John Lamb Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Highest run line belongs to an offense that has struggled greatly with LHP this year
In one of just two extremely positive run environments in play on Tuesdays, the Red Sox top the board at 5.58 implied runs against John Lamb, despite their team 86 wRC+ and 16.7 K-BB% against southpaws. Though they've been improving on those numbers of late, there still aren't many batters in this lineup who are strong against LHP, aside from the few who really punish them. Just two starts this season, but Lamb has faced more than 550 major league hitters in his career with batters from either side above a .370 wOBA and 14 HR/FB with a below average ground ball rate. J.D. Martinez (159 wRC+, .323 ISO vs LHP last calendar year) and Mookie Betts (165 wRC+, .258 ISO) are likely to two of the most popular bats on the board should players be able to find a way to afford them. Nobody else in the lineup exceeds a .180 ISO vs LHP over the last calendar year. Xander Bogaerts (126 wRC+, .148 ISO) should be popular as well though. While Lamb has lasted a total of 8.1 innings in his two starts, these three bats all hit RHP nearly as well too.
Targeting John Lamb is less automatic at this point in the season, though Marlins RHBs are still viable options
Over his last few starts, John Lamb does still have an xFIP of 4.43, which is nothing to write home about. Still, Lamb has been able to strike out batters at a 25% rate, which has helped him to limit the damage. If for some reason this improvement is a mirage and Lamb's 1.85 HR/9 is still more of who he really is as a pitcher, then play Giancarlo Stanton and sit back and enjoy the results.
Nationals implied run total is 5.2 runs, third highest on the slate
The Nationals have hit LHP extremely well as a team this season (117 wRC+, .349 wOBA, .212 ISO). John Lamb has had better results in his last few starts but his peripheral and advanced stats still show he is not pitching all that great (5.10 SIERA, 6.3% K-BB%, 33.9% Hard%). The Nationals also have the bats to take advantage of Lamb in this matchup. Jayson Werth (215 wRC+, .494 wOBA, .297 ISO vs LHP) is the top option in the Nationals lineup and bats second. Michael Taylor (122 wRC+, .357 wOBA, .259 ISO vs LHP) and Anthony Rendon (133 wRC+, .372 wOBA vs LHP)are in consideration due to there ability to get on base and create runs. Bryce Harper (114 wRC+, .345 wOBA, .237 ISO vs LHP) and Ryan Zimmerman (.258 ISO vs LHP) offer significant power upside in this matchup and need to be targeted.
The Cubs have the top projected run total (5.32) outside of Colorado
The Cubs have the top projected run total (5.32) outside of Colorado and are the only other team even above five runs. RHBs have a .343 wOBA against John Lamb in his short career with LHBs hitting him even harder (.409 wOBA, 34.3 Hard%). The entire lineup is playable, right down to the punt Catcher batting 8th (212 wRC+, .382 ISO vs RHP for David Ross this season). Anthony Rizzo (135 wRC+, .199 ISO vs LHP since 2015) might be the top bat in a same handed matchup, though Kris Bryant (130 wRC+, .252 ISO vs LHP career), who had a monstrous night last night, will challenge for that. Both are bats that should be worth paying up for. Javier Baez (178 wRC+, .219 ISO vs LHP career) is a lower cost value play, especially on FanDuel ($2.9K).
Padres have a 117 wRC+, .341 wOBA, .176 ISO vs LHP, receive massive ballpark boost traveling to Great American Ballpark
John Lamb (5.29 SIERA, 14.3% K%, 10.0%), simply put, is not a good pitcher. The Padres typically aren't a team we go out of our way to target but they currently have a 4.8 implied run total. The Padres are actually a sneaky, above average offense against LHP (117 wRC+, .341 wOBA, .176 ISO) and are heading to Cincinnati to play in the Great American "Smallpark" which is extremely conducive to RH power. If there's one thing the Padres have, it's a plethora of right handed batters. The primary target for the Padres is Yangervis Solarte (199 wRC+, .460 wOBA, .310 ISO vs LHP) batting clean-up and reasonably priced on all sites. Other more expensive Padres to target are Matt Kemp (190 wRC+, .447 wOBA, .373 ISO vs LHP), Wil Myers (146 wRC+, .383 wOBA, .234 ISO vs LHP), and Melvin Upton Jr. (123 wRC+, .348 wOBA, .239 ISO vs LHP). We can perhaps even look to Adam Rosales (113 wRC+, .333 wOBA, .200 ISO vs LHP) as a low cost, low owned tournament punt.
John Lamb has a K% below 14%, meaning balls in play for Danny Valencia and the Athletics
John Lamb has had a few good outings in recent weeks, but his strike out rates still point towards using Athletics bats today. Today combines two of 2016's DFS rules. Rule 1 is to always play RHBs against John Lamb and his 4.85 xFIP and 1.24 HR/9 allowed to RHBs. Rule 2 is to always play Danny Valencia against any non-elite LHPs, supported by his wRC+ of 261 against LHP.
Jhonny Peralta returns to lengthen an already deep St Louis lineup
The Cardinals have just a 102 wRC+ vs LHP, but that's a number that's been improving and the addition of Jhonny Peralta ($2K on FanDuel) only serves to lengthen this lineup to where you can't find a weak point. John Lamb hasn't been successful against batters from either side in his career, but has allowed LHBs a .442 wOBA and 37.7 Hard%, though we're only talking about 85 PAs. Still, Matt Carpenter hits LHP well (111 wRC+, .197 ISO since 2015) and is the hottest bat in this lineup (270 wRC+, 47.1 Hard% over the last week). He could see lower ownership atop a lineup projected to score 5.27 runs tonight due to the lefty on the mound. Stephen Piscotty is one of the top OF bats tonight. He has a career 184 wRC+ and .224 ISO vs LHP. Almedys Diaz may have cooled off, but is still an average SS bat (105 wRC+, .154 ISO vs LHP) in the two spot of a potent lineup. While those are the top three bats, this is an entirely stackable offense through the top five at least.
Brewers look to take advantage of John Lamb at home
John Lamb got roasted in his first start on the road this season and faces the Brewers, who are projected as a top five offense today. Ryan Braun is the most expensive bat in the lineup ($5.1K on DK) and has really turned it on over the last week (.489 wOBA, 209 wRC+). Lucroy also returns to the lineup and is the cleanup batter after having the day off on Thursday. Lucroy has been really struggling over the past week (.080 wOBA, -67 WRC+) and is too risky for cash games tonight. Jonathan Villar (.447 wOBA, 181 wRC+ vs. LHP this season) is a nicely priced ($3.7K on DK, $3.8K on FD) leadoff hitter that has been especially hot over the last 2 weeks (.410 wOBA).
Ketel Marte leading off for the Mariners
Ketel Marte is leading off and facing a pitcher in John Lamb who has a career wOBA of 0.352 against right-handed batters. In only a few starts this year, Lamb has really struggled against RHB, allowing a wOBA of 0.414 to RHB in only 9 innings worth of at-bats.
Giants are now facing LH Lamb, still 2nd highest projected run line
John Lamb had a 26.4 K% in just under 50 major league innings last year, but was also a fly ball pitcher with a 14.3 HR/FB. He's a late replacement for the RH Moscot and could even be considered an upgrade, though the Giants are still projected to score 5.02 runs per our Vegas Odds page, the 2nd highest total on the board. This is a good offense vs pitchers from either side of the plate, led by Brandon Belts 140 wRC+, .216 ISO, 38.1 Hard% vs LHP since last season. He's also the hottest hitter on the team with a 245 wRC+ over the last week. Hunter Pence (87 wRC+ vs LHP, 226 wRC+ last seven) and Buster Posey (135 wRC+ vs LHP, 162 wRC+ last seven) aren't far behind and make for a potent middle of the order tonight.