J.B. Holmes Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Sticking with the Laird quotes, the Scot also mentioned that a high ball flight is very advantageous around here, allowing you to access tough-to-reach pin locations. That's great news for someone like Holmes who really launches it vertically. Holmes is making his course debut and may not be a perfect fit for these claustrophobic tee shots but everything else leans in his favor. He likes poa annua greens. He's in the upper tier of this weak field when it comes to baseline performance. However, we get a huge discount because his form has been marginal and he doesn't have any course experience. Even without any course knowledge, I would argue that he is a cash option this week. He ranks inside the top 10 in my long-term performance index and also ranks inside the top 15 in long-term cut-made probability. Holmes is also a machine when it comes to par-5 scoring and Silverado Resort has four of them to feast on this week.

I almost never peg Holmes correctly, so feel free to swerve the other way if you believe my streak will continue. However, I really like the way Holmes lines up on this course. The wide fairways will help by allowing him to bomb it off the tee, and his ownership will likely be very low after he missed the cut a week ago at the Quicken Loans. I’m not really concerned about that, as Holmes is a much better fit for this venue. He has four consecutive top 30 finishes at the Old White TPC course, and he ranks well above average statistically in every category I am looking at this week. The relatively steep price will also keep some people away. I love this pivot from some of the chalkier high-end plays.

Holmes burned a lot of bridges with his missed cut last week, but we shouldn’t be surprised. TPC Potomac requires you to be deadly accurate off the tee and that’s never been one of his strong suits. This week’s course (The Old White TPC) is much more open off the tee and every year is ranked near the top in terms of driving accuracy. His ability to bomb it out there will be a major advantage this week, especially if his wedge game continues to be dialed in. He’s good on par fours, he’s good on par fives, and he makes a lot of birdies. The one negative is his putting, but as we have seen a number of times this season, that can flip at any time. He clearly has an eye for the course, posting four straight top 30 finishes.

Darkness, my friend, we meet again. I almost never seem to get Holmes right, so go ahead and lock in the fade right now. All kidding aside, he does make sense for this event. He has three career top 15s at this venue, including the last time he played here two years ago. We know there's upside when he's swinging it (and putting it) well, as we saw back at the Farmers Insurance Open a few months ago. The price tag is very fair, and Holmes continues to at least make cuts even when he doesn't have his "A" game. It's about time that we see some long-term form with him, and that could start this week.