Jarrett Parker Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

There are several spots tonight, not near the top of the board in terms of expected team runs, where pitchers have allowed a high hard hit rate with a wOBA above .350, where players can take advantage of affordable bats if they are willing to accept a negative run environment. It's rare that San Francisco draws any interest from an offensive perspective in a daily fantasy setting, but their 4.72 run projection from Vegas, although smack in the middle of tonight's board, is actually fairly high for them. The reason being that Zach Eflin has been terrible in his short career against LHBs. He's struck out just 10.5% of them with a .385 wOBA and 37 Hard%. The most appealing part is probably that the San Francisco bats are very affordable too. However, among those projected to start tonight, only Denard Span (110 wRC+, .180 ISO) and Jarrett Parker (93 wRC+, .161 ISO) have been even average against RHP this season. In another difficult west coast setting, LHBs have a .370 wOBA and 37.3 Hard% against Luis Perdomo with 53% of their contact on the ground (much lower than RHBs). Daniel Murphy (138 wRC+, .247 ISO vs RHP) projects best there, but Adam Lind (120 wRC+, .213 ISO vs RHP) could serve as a cheap OF bat. Nick Williams (141 wRC+, .242 ISO vs LHP) could have value against Matt Moore (LHBs .365 wOBA, 33.1 Hard% since last season). RH Mets like Yoenis Cespedes (107 wRC+, .279 ISO vs LHP), but more affordably, Asdrubal Cabrera (118 wRC+, .086 ISO vs LHP), Wilmer Flores (110 wRC+, .264 ISO vs LHP), Amed Rosario (144 wRC+, 40 Hard% last seven days), Travis D'arnaud (141 wRC+, .242 ISO vs LHP) and Juan Lagares (102 wRC+, .167 ISO vs LHP) could all provide value against Justin Nicolino (RHBs .355 wOBA, 34.8 Hard% since last season). The Mets are the only one of these teams projected above five runs (5.06) and they have just the seventh highest implied run total on the board.

Anthony DeSlafani gets a major park upgrade tonight, but costs over $9K on DraftKings against an offense with just a 7.8 K-BB%, while his 2.50 ERA is a run and a half below his estimators due to an 82.5 LOB%. He appears to be a bit over-priced in a spot that's fine from a run prevention standpoint, but lacking in terms of potential strikeout upside. While Giants bats generally aren't targets at home, we have to mention that Jarrett Parker has been smashing RHP (178 wRC+, .259 ISO since 2015) and costs just $2.8K or less on either site, batting 3rd tonight. LHBs have a .345 wOBA against DeSclafani since last season. Brandon Belt drops to 6th.

Masahiro Tanaka is a marginal mound choice tonight against an offense with a great 7.1 K-BB% vs RHP. He has pitched well though and has his strikeout rate up to 24.6% over the last month. He also has a career 17.4 HR/FB at home in Yankee Stadium, evenly split to left and right handed batters. Aside from the short RF porch, people often forget that Yankee Stadium is a favorable environment for RH power as well. Looking at a few SF bats with power (Posey, Belt, and Crawford) might not be a terrible idea. All have an ISO between .150 and .200 vs RHP this year, but a tough home park is likely suppressing those numbers. Players should be careful because we're not expecting Tanaka to pitch poorly tonight, but it's more than likely there will be a HR or two. Unlike last time Bumgarner pitched in an AL park, the Giants will not forego the DH tonight. Batting further down in the order, but at great low punt price tags are small sample size heroes Jarrett Parker (180 wRC+, .269 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and Ramiro Pena (169 wRC+, .204 ISO vs RHP this season).

Rick Porcello (3.86 SIERA, 16.2% K-BB) is having a renaissance year for the Red Sox after severely under performing last season. If Porcello were facing a lesser opponent, he would actually be a very solid mid-tier starting option on this slate. However, it's always tough to attack the Giants offense when they only strikeout 16.6% of the time versus RHP and are travelling to a hitters park in Fenway. This isn't a spot to fully stack the Giants hitters as Porcello is more than capable of shutting them down, but we can definitely target one or two lower cost upside bats to fill out our lineups. Brandon Belt (141 wRC+, .374 wOBA, .188 ISO vs RHP), Jarrett Parker (171 wRC+, .418 wOBA, .212 ISO vs RHP), and Brandon Crawford (115 wRC+, .336 wOBA, .180 ISO vs RHP) are all priced reasonably and would be the top options to consider.

Shelby Miller has shown signs of life recently but his overall numbers this season have been dreadful (5.49 SIERA, 3.4% K-BB%). A matchup at Chase Field against the Giants is not the spot we should look for him to get back on track. Not only do the Giants not strikeout a ton, Miller is allowing a ridiculous 35.5% Hard% which has resulted in an inflated 17.9% HR/FB rate. Buster Posey is out of the lineup but we can still look to a few Giants bats as potential plays. We can realistically target any of the Giants bats 1-5 but Jarrett Parker (174 wRC+, .423 wOBA, .200 ISO vs RHP) getting the lineup bump to fifth is the best value and in a great spot. Brandon Belt (153 wRC+, .390 wOBA, .207 ISO vs RHP) and Brandon Crawford (122 wRC+, .345 wOBA, .184 ISO vs RHP) are also great plays as they have the platoon and the power to provide substantial upside in tournaments.