| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-09-27 | vs. MIN | $5.6K | $5.5K | -7.25 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| 2019-09-20 | @ MIN | $6K | $5.5K | 2.6 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2019-09-15 | vs. HOU | $6.5K | $5.7K | 2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.25 | 1 |
| 2019-09-08 | @ MIA | $6.5K | $5.7K | -3.55 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2019-08-30 | vs. BAL | $6.5K | $5.7K | -8.8 | -3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2.25 | 2 |
| 2019-08-25 | @ CLE | $5.8K | $5.8K | 4.25 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-09-30 | vs. CLE | -- | -- | 11.65 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2018-09-25 | @ CIN | -- | -- | 6.65 | 10 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.86 | 0 |
| 2018-09-18 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 15.7 | 28 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 2018-09-12 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 10.85 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5.4 | 0 |
| 2018-09-07 | @ MIN | -- | -- | 4.7 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4.5 | 0 |
| 2018-05-25 | @ TEX | -- | -- | 0.35 | 7 | 4 | 4.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8.31 | 2 |
| 2018-05-20 | vs. NYY | -- | -- | -1.35 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2018-05-14 | vs. TB | -- | -- | 17.05 | 33 | 4 | 7.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.91 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4.7 | 2 |
| 2018-05-09 | @ BAL | -- | -- | 10.65 | 23 | 3 | 6.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4.27 | 0 |
| 2018-05-03 | vs. DET | -- | -- | 5.9 | 17 | 6 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.36 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11.59 | 3 |
| 2018-04-28 | vs. CWS | -- | -- | 33.95 | 55 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11.57 | 0 |
| 2018-04-22 | @ DET | -- | -- | 5.05 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5.4 | 1 |
| 2018-04-17 | @ TOR | -- | -- | 7.85 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10.8 | 1 |
| 2018-04-10 | vs. SEA | -- | -- | -4.1 | 2 | 1 | 4.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1.71 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1.93 | 2 |
Eric Skoglund Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
RHBs have a career .385 wOBA (42.3 Hard%) vs Eric Skoglund, who pitches in Texas (5.11 implied runs) tonight
The Texas offense doesn't bring much to the table, but they do play in Texas and are facing a pitcher who has struggled with both LHBs (.338 wOBA, .350 xwOBA, 37 Hard%) and RHBs (.385 wOBA, .392 xwOBA, 42.3 Hard%) in his career with a 40 GB% against both. This is enough to generate a 5.11 implied run line, making them the lowest of four teams above five tonight. The Rangers have just four RHBs in the lineup tonight, but all appear to be great values below $4K on either site: Delino DeShields (121 wRC+, .186 ISO vs LHP last calendar year), Isiah Kiner-Falefa (106 wRC+, .176 ISO), Jurickson Profar (166 wRC+, .300 ISO) and Robinson Chirinos (142 wRC+, .250 ISO).
Eric Skoglund has a .382 xwOBA and faces an offense that excels against his most frequent pitch thrown
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 4.67 implied run line that's on the top half of the board, but a bit below the top overall offenses tonight. Eric Skoglund has a board high .382 xwOBA and 50.5% 95+ mph EV this season. Further problematic for him in this matchup is that the majority of his pitches are fastballs (70% to LHBs, 55% to RHBs this season) and he's facing a lineup that has made significant improvements against that pitch this season (team 20.2 wFB is fifth in MLB). PlateIQ, which now has PlateIQ Ratings available to premium subscribers both on that page and in LineupHQ, suggests some strong individual ratings in this matchup. Wilson Ramos has a .412 wOBA against the pitch since 2016 and a 125 wRC+ (.191 ISO) against left-handed pitchers over the last calendar year. C.J. Cron (136 wRC+, .268 ISO) and Daniel Robertson (123 wRC+, .206 ISO) come in strong against southpaws. Cron exceeds a .400 Contact xwOBA against all fastballs and sinkers since 2016 according to PlateIQ as well. Should Skoglund get knocked out of this game early (lowest average innings pitched on the board since his debut), Tampa Bay additionally has the luxury of facing one of the worst bullpens in baseball. The KC bullpen is last in the majors in fWAR (-0.8), ERA, FIP (above five) and K-BB (5.7%) by a wide margin. Players will also need to stay up to date with Kevin's forecast, which suggests potential issues with this game, but strong hitting conditions if rain is not an issue.
Below average offenses in Kansas City both have an implied run line above 4.5 runs against poor pitching.
Detroit @ Kansas City is the second of two games where both teams have an implied run line above 4.5 this afternoon, which really speaks to the lack of quality pitching in this game, considering the offenses. The Tigers have made a lot of pitchers look great over the last week. They're going to have to continue to work to do the same against Eric Skoglund (7.6 SwStr%, 6.23 ERA, 9.74 DRA). His .410 xwOBA, 92.4 mph aEV and 52% 95+ mph EV are all second worst on the board. While most of the pitchers the Tigers have improved have been right-handed, they do have some bats who can punish LHP. The lineup has not yet been confirmed, but among projected players, Miguel Cabrera (152 wRC+, .167 ISO, 47.1 Hard%), Nick Castellanos (152 wRC+, .293 ISO) and James McCann (162 wRC+, .283 ISO) have all excelled against southpaws since last season. Mike Fiers has more upside in his 15.2 K% with a 10.2 SwStr%, but his 3.91 ERA is more than half a run below all his estimators because three of his 13 runs have been unearned. His 11.3% Barrels/BBE is third highest today, leading to a .377 xwOBA. Fiers has both a wOBA and xwOBA between .340 and .355 against batters from either side of the plate since last season. The middle of the Kansas City order presents three batters who hit RHP well over that span: Mike Moustakas (120 wRC+, .267 ISO), Salvador Perez (110 wRC+, .217 ISO) and Lucas Duda (120 wRC+, .267 ISO).
Even without Donaldson, the Blue Jays may have the bats to punish weak LHP
Eric Skoglund had a 16.7 K-BB% in 100 AAA innings last year and is a marginally ranked prospect in a weak Kansas City system. The now 25 year-old has walked just one fewer than he’s struck out in 22.2 major league innings so far and has allowed a lot of hard contact (36 Hard%) in the air (36.5 GB%) with just a 6.4 SwStr%. Even without Donaldson, the Blue Jays still have some bats that mash LHP in Justin Smoak (161 wRC+, .286 ISO since 2017), Steve Pearce (107 wRC+, .265 ISO) and don't sleep on Kevin Pillar (141 wRC+, .221 ISO). Though the latter has an xwOBA 50 points below his actual one against southpaws due to a .362 BABIP, it's still an above average .334. Teoscar Hernandez costs $2.7K or less on either site and has hit at every level of the minors. He has a 115 wRC+ and .264 ISO in 212 major league plate appearances. The Blue Jays have a 5.34 implied run line that is more than a half run higher than the next best team.
Tyler Beede makes his major league debut, Eric Skoglund his first 2017 appearance
Two pitchers are making their 2017 debuts tonight, both rookies and for one, it's his major league debut. Tyler Beede replaces Johnny Cueto. A prospect of some note, fangraphs ranks him the second best prospect int he system and puts a 50 grade on him, though they admit he lacks any "dominant aspect" and he projects as a mid-rotation starter. His control is questionable and he struck out just 17.4% at AAA last season. The park is his ally against the Diamondbacks. Erik Skoglund had a 16.7 K-BB% in his age 24 season at AAA last year (100 innings), when he was the number eight prospect in a weak Kansas City system per Fangraphs. He had a 2.2 K-BB% in 18 major league innings and hasn’t thrown a competitive in season pitch anywhere yet this year. At lower levels of the minors, he’s been a marginal strikeout guy with good control. That might make him slightly useful at a very low cost at home against the Mariners tonight, but he’s unlikely to be a lineup difference maker.
Three pitchers are making their first major league start tonight
It's an unusual night in the majors as three pitchers are making their first major league starts. While none are considered big prospects, Eric Skoglund is probably the most highly regarded of the group and the only one making his actual major league debut. The lefty was the eighth ranked prospect in the organization via Fangraphs with a 45 grade, projecting him as a potential back of the rotation innings eater if all goes right. He’s ascended through the minors at about a level per year with a K-BB between 15% and 16.3% at virtually every stop, but the Detroit RHBs are hammering LHP this season (42.3 Hard%, 16.3 HR/FB). If you had told the Mets that Tyler Pill was going to even sniff the major league roster this year, they would have known trouble was afoot. Not even on the 40-man roster until a few days ago, the 27 year-old is minor league depth with a K-BB below 5% at AAA this season. This will likely be his only start as Steven Matz is nearing a return. Those considering stacking Brewers should consider the weather tonight, but it's not a bad play otherwise. Parker Bridwell threw 3.1 innings in relief for the Orioles last year, but the Angels have recently turned him into a starter at AA/AAA this year (as they've successfully done with a couple of relievers this year). Results have been positive thus far as he's stretched out to five innings or more in each of his three AAA starts (24.2 K%), but he does not appear to be available on either site against the Braves tonight. Additionally, Asher Wojciechowski is three years removed from his only three major league starts for the Astros. The now Cincinnati Red 28 year-old has turned in a 23.0 K-BB% at AAA with just a 25.4 GB%. In four relief innings in the majors this year, he has a 12.5 K-BB% with a 25 GB% in the majors. The strikeouts are interesting and he looks to have the top defense in the majors behind him, but how those five starts translate to the majors, especially a now healthy Toronto offense is a bit of an unknown.