ender Inciarte (102 wRC+, .128 ISO) and Nick Markakis (109 wRC+, .126 ISO), who are a tad pricey for guys who don't provide much power, but lefties are just in such a great spot against Harvey. Cheaper exposure can be had with Johan Camargo (97 wRC+, .134 ISO), further down the lineup.
Using PlateIQ new Premium Reports to identify strong matchups against Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle likes to throw four-seam fastballs. He does so about two-thirds of the time and tries to keep it up in the zone or above, but has allowed eight HRs with the pitch this year (seven more with sliders and changeups). The slider is a woeful pitch with a .450 xwOBA and 92.8 mph aEV. He throws it mostly to RHBs, but will dabble against lefties. This is where PlateIQ comes in really handy, complete with Premium Reports now. We can see right away that Freddie Freeman (139 wRC+, .217 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Ozzie Albies (103 wRC+, .195 ISO) both hammer heaters and sliders. The reports confirm some negative recent trends in Albies' batted ball rates, but still consider this an overall favorable matchup for him by a Player Rating above 60 (Freeman and Nick Markakis are both higher). Batters from the left side of the plate have a career .402 wOBA with a 46 Hard% against Mahle, making them all either high upside players and/or decent values tonight for a team with a 4.91 implied run line that's third best on the board.
Alex Cobb has allowed four HRs and 14 ERs over his last two starts
It's hard to fathom that Alex Cobb is suddenly this bad, but he's allowed at least three earned runs in nine of 12 starts this year, including 14 ERs and four HRs over his last two starts. The Braves have a 4.75 implied run line that's fifth best on the board tonight and while there may not be a ton of value in high priced bats here, they're all probably at least usable in the first half of the lineup. Batters from either side of the plate have a wOBA and xwOBA between .330 and .347 against Cobb since last season, though he does have a 53.3 GB% against RHBs over that span. The interest should be in the four left-handed bats to start the lineup though: Ender Inciarte (103 wRC+, .128 ISO vs RHP last calendar year), Ozzie Albies (100 wRC+, .202 ISO), Freddie Freeman (144 wRC+, .224 ISO) and Nick Markakis (108 wRC+, .129 ISO). Albies has been slumping (11 wRC+ last seven days) and only Freeman is well above average against RHP, but there should be enough to handle Cobb in this lineup.
Braves Lefties in a Great Spot
Another night, another opportunity to target Baltimore pitching. While the Rockies are the obvious spend-up spot for bats, if you are looking for a lesser owned stack for GPPs consider the Braves bats against Alex Cobb. Cobb has struggled to get anyone out this season but especially lefties, allowing a .405 wOBA and a full 2.1 HR/9 this season against LHH. This shapes up to be a dream match up for a Braves lineup with many strong left handed bats, hitting in the hitter-friendly confines of SunTrust Park. Freddie Freeman is the top option here but Albies, Markakis and Inciarte are all great lower-owned options as well who should have no trouble taking advantage of Cobb.