Springer hits two-run double in Astros' win
Springer finished 1-for-5 with two RBI and one run scored in the 9-4 victory at Chase Field. The 27-year-old outfielder is slashing .303/.378/.575 with 28 home runs, 70 RBI, four stolen bases, and 84 runs scored through 99 games played this season for first-place Houston.
George Springer getting the day off vs. TEX
Springer just returned from a quad injury and the Astros don't want to overwork him out of the gate. Jake Marisnick is starting in center field and batting ninth against Rangers right-hander Andrew Cashner. Josh Reddick is batting leadoff.
George Springer uncoils for two-run homer
Springer struck for a two-run home run in the eighth inning, his 28th homer of the season. He was just activated from the disabled list on Wednesday after missing a month-and-a-half with left quad discomfort. In 96 games this season, Springer holds a .308/.383/.587 triple-slash with the aforementioned 28 home runs, plus 68 RBI.
The Houston Astros (5.44) now have the second highest run line on the slate against Cole Hamels
The Houston Astros have vaulted up the board since early this afternoon and now have the second highest projected run line at 5.44 (+.30). They are the only offense to increase their run total by more than a quarter of a run, while several have dropped more than that over the same time span. The Yankees (5.14 to 4.74), Royals (5.05 to 4.77) and Rockies (4.61 to 4.33) are the biggest droppers. In the case of the Astros, they're facing a previously dominant pitcher, who has struggled this season (Cole Hamels) in a hot park in Texas where the ball is expected to travel. Washington now separates themselves from the Astros by 0.37 runs, but may have to deal with some weather issues tonight. Players can see run lines and track movement for all teams on the Vegas Odds page.
Houston tops Wednesday's main slate with 5.97 projected runs
They're one of four teams above 5.0 projected runs Wednesday night - the others are the Nationals (5.41), Brewers (5.18), and the Yankees (5.1). The Astros will take on Miguel Gonzalez, who has the lowest strikeout rate among all starters today (12.7%) and is poor in the category against both RHB (12.2%) and LHB (13.2%) alike. Although he's worse against lefties (221 TBF in 2017) - .365 wOBA, .226 ISO, 39.6% FB%, 35.5% Hard% - than righties (228 TBF) - .348 wOBA, .178 ISO, 40.3% FB%, 30.7% Hard% - he's still worth attacking from the right side of the plate, especially considering that all four RHB projected to start have ISOs between .196 and .263. The Nationals will square off against Adam Conley, who's demonstrated reverse splits this season. Against LHB (65 TBF), he's given up a 36.0% Hard%, 42.9% FB%, and .225 ISO, which bodes well for lefties Bryce Harper and Daniel Murphy, who typically do worse against LHP. Against righties, Conley has a similar batted ball profile - 37.6% Hard%, 40.5% FB% - but his ISO is lower (.156). Even so, Ryan Zimmerman, Anthony Rendon, Matt Wieters, and Wilmer Difo all have ISOs between .222-.365 this season (sample sizes range from 43-92 PA), which means Conley may have trouble working through this lineup. Of course, Zimmerman (42.9% Hard% vs LHP this year) and Rendon (36.4% Hard%, 52.7% FB%) are the top targets among the righties to take advantage of Conley's primary weaknesses. The Brewers will face fantasy-friendly Bartolo Colon, who pitched a complete-game win last time out - although he gave up nine hits, four earned runs, and a homer. Colon has the second lowest k-rate (13.1%), which is good news for a projected lineup that struggles in that area - they have a 24.2% K% against RHP this year. Colon has a worse batted ball profile against LHB (200 TBF) - 40.4% Hard%, 43.9% FB%, 36.3% GB% against 30.5% Hard%, 29.0% FB%, 50.6% GB% - but has given up a .240 ISO, .407 wOBA to RHB (204 TBF) as compared to .374 wOBA and .225 ISO to the other side. Finally, the Yankees are ready to rock against Nick Tepesch, who's only made two appearances and pitched 5.2 innings over the past two seasons due to injury. Over the course of his career (224.2 IP), dating back to 2013, he's posted a SIERA of 4.56 and a low K% of 14.0%. His handedness splits aren't huge; against RHB (427 TBF), he's allowed a .342 wOBA, .151 ISO, 31.0% Hard%, 34.4% FB% as compared to .340 wOBA, .191 ISO, 30.3% Hard%, 32.1% FB%. His only appearance in the majors this season was for the Twins on May 6th, when he gave up five hits despite lasting just 1.2 innings.
George Springer (quad) activated from DL
Springer had been hoping to be activated on Friday, but the Astros gave him a few extra days to rest up before throwing him back into the fray. He has been on the shelf since July 25 with left quad discomfort. Prior to being sidelined by the injury, Springer was hitting a masterful .310/.384/.590 with 27 homers and 66 RBI in 93 games played.<br/><br/><b><a href=http://www.rotogrinders.com target=_blank>RotoGrinders.com</a> Daily Slant:</b> Springer's return is great news for the Astros in a variety of facets, but one of the nicest parts about getting him back during this series is just how brutal the White Sox are at preventing base stealers from having success. Most DFS players don't focus on SBs, but the White Sox are dreadful enough that we need to take notice. Omar Narvaez - tonight's starter - has been better than teammate Kevan Smith, but Narvaez is still a work in progress as well. Narvaez has thrown out 10 of 46 attempted runners while Smith has gunned down just 3 of 45.
RHBs have a .479 wOBA (15 HRs) against Derek Holland over his last 12 starts
The Houston Astros are the class of tonight's slate, implied for a board high 5.95 runs against Derek Holland. Four more teams have run lines between 4.98 and 5.4 runs with another five between 4.71 and 4.85 on a slate that has Chris Sale and Corey Kluber, but not really too much else on the high end. Dallas Keuchel and Jose Quintana are priced above $10K on DraftKings in good spots, but below $9K on FanDuel. Since the start of June (12 starts), RHBs have a .479 wOBA against Derek Holland, which includes a 2.1 K-BB%, 15 HRs and a 20.2 Hard-Soft%. This may be as close to a forfeit as the White Sox can come while actually participating in the game. That the Astros are considering activating George Springer (198 wRC+, .330 ISO vs LHP this year) tonight doesn't even seem fair. Alex Bregman (158 wRC+, .211 ISO vs LHP) and Jose Altuve (174 wRC+, .245 ISO vs LHP) should be considered top bats on the slate tonight. Tyler White (124 wRC+, .287 ISO vs LHP since last season) is your value play, while Marwin Gonzalez (116 wRC+, .232 ISO vs LHP this year) rounds out stacks nicely. In fact, the only active batter on the team with a wRC+ above 100 or ISO above .200 vs LHP this year has been Brian McCann (125 wRC+, .261 ISO). Building a Kluber/Sale lineup with a Houston stack may be possible by looking for cheaper bats elsewhere.
Springer (quad) not active on Tuesday night
Springer was initially aiming to return to the Astros last Friday, but he's still working his way back from a left quad injury. It might be another couple days. Jake Marisnick is starting in center field and batting ninth Tuesday versus Chicago left-hander Derek Holland. <br/><br/><b><a href=http://www.rotogrinders.com target=_blank>RotoGrinders.com</a> Daily Slant:</b> Despite Springer's absence, the Astros are still the top overall offense on the board, especially the right-handed bats in this lineup. White Sox starter Derek Holland has allowed a whopping 23 HRs to RHBs already this year (2.36 HR/9) with a porous 5.7 K-BB%, and his 40.4 Hard% allowed is simply icing on the cake. Target the Astros with confidence.
George Springer won't be activated Friday
Manager A.J. Hinch hinted this would be the case a few days ago. It doesn't sound like Springer, who was seen running in the outfield before Thursday's game against the Rays, will require a rehab stint. Perhaps he'll be back after the Astros' off day on Monday.
George Springer not a lock to return Friday
Springer was hoping to be back after a minimum DL stint but the clock is ticking and it doesn't look like he'll be ready by Friday. "Friday's his first eligibility day, but I'm not sold that's going to be the day he's activated," said Hinch. "We'll see how he comes out of the next couple of days." Springer resumed running on Tuesday but is still a day or two away from baseball activities. Friday remains a long shot.