Jose Reyes Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Enyel de los Santos has a 45+ Future Value grade attached to his Fangraphs player page, but without any other prospect rank or information about the 22 year-old for this season. What we can find throughout his minor league career is consistency. He had a 14.6 K-BB% in 52.2 innings in A ball for the Padres in 2016 before moving up to high A. In 150 AA innings last year, he had a 14.6 K-BB%. In 95.1 AAA innings for the Phillies this year, he has a…wait for it…14.6 K-BB%. That’s a bit better than league average and even if he drops a bit at the major league level, that’s fine. He's in a great spot in a great park tonight. The Mets have just put out a lineup absent Michael Conforto, but including Jose Reyes (81 wRC+, .117 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) batting sixth. He could have some trouble with the top half of order which includes Brandon Nimmo (150 wRC+, .247 ISO), Asdrubal Cabrera (116 wRC+, .205 ISO) and Wilmer Flores (127 wRC+, .254 ISO), but the Mets 4.42 implied run line seems a bit optimistic at this point. De los Santos costs just $5.5K on FanDuel, but is $2K more on DraftKings, where he still may be an option.

Amir Garrett (90.1 mph), Ian Kennedy (89.9 mph), and Ricky Nolasco (89.9 mph) have the highest average exit velocities on the board tonight. Kennedy (11.4%) and Jake Thompson (11%) have the only double digit Barrels/BBE rates. Garrett (41.8%), Nolasco (40.9%) and Matt Moore (40.2%) have allowed the highest rates of contact above a 95 mph exit velocity. Garrett allowed 18 HRs over his last nine starts before being banished to the minors, where he had basically league average peripherals and a 10.1 HR/FB. Two Mets batters tonight have both an above average wRC+ and ISO vs LHP this year. They are Jose Reyes (112 wRC+, .189 ISO) and Travis D'arnaud (150 wRC+, .239 ISO). The latter is a great option at Catcher on FanDuel for just $2.6K. Ian Kennedy multiple HRs in four of last five and has just one strikeout in three of his last four starts. Kansas City is not a power friendly park, but Max Kepler, Eddie Rosario and Brian Dozier all exceed a .200 ISO vs RHP this year. Batters from either side have a 330+ wOBA and 35+ Hard% against Kennedy. Ricky Nolasco's 33 HRs are the third most in the majors. His hard hit rate has been at least 33.3% in six of his last eight starts. Nelson Cruz and Robinson Cano each have multiple HRs against him. Jake Thompson is coming off the best start of his career, 6 IP - 1 ER - 7 K in Miami. He allowed five HRs with 5 BBs and 6 Ks in his two previous, one vs Miami. Batters from either side have a .350+ wOBA and 35+ Hard% against him this year. Daniel Murphy (135 wRC+, .231 ISO vs RHP) is the top play from the Nationals, though a top half of the lineup stack could be potent. Matt Moore has allowed a .444 wOBA (34.1 Hard%) to LHBs. The White Sox have just one (Nick Delmonico) in the lineup. RHBs have a 35% hard hit rate against Moore too though. Jose Abreu has smashed LHP this year (187 wRC+, .282 ISO).

Dominic Smith (71 wRC+, .209 ISO vs RHP) is probably not the ideal choice of a cleanup batter for the Mets at this point in his career, but the real goal for this team may be survival at this point with Wilmer Flores and Amed Rosario joining the wounded over the weekend in Houston. Smith is actually the only batter in the lineup with an ISO above .160 against RHP this year. Brandon Nimmo (124 wRC+, .099 ISO vs RHP) is one of just two batters with a wRC+ exceeding 90 against RHP (Nori Aoki is the other - 101). Nimmo has been an on-base machine without much power, which is obviously why Terry Collins has Jose Reyes (74 wRC+, .137 ISO vs RHP) leading off with him batting sixth. Mark Leiter has started six games for the Phillies this year, in two batches of three each. He's been serviceable with at least five strikeouts in five of them, but no more than six in any. For the season, he has a perfectly average 20.7 K%, but 25% in August. The Mets are implied for 4.45 runs, but Leiter is facing a confirmed lineup with a .280 wOBA and .120 ISO vs RHP this year (PlateIQ). He's pitched at least 6.2 innings in each of his last two starts and is certainly a pitcher players might want to consider on a weak slate at a reasonable price. The other factor in his favor is the recent schedule for the Mets, who traveled home from Houston after playing a double-header Saturday and a day game Sunday, while also assisting in hurricane relief efforts. While an extremely noble cause, all of this activity and travel could come back to hurt them on the field for an early afternoon Monday start.

The Mets may be down, well, an entire lineup at this point, but they can still provide some value to players paying up for pitching (specifically Chris Sale) tonight. While RHBs have a .397 wOBA against Sal Romano vs just a .320 wOBA for RHBs, RHBs have a 58 GB% and 31.8 Hard% against a 41.3 GB% and 37.7 Hard% for LHBs. Batters from either side have a double digit walk rate. He's had a hard hit rate above 35% overall in three of his last four starts. The Mets only have four LHBs in their lineup, but all are among the first six batters in the lineup and all are less than $3K on FanDuel with only Asdrubal Cabrera reaching $4K on DraftKings. Brandon Nimmo is up to a 136 wRC+ and 43.2 Hard% vs RHP this year. Jose Reyes has a 212 wRC+ since coming off the DL this week. Asdrubal Cabrera has a 42.9 Hard% over the last seven days. Dominic Smith has a .222 ISO vs RHP this year and a 50% hard hit rate over the last week.

Jaime Garcia has league average strikeout potential with a high ground ball rate (54.6% is fifth among qualifiers) and 7.0 Hard-Soft%. He also transitions to a highly negative run environment at Citi Field tonight. That’s the good news. His walk rate (9.2%) ties the highest of his career, including 10 of 78 batters since being traded from Atlanta. The Mets have a 17.7 K-BB% vs LHP, but a 23.8 HR/FB over the last week as their top RH bat is heating up. Yoenis Cespedes has a 210 wRC+ over the last week and a .284 ISO with a 58% fly ball rate against LHP this year. Jaime Garcia has kept RHBs grounded more often than LHBs since the start of last year (57% to 50.8%), though batters from either side have at least a 14 HR/FB and RHBs have a .336 wOBA with a 31.7 Hard%. Additionally, the Mets have the third best sOPS+ (Baseball-Reference) against ground ball pitchers (123). Michael Conforto leads the way with a 188 sOPS+ against ground ballers among Mets with more than 25 PAs. He's also hit LHP very well this year (104 wRC+, .247 ISO). He and Cespedes are the expensive bats in this lineup. However, the rest of the lineup, including Wilmer Flores (111 wRC+, .264 ISO), Jose Reyes (109 wRC+, .189 ISO), Travis D'arnaud (149 wRC+, .250 ISO) have all hit LHP fairly well this season and cost much less. We can include Amed Rosario in that group with his 182 wRC+ over the last week too. D'arnaud has struggled against ground ball pitchers though (38 sOPS+), the only really below average hitter against them this season in tonight's lineup, but his prowess against LHP and bump up the lineup could compensate for that for less than $3K on either site.

Without a Coors game on the slate, no team has an implied run total above six tonight, though seven are above five runs and two (Rangers & Dodgers) separate themselves nearly half a run above the rest of the pack. The Rangers are park infused in one of the top run environments in play today against a pitcher who has been erratic, but not necessarily always bad and with occasional reverse splits in Adam Conley. Texas has just an 81 wRC+ and 25.7 K% vs LHP. The Dodgers, on the other hand, should punish Bartolo Colon. LHBs have a .348 wOBA and 36.9 Hard% against him since last year. On the lower half of the board, the New York Mets have an implied run line of just 4.17. Clayton Richard's ground ball rate dips to a reasonable 55.7% against RHBs since last season with a .374 wOBA. This year, it's .390 with all 16 of his HRs allowed. Since 5/27 (eight starts), RHBs have a .436 wOBA (eight HRs), just a 12.5 K% and 43.2 Hard%. While Yoenis Cespedes (167 wRC+, .306 ISO vs LHP since last season) is an obvious choice, even in a down year, and Wilmer Flores (159 wRC+, .308 ISO vs LHP since 2016) is a known lefty masher by this point, the surprise may be Jose Reyes (159 wRC+, .283 ISO vs LHP since 2016), who has a 132 wRC+ in the second half of the season. Travis D'arnaud has smashed LHP too this year (203 wRC+, .349 ISO) and costs around $3K on either site.

Several players have homered twice against the pitcher they are facing tonight, but only Manny Machado (98.9 mph, 11 BBEs) and Kendrys Morales (99 mph aEV, four BBEs) exceed a 92 mph aEV. Machado has faced J.A. Happ 40 times, adding a double and triple to his two homers. Morales has faced Ubaldo Jimenez 22 times with two additional doubles. Josh Donaldson also has a 93.9 mph aEV against Jimenez, but with just three extra-base hits and a single homer in 33 PAs. Joey Votto has a 93.9 mph aEV on 13 BBEs against Jimmy Nelson, but without an extra-base hit in 26 PAs. Relaxing requirements to nine BBEs, Jose Reyes has a 95.2 mph aEV against Jose Urena with a double and a triple in 10 PAs.

The Mets lineup is severely compromised against LHP without Cespedes and even D'arnaud tonight, but they do get lefty-masher Wilmer Flores (180 wRC+, .338 ISO vs LHP since 2015) tonight in the cleanup spot at the absurdly low price of $3K on DraftKings and $2.4K on FanDuel. He even has two career HRs in 10 PAs against Jaime Garcia. You have to credit DraftKings with finally spiking the prices of Michael Conforto (11 wRC+ vs LHP career) and Jay Bruce (75 wRC+, .166 ISO vs LHP since 2015) in time to face the left-handed Garcia tonight. While Jose Reyes (115 wRC+, .184 ISO vs LHP since 2015) and Asdrubal Cabrera (107 wRC+, .140 ISO vs LHP since 2015) have been average bats against LHP, Flores is the one players want exposure to tonight. Reyes, however, has put up a 178 wRC+, .324 ISO vs LHP since last season without a significant change in BABIP and is the hottest bat in the lineup over the last week (222 wRC+). He simply added 10 points to his hard hit rate and over seven points to his fly ball rate against southpaws. Garcia may have a 3.99 ERA, but just 13.5 K% despite a league average 9.4 SwStr% with estimators above five due to a .242 BABIP. Garcia, normally a ground ball prone pitcher (56.1 career GB%) has seen that number drop to 43.6% this year.