Juan Nicasio

Texas Rangers
Pos: RP | Hand: R
Status: Inactive
player props
FPTS -8 -6 -5 -3 -2 -0 1 3 5 6 SAL $500 $1K $1.5K $2K $2.5K $3K $3.5K $4K $4.5K $5K
  • FPTS: -1.55
  • FPTS: 4.75
  • FPTS: 2.25
  • FPTS: 0.45
  • FPTS: 3.05
  • FPTS: 6.25
  • FPTS: 0.9
  • FPTS: -0.3
  • FPTS: 2.45
  • FPTS: 3.65
  • FPTS: 5.9
  • FPTS: -0.6
  • FPTS: 2.9
  • FPTS: 3.05
  • FPTS: -1.55
  • FPTS: -9.65
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: --
  • SAL: $5K
  • SAL: $5K
  • SAL: $5K
  • SAL: $5K
  • SAL: $4K
07/19 07/21 07/23 07/27 08/01 08/02 08/06 08/08 08/14 08/15 08/23 09/25 09/27 08/16 08/18
Date Opp DKSAL FDSAL DKFPTS FDFPTS k ip ab sho w hra l er cg ha 3ba bba sba ibba whip hbp qstart 1ba k/9 2ba
2020-08-17 vs. SD $4K $5.5K -9.65 -11 0 0.1 0 0 0 1 0 4 0 2 0 2 0 0 12 0 0 1 0 0
2020-08-16 @ COL $5K $5.5K -1.55 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 9 2
2019-09-27 vs. MIA $5K $5.5K 3.05 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 9 0
2019-09-25 @ WSH $5K $5.5K 2.9 5 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1.5 0 0 0 13.64 0
2019-08-23 @ MIA $5K $5.5K -0.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0
2019-08-15 vs. CHC -- -- 5.9 9 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 4.5 0
2019-08-14 vs. CHC -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 9 0
2019-08-07 @ ARI -- -- 2.45 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 2 2 3 0 0 1 9 0
2019-08-05 @ ARI -- -- -0.3 2 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 4.5 0 0 2 13.64 1
2019-08-02 vs. CWS -- -- 0.9 2 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1.5 0 0 0 13.64 1
2019-08-01 vs. SF -- -- 6.25 9 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18 0
2019-07-27 vs. ATL -- -- 3.05 6 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 18 1
2019-07-23 @ DET -- -- 0.45 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 1
2019-07-21 @ PIT -- -- 2.25 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-19 @ PIT -- -- 4.75 7 0 0.1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-17 vs. LAD -- -- -1.55 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 1 9 0
2019-07-16 vs. LAD -- -- 5.5 8 2 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 27.27 0
2019-07-03 @ ATL -- -- -7.65 -8 0 0.1 0 0 0 1 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 12 0 0 1 0 2
2019-06-29 @ MIA -- -- -7.05 -8 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 0 9 0 0 1 0 1
2019-06-27 vs. NYM -- -- 4.25 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0
2019-06-25 vs. NYM -- -- 2.3 5 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 13.64 1
2019-06-24 vs. NYM -- -- 3.05 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 9 0
2019-06-22 vs. MIA -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0
2019-06-19 @ WSH -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1 9 0
2019-06-15 @ ATL -- -- 6.55 11 2 1.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 1.2 0 0 0 10.84 1
2019-06-11 vs. ARI -- -- 4.25 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0
2019-06-05 @ SD -- -- 4.75 7 0 0.1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-04 @ SD -- -- 2.3 5 1 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 13.64 0
2019-06-01 @ LAD -- -- 0.75 1 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-31 @ LAD -- -- 3.9 6 1 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 4.5 0
2019-05-29 vs. STL -- -- -4.15 -3 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 9 1
2019-05-21 @ CHC -- -- -5.65 -5 0 0.1 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 12 0 0 1 0 1
2019-05-20 @ CHC -- -- 0.9 2 0 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1.5 0 0 1 0 0
2019-05-19 vs. COL -- -- 5.05 9 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 18 0
2019-05-15 vs. MIL -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 9 0
2019-05-13 vs. MIL -- -- 3.7 8 2 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 4.5 0 0 3 27.27 0
2019-05-12 @ KC -- -- 1.65 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-07 @ STL -- -- 9.9 15 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 13.5 0
2019-05-04 vs. WSH -- -- 3.05 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 9 0
2019-04-30 vs. DET -- -- 7.9 12 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0.5 0 0 0 9 0
2019-04-24 @ NYM -- -- 4.25 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0
2019-04-22 @ NYM -- -- 0.3 2 0 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 1.5 1 0 0 0 0
2019-04-19 @ COL -- -- -0.05 2 1 1.2 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 1 0 1.8 0 0 0 5.42 0
2019-04-18 @ COL -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 9 0
2019-04-13 @ MIA -- -- -0.85 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 6 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 5 6 1
2019-04-10 vs. WSH -- -- -0.5 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 4 1 1 0 0 2.5 0 0 2 4.5 1
2019-04-03 @ WSH -- -- 5.8 10 2 1.1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 1.5 0 0 1 13.53 0
2019-04-02 @ WSH -- -- 0.9 2 0 0.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1.5 0 0 1 0 0
2019-03-30 vs. ATL -- -- 3.65 6 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 9 0

Juan Nicasio Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Walker and Conforto return to face a pitcher with a .411 wOBA vs LHBs since last season.

Juan Nicasio has a .411 wOBA against LHBs this season and it was .412 last season. Obviously, the Mets want to stack as many lefties as they could, which is a reason it's a surprise to not see Kelly Johnson, who homered last night. Neil Walker (105 wRC+, .165 ISO vs RHP this season) and Michael Conforto (143 wRC+, .278 ISO vs RHP this season) have been banged up with a bad back and sore wrist respectively, so it's a bit unexpected to see both of them in there and it could decrease their performance, but you might not be able to stay away from affordable bats against such a terrible pitcher against LHBs. Curtis Granderson (122 wRC+, .146 ISO vs RHP) is a top overall bat tonight at the top of the order. Asdrubal Cabrera (95 wRC+ vs RHP this season) is an affordable LH SS bat at the top of the order, who has been hot (168 wRC+, 57.9 Hard% over the last week). Yoenis Cespedes (134 wRC+, .276 ISO vs RHP this season) has virtually no split and should be included in stacks, but Nicasio has been much more successful against RHBs (.278 ISO with just three HRs allowed in a little over 300 PAs since last season).

Marcell Ozuna and Giancarlo Stanton out of the lineup for the Marlins

Giancarlo Stanton is out of the lineup again on Thursday, after returning on Wednesday from a 7-game absence due to soreness in his side. Marcell Ozuna is just getting a routine day off and should be back on Friday. Justin Bour will take over as the cleanup hitter for Ozuna and J.T. Realmuto will bat 5th for Stanton. Juan Nicasio really struggles against left-handed bats, making Bour a viable option on the 8-game slate. Nicasio has allowed a .408 wOBA in 2016 and .412 wOBA in 2015 to left-handed bats, putting #3 hitter Christian Yelich also in play tonight. Yelich has been struggling over the last couple weeks (.280 wOBA, 71 wRC+ L14) so he is only a tournament play and not viable for cash games. Bour has been playing well over the last couple weeks (.348 wOBA, 117 wRC+) and is viable in all league formats. With Carlos Carrasco being the only expensive pitcher on the slate, Bour is easily playable and is not too expensive across the industry.

Nicasio draws the top matchup tonight (Braves 66 wRC+ vs RHP), but greatly struggles with LHBs (.410 wOBA)

This game offers low cost opportunity on both ends with Juan Nicasio having tonight's top matchup against the Braves (66 wRC+, 3.5 HR/FB, 4.3 Hard-Soft% vs RHP). Nicasio greatly struggles against LHBs (.410 wOBA since 2015) though and the Braves load the lineup with a couple of adequate ones tonight at low cost. In fact, all six LHBs in the lineup have at least a 102 wRC+ vs RHP since last year. A.J. Pierzynski (109 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015) is an excellent low cost catcher option in the cleanup spot tonight when the position is very weak overall. He has a 45.5 Hard% over the last week. Kelly Johnson (102 wRC+, .161 ISO vs RHP) is more of an average bat hitting 6th, but for below $3K. Freddy Freeman (145 wRC+, .227 ISO vs RHP) is more normally priced, but is the one bat that is definitely worth it and has four HRs vs Nicasio in just 17 PAs, while Markakis (117 wRC+ vs RHP) and Inciarte (116 wRC+ vs RHP) might provide some average cost value ahead of Freeman against a pitcher who struggles so greatly with LH bats. The Braves are still projected to score just 3.13 runs tonight though.

Votto OUT of the lineup vs Nicasio

It's a peculiar choice of nights to rest Joey Votto against a pitcher with a .392 wOBA against LHBs since last season. The Cincinnati lineup now includes just three LHBs with one a weak hitting catcher batting eighth and another Billy Hamilton (45 wRC+ vs RHP since last season). This should be a combination he can run on should he find himself on first base though. Jay Bruce (98 wRC+, .236 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the bat to look at here for $3.4K on either site. Votto's absence suddenly puts Nicasio in play with a .270 wOBA against RHBs since 2015, which includes striking out about a quarter of the batters from that side of the plate. His cost still runs a bit high on FanDuel ($7.9K), but it's just $6K on DraftKings. One other name to mention is the right-handed Adam Duvall, who has a 131 wRC+ vs RHP, 223 wRC+ over the last week, and four batted balls with an average exit velocity of 96.4 mph against Nicasio per Baseball Savant.

Alfredo Simon = Pirates stack!

Alfredo Simon is one of the worst SP's in baseball which means you always want to target opposing bats whenever he takes the mound. Tonight that would be the Pirates, especially their lone LH bat, Gregory Polanco as Simon has a .384 wOBA allowed to lefties. He's not much better against RH bats (.333 wOBA) so David Freese (leading off for John Jaso who gets the night off), Andrew McCutchen (batting second), and Starling Marte (batting clean up) are excellent targets as well. Juan Nicasio is an intriguing GPP SP option facing the Reds (25th against RHP the last two seasons) but it is a hitters park so there is some risk involved. Nicasio is extremely vulnerable to LH bats (.392 wOBA allowed the past two seasons) so Billy Hamilton (batting second) and Jay Bruce (batting clean up) are secondary options from the Reds. Joey Votto, who would have been an elite option, will not play.

Nicasio .392 wOBA vs LHBs since 2015 is a problem, as may be weather in Cincinnati

Juan Nicasio has allowed a .392 wOBA to LHBs since last season (.367 this year) and failed to strike out more batters than he's walked in half his starts. The fact that there are only two decent LH bats in the lineup might bode a bit better for him, but this is still not a spot where you'd want to test a pitcher with bad control at a high cost (FanDuel), though he seems like he could be more of a break even proposition for $6.3K on DraftKings. If this game gets played, and you'll want to follow Kevin's updates here and on Twitter because it appears to at risk, Joey Votto (158 wRC+, .224 ISO, 43.0 Hard% vs RHP since 2015) might be the top bat outside of Coors tonight (185 wRC+, 58.3 Hard% last seven days). Billy Hamilton is an awful hitter (45 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015, 40 wRC+ last week), but he does bat left-handed against righties and this might be a spot where he can do some damage if he can reach base at least once and may get five opportunities batting second tonight.

Jon Lester thrives on the road

Over his career, and even more noticeably over the last two seasons, Jon Lester has performed much better when he has pitched on the road. Last season he allowed a .191 wOBA to LH bats on the road (opposed to .286 for the season) and a .278 wOBA to RH bats in away games (opposed to .290 for the season). His early results this season follow along with that (sub .210 wOBA allowed to both sides of the plate on the road) and today he visits Pittsburgh as a moderate -143 favorite. With options like Matz and Strasburg available today, Lester is a great pivot in both cash and GPP's in the early slate even facing a Pirates team loaded with RH bats. Juan Nicasio has been great in his home starts this season (dominant against RH bats with a .101 wOBA allowed) but has been vulnerable to LH hitting over the course of his career (.361 wOBA including .412 in 2015). This spells trouble for him with a Cubs lineup that mashes RH pitching. Dexter Fowler and Anthony Rizzo are hot and are top plays at their respective positions and Tommy La Stella could be a sneaky play batting second in this lineup. From the Pirates side of things, Jordy Mercer hits lefties well, is fairly cheap and leading off. He's really the only bat we're targeting from that side today.

Nicasio hasn't lived up to March promise, but faces 2nd worst offense vs RHP (67wRC+) at low price

Juan Nicasio has delivered on none of the promise he showed in March since his first start (14 IP - 11 BB - 14 K - 65 BF) and hasn't exceeded a 6.3 SwStr% in any of his last three starts. LHBs have soundly thumped him for a .402 wOBA since last season. The Cincinnati lineup is back intact with Phillips and Bruce returning minus Mesoraco though tonight. However, they're still not very good and their 67 wRC+ vs RHP is tied for 2nd worst in the league with the Braves. On matchup and park alone, Nicasio stands out as a useful complimentary pitcher on DraftKings for $5.8K, though I'd think longer and harder about using him at a higher price on one pitcher sites. Pittsburgh plays nearly neutral for LH power, making Jay Bruce (100 wRC+, .235 ISO vs RHP since 2015) a moderately valued bat tonight. Take a good look at Joey Votto (158 wRC+, .221 ISO, 42.8 Hard% vs RHP since 2015) as potentially the top value play at a loaded 1B position tonight for $3.5K or less on both major sites. He's begun to climb out of his slump with a 151 wRC+ over the last week.

David Peralta cleaning up, Jake Lamb batting second for the D-backs

Juan Nicasio had a 0.412 wOBA versus left-handed batters in 15 innings worth of plate appearances. He somehow gave up zero homeruns, with 28% of his batted balls by lefties being flyballs. Perhaps David Peralta will change that with his 0.397 wOBA against right-handed pitchers last year. Jake Lamb had a more modest 0.322 wOBA versus lefties, but he was still a developing player in 2015.

Juan Nicasio could be interesting SP option today against Tigers

It appears as if Juan Nicasio has experienced a rebirth in Pittsburgh after a strong spring and first start and while he probably won't see more than 100 pitches, he could be a compelling option going against a Tigers lineup that is dominated by RH bats. Nicasio has struggled in the past against lefties but only Anthony Gose and the switch-hitting combo Victor Martinez and Jarrod Saltalamacchia are in the lineup for the Tigers today. Last season in 42 2/3 innings against RH bats, Nicasio gave up a .277 wOBA but perhaps more importantly he struck out 49 and gave up only one home run. Tigers starter Anibal Sanchez has trended towards a reverse-splits type of pitcher the last two seasons giving up a .368 wOBA to RH bats last season as opposed to a .297 wOBA against LH bats. This puts the two through five bats of McCutchen, Freese, Marte, and Cervelli squarely in play. Sanchez is favored to get the win but he's someone to avoid unless you're just playing the small two game afternoon slate.