Erik Johnson Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Batters from both side have a wOBA of .375 or better against Erik Johnson
Stacking in Petco is rarely advocated, but Erik Johnson has been hammered by batters from both sides since last season (LHBs - .375 wOBA, 41 Hard%, RHBs - .438 wOBA, 38.7 Hard%). All Baltimore bats except for Hardy have a wRC+ above 115 vs RHP this season and an overall wRC+ above 130 over the last week. Of that group, only Kim does not have a .200+ ISO vs RHP this season. Orioles bats are a great pivot from Coors tonight, even at higher prices. Chris Davis has a .320 ISO vs RHP since last season.
Jonathan Schoop moves into 3rd spot for tonight's top projected lineup (6.01 runs)
No Machado, no problem, or at least that's how Vegas sees it for Baltimore, at home against Erik Johnson (7.66 ERA, 5.16 SIERA, 15.4 K%) tonight. Batters from either side have a wOBA above .370 with a hard hit rate above 38% against him since last season with less than 40% of that contact on the ground. Chris Davis (129 wRC+, .256 ISO vs RHP this season) may be tonight's top overall hitter, but Pedro Alvarez (129 wRC+, .267 ISO vs RHP this season) is a much cheaper pivot at First Base with nearly as much upside.The top seven in this lineup all have a wRC+ above 107 vs RHP this season with only Kim of that group carrying an ISO below .190. Trumbo is the only batter in the entire lineup with a wRC+ below 98 over the last week. Jonathan Schoop (115 wRC+, .214 ISO vs RHP this season) bats 3rd tonight, but is the 2nd most expensive batter in this lineup on DraftKings. Anywhere you can get exposure to the top seven in this lineup is recommended, though they're likely to be very popular without much in the way of expensive starting pitching tonight.
Murphy and Zimmermann are OUT against Johnson in San Diego
Erik Johnson is not a good pitcher who has allowed seven HRs to just 77 batters this season with a 7.8 K-BB%. Both lefties and righties have a wOBA above .380 with a hard hit rate above 39% against him since last season. Stacking in Petco is not normally recommended, but might be worth it tonight. Bryce Harper (188 wRC+, .322 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is one of tonight's top bats. Jayson Werth has a 173 wRC+ and 53.3 Hard% over the last week. Clint Robinson (101 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015) and even Stephen Drew (127 wRC+, .328 ISO vs RHP this season) can serve as salary savers with Murphy and Zimmerman out after an extra inning game yesterday before flying across country. Wilson Ramos (153 wRC+, .196 ISO vs RHP this season) bats cleanup at a weak position tonight.
Erik Johnson posted a 5.20 xFIP and 4.97 SIERA in 2015
Erik Johnson will make his first start of the season this evening, and it’s looking like it could be a pretty rough outing for him. In 2015, he pitched 35 innings and owned a 19.9K%, 4.97 SIERA and 5.20 xFIP. His numbers against LHP where even worse, as he posted a 6.64 xFIP, 14BB% and 12.8K% against them in just over 16 IP. The Red Sox players will be popular options tonight, and rightfully so. David Ortiz (.420 wOBA - .306 ISO – 160 wRC+ career vs RHP) stands out as one of the top 1B plays and should be considered in all formats. Dustin Pedroia has hit righties well this season, owning a .390 wOBA and 152 wRC+ against RHP thus far in 2016. Travis Shaw owns a .247 ISO and .454 wOBA against RHP this year in 73 AB’s, and is a solid option at the 3B position. Feel confident in stacking any Red Sox hitters 1-6 in GPP’s this evening.