Matt Joyce will bat cleanup and face Homer Bailey
The last time Homer Bailey played a significant number of innings was in 2014. Bailey finished the year with numbers some DFS players would consider an abberation, giving up a 1.14 HR/9 to RHBs on only 24% fly balls. A general rule is that pitchers tend to finish with a HR/FB ratio around 10%, but Bailey ended the year with a HR/FB of 20%. Considering Bailey's hard contact % to right-handed bats in 2014 was 34%, it leaves us to wonder if regression towards a lower HR/9 allowed to RHBs is in store for his career moving forward. This seems likely considering his HR/FB allowed to RHBs was 9% in 2013, 13% in 2012, and 8% in 2013. It may be wise to stick to left-handed sticks today for the Pirates, beginning with Matt Joyce (159 wRC+ versus RHB).