Keon Broxton

Milwaukee Brewers
Pos: OF | Hand: R
Status: Inactive
player props
FPTS 2 4 5 7 9 11 13 14 16 18 SAL
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  • FPTS: 2
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  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 0
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  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 2
  • FPTS: 0
  • FPTS: 0
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08/19 08/20 08/21 08/24 08/27 08/28 08/30 09/01 09/04 09/06 09/08 09/14 09/15 09/19 09/29
Date Opp DKSAL FDSAL DKFPTS FDFPTS sf ab slg h so hbp gidp 1b babip 2b pa 3b sb hr xbh r obp rbi iso bb ops ibb
2019-09-28 vs. OAK -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-19 @ PIT -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-15 vs. CWS -- -- 2 3.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-13 vs. CWS -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-08 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-05 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-09-03 @ CHC -- -- 2 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 0
2019-08-31 @ TEX -- -- 2 3 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2019-08-29 @ TEX -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-28 vs. NYY -- -- 2 3 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.5 0
2019-08-26 vs. NYY -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-23 vs. TOR -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-21 @ TB -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-20 @ TB -- -- 2 3.2 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-19 @ TB -- -- 4 6 0 2 0 0 2 1 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 1 0.5 0
2019-08-18 @ TOR -- -- 18 24.9 0 3 1.33 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 2 0.5 1 1 1 1.83 0
2019-08-17 @ TOR -- -- 6 10 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 2 0 1 0.25 0
2019-08-15 @ DET -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-14 @ DET -- -- 6 6 0 3 0.67 2 1 0 0 2 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 0 0 0 1.33 0
2019-08-13 @ DET -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-11 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-10 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-09 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-07 vs. SD -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-06 vs. SD -- -- 9 12 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2019-08-03 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-08-02 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-31 @ TEX -- -- 19 25.2 0 4 1.25 2 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 2 0.75 0 1.75 0
2019-07-30 @ TEX -- -- 8 9 0 5 0.2 1 2 0 0 1 0.33 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0.2 0 0 0 0.4 0
2019-07-20 vs. BOS -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-19 vs. BOS -- -- 23 31.4 0 3 1.67 2 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 1 1 2 0.75 2 1 1 2.42 0
2019-07-17 vs. WSH -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-13 vs. TB -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-12 vs. TB -- -- 4 6.2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 0
2019-07-06 @ TOR -- -- 9 12.5 0 3 0.67 1 0 0 1 0 0.33 1 4 0 0 0 1 0 0.5 1 0.33 1 1.17 0
2019-07-05 @ TOR -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-03 @ TB -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-07-01 @ TB -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-30 vs. CLE -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-29 vs. CLE -- -- 9 12.4 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 5 0 0 0 0 2 0.4 0 0 1 0.65 0
2019-06-25 vs. SD -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 1 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-06-23 @ SEA -- -- 4 6 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 0 0 2 0.5 0
2019-06-22 @ SEA -- -- 7 9.2 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-20 @ SEA -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 3 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-06-19 @ OAK -- -- 3 3 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-06-18 @ OAK -- -- 5 6.2 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2019-06-16 vs. BOS -- -- 7 9.2 0 3 0.67 1 1 0 0 0 0.5 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2019-06-15 vs. BOS -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-14 vs. BOS -- -- 8 9.5 0 3 0.67 2 0 0 0 2 0.67 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.67 1 0 0 1.33 0
2019-06-13 vs. TOR -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-12 vs. TOR -- -- 3 3 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0.33 0 0 0 0.67 0
2019-06-11 vs. TOR -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-09 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-08 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-07 @ HOU -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-06 @ TEX -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-05 @ TEX -- -- 5 6 0 5 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-06-04 @ TEX -- -- 24 30.9 0 4 1.25 2 0 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 1 1 1 2 0.5 1 0.75 0 1.75 0
2019-06-02 vs. SF -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-31 vs. SF -- -- 4 6.2 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 1 0.25 0
2019-05-29 vs. DET -- -- 14 18.7 0 4 1 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.25 1 0.75 0 1.25 0
2019-05-28 vs. DET -- -- 0 0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-27 vs. DET -- -- 8 9 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 1 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-05-26 @ COL -- -- 12 15.7 0 4 0.75 2 1 0 0 1 0.67 1 4 0 0 0 1 1 0.5 1 0.25 0 1.25 0
2019-05-25 @ COL -- -- 5 6 0 4 0.25 1 2 0 1 1 0.5 0 5 0 0 0 0 0 0.4 0 0 1 0.65 0
2019-05-24 @ COL -- -- 19 25.2 0 4 1.25 2 2 0 0 1 1 0 4 0 0 1 1 1 0.5 2 0.75 0 1.75 0
2019-05-16 @ WSH -- -- 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-14 @ WSH -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-11 vs. MIA -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-10 vs. MIA -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-08 @ SD -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-07 @ SD -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-05 @ MIL -- -- 7 9.2 0 3 0.67 1 2 0 0 0 1 1 3 0 0 0 1 1 0.33 0 0.33 0 1 0
2019-05-04 @ MIL -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-03 @ MIL -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-05-02 vs. CIN -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-30 vs. CIN -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-29 vs. CIN -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-28 vs. MIL -- -- 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-26 vs. MIL -- -- 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-23 vs. PHI -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-21 @ STL -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-20 @ STL -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-19 @ STL -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-17 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-16 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-15 @ PHI -- -- 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-14 @ ATL -- -- 5 6.5 0 2 0.5 1 0 0 0 1 0.5 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 0 1 0
2019-04-13 @ ATL -- -- 7 9.2 0 4 0.25 1 3 0 0 1 1 0 5 0 0 0 0 1 0.4 0 0 1 0.65 0
2019-04-12 @ ATL -- -- 9 12.2 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 1 0 0 1 0.2 0 0 1 0.2 0
2019-04-11 @ ATL -- -- 5 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-10 vs. MIN -- -- 2 3.2 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-07 vs. WSH -- -- 0 0 0 4 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-06 vs. WSH -- -- 7 9.5 0 3 0.33 1 1 0 0 1 0.5 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0.5 1 0 1 0.83 0
2019-04-03 @ MIA -- -- 5 6.2 0 4 0.25 1 1 0 0 1 0.33 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0.25 0 0 0 0.5 0
2019-04-02 @ MIA -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-04-01 @ MIA -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-03-31 @ WSH -- -- 18 21 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 2 1 0 3 0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 0
2019-03-30 @ WSH -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019-03-28 @ WSH -- -- 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Keon Broxton Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Extremely Cheap Leverage Stack

The low end of SP today is ugly enough that you may want to pay up in both slots, which means you'll need to find cheap stacks. At as little as $17k on DraftKings, the Mariners fit this bill with the lineup they're throwing out today with Lopes leading off and Nola batting 3rd. Thomas Pannone, who will providing the bulk of the innings for the Jays, has only an 18% K rate to righties on 50% fly balls and a .204 ISO over a two-year sample size. Being that he might be a popular option at SP2 today on DK, this 5-man Mariners stack provides additional leverage for large field GPPs.

Kikuchi has highest 30-day SIERA (6.11) of all starters today

If you’re playing the late afternoon slate, it might be wise to look at stacking against Yusei Kikuchi, who has really struggled. Over the past 30 days, Kikuchi has posted a 6.11 SIERA, 6.49 xFIP, 10.35 ERA, 0.9% K-BB and 42.7% hard contact rate. He’s allowed a .456 xwOBA (!!) and 89.2 MPH aEV over that time frame. The Orioles don’t have a good offense, but they are in a great spot here and will have plenty of affordable bats in their lineup for this matchup. Pedro Severino (.428 xwOBA vs. LHP this year), Trey Mancini (.402) and Renato Nunez (.346) have all mashed LHP this year; Mancini is $4.7k on Draftkings but Severino and Nunez can be had under $4k. Hanser Alberto (.287) will leadoff, and Jonathan Villar (.249) is also a nice play given the stolen base potential. Keon Broxton is also in play with a career 103 wRC+ vs. LHP and a price of just $2.9k on Draftkings. The Mariners bullpen as a whole has also struggled with a 7th worst 4.53 SIERA over the past 30 days. The Orioles have a 4.03 implied total vs. Kikuchi and the Mariners Sunday afternoon.

Orioles are a solid stack option vs. Brian Johnson

Brian Johnson hasn’t shown a ton of success in the Majors: In 136 career innings as a starter and reliever, Johnson has a 4.69 ERA / 4.94 xFIP / 4.50 SIERA with a 10.8% K-BB, 1.58 HR/9, 43.5% FB rate and just a 7.6% SwStr. The Orioles haven’t been a great offense this year but have a decent amount of solid options vs. LHP and are very affordable. Pedro Severino (.432 xwOBA vs. LHP this year), Trey Mancini (.418), Renato Nunez, (.352), Hanser Alberto (.282) and Keon Broxton (.278) are all intriguing options today in the Baltimore lineup. Alberto will leadoff and costs just $3.4k on Draftkings. Severino is batting 3rd at just $4k and will likely be a very popular play given that he has mashed LHP this year. Renato Nunez is also a good value batting 4th at just $4k. Anthony Santander is another option at just $3.9k, he has a 172 wRC+ this year although in just 34 PA. Severino and Mancini have been the Orioles’ hottest hitters; each have an xwOBA over .400 the last 14 days. The Orioles currently have a 4.71 implied line versus Johnson and the Red Sox.

Orioles seem underrated again today despite being in Coors

The Orioles face Kyle Freeland today in Coors field in what looks to be a great spot. Freeland has not been nearly as effective as he was in his breakout 2018; he currently has a 6.02 ERA / 5.23 xFIP / 5.00 SIERA, all three numbers are much higher than they were in 2018. His hard contact is up 12 percentage points to 43.6% and his FB rate has risen 5 points to 40.2%. He also has an ugly .364 xwOBA allowed with a 89.2 aEV and 10.3% barrel rate. Hanser Alberto (161wRC+, .172 ISO vs. LHP since 2018), Jonathan Villar (68 wRC+, .131 ISO), Trey Mancini (100 wRC+, .177 ISO), Renato Nunez (102 wRC+, .185 ISO) and Keon Broxton (55 wRC+, .077 ISO) project as the top 5 hitters in the O’s order. Villar and Broxton have ugly numbers at the plate but are always a threat for a steal or two. Nunez has been the hottest Oriole hitter with a .460 xwOBA over the past 10 days. With the exception of Trey Mancini ($5.5k), all Orioles projected hitters are under $5k on Draftkings. The O’s aren’t a great offense, but their implied total of 4.79 feels low given that they’re playing in Coors and have a matchup versus a struggling starter.

Built for Coors

Davis Mattek and myself have a running joke that anytime a speedster with a below average offensive skill-set finds himself in the lineup in Colorado that the player is "Built for Coors". Essentially it's a way to help remind ourselves that 1) any player with a pulse sees a big boost in projection by simply playing in Coors and 2) that Coors Field helps inflate extra base hits even more so than HRs because of how big the outfield is. While Broxton is below average offensively as a whole, he has shown a bit of pop against left-handed pitching (.190 ISO) throughout his career. That power combined with his speed and price tag make him a cash game target on Saturday's main slate.

Cheap Coors Exposure

The Orioles don’t project quite as well on the other side of the Coors Field game tonight, but they are certainly capable of doing some damage. Kyle Freeland has undoubtedly regressed in 2019, with a sub-20% strikeout rate, a walk rate that has crept above 10%, and a slew of other troublesome metrics. His SIERA and xFIP are both over 5.00, and his hard contact rate has skyrocketed. Freeland is largely splits neutral, so I will lean on power hitters that are decent against left-handed pitching. Hanser Alberto and Trey Mancini have posted wOBA marks well over .400 against lefties this year, while Renato Nunez has also made an impact of his own. In addition, don’t sleep on Keon Broxton as a value. This is a nice way to get very cheap exposure to Coors Field, and Broxton had two hits including a home run in last night’s series opener. He sits at $2,700 on FD, $3,500 on DK, and $6,500 on FDRAFT. That’s too cheap for a guy that is projected to be hitting fifth at Coors, no matter how talented the player may or may not be.

Sneaky, Sneaky

I simply do not trust Jake Arrieta’s early season success. Not only is he somebody that I would avoid rostering, he’s also someone that I would consider targeting if looking for a “sneaky” stack with low expected ownership. SlateIQ has the Mets tied for the seventh lowest total ownership on the slate. New York has some powerful left handed bats in their lineup and also have some power on the right side with Pete Alonso who currently leads the league with 15 Barrels - tied with Christian Yelich. The Mets don’t have a ton of speed but it is notable that Arrieta has historically struggled with stolen base prevention, which would give someone like Keon Broxton or Amed Rosario a boost in value at sub-1% ownership if they were in the lineup.

Orlando Arcia (228 wRC+ last seven days) bats second against debuting lefty Dietrich Enns

Dietrich Enns was picked up by the Twins in the Jaime Garcia trade from the Yankees last week. The 26 year-old lefty is nowhere to be found on prospect lists and not even available on either site, but it's still worth examining the matchup from the Milwaukee standpoint. The Brewers actually have a lower HR rate vs LHP (15.3 HR/FB vs 18.4 HR/FB) than RHP despite the perception that it's a lineup full of RH power. That may have been true in the past and still is to some extent, but Travis Shaw and Eric Thames have made it a more balanced lineup this season. Orlando Arcia bumps up to second in the lineup tonight and it's certainly not his performance against LHP this year that's the cause for this move (84 wRC+, .082 ISO). However, he does have a 228 wRC+ and 40 Hard% over the last week and a reasonable cost on either site. Ryan Braun, Domingo Santana, Jesus Aguilar, and Keon Broxton all have a an ISO above .200 vs LHP this year, Broxton the only one of that group with a wRC+ below 120. While Braun (165 wRC+, 40 Hard%) is the only one of the four with a wRC+ above 89 over the last week, each of the other three (Santana, Aguilar, Broxton) all have a hard hit rate of at least 50%. Aguilar may be of particular value on FanDuel for just $2.1K. Of course, in order to have value, the Brewers need to make contact. They strike out a lot against pitchers from either side and Enns has had a strikeout rate above 19.5% at every stop as a professional where he's had more than six innings since 2012. Important to note that on the other side of this matchup, Zach Davies has gone seven innings in four straight with a 19.3 Hard%, but Max Kepler, Brian Dozier, Eddie Rosario and Miguel Sano all have an ISO above .200 against RHP this year and all except Sano have a wRC+ above 160 over the last week. All except Dozier have a hard hit rate above 40% over the last week.

Affordable Brewer RHBs could be a pathway towards more costly bats & premium pitching

Players looking to have it all tonight probably want to stack Astros with either Chris Sale or Corey Kluber. One potential pathway to get there may be affordable RH Brewers. Minnesota is a positive run environment that plays a bit better than neutral for RH power. Batters from that side of the plate have a .339 wOBA and 32.7 Hard% against Adalberto Mejia in his career. Ryan Braun, Jesus Aguilar, Domingo Santana and Keon Broxton all have an ISO above .200 against LHPs this year and all except Broxton also have a wRC+ above 125. Additionally, all except Braun have a hard hit rate above 50% over the last week. None are above $4K on DraftKings with Aguilar and Broxton below $3K on FanDuel. Going deeper into this lineup, Hernan Perez and Manny Pina have not shown much power, but both have a wRC+ above 100 against LHP this year at similarly low price points. Orlando Arcia has a 166 wRC+ and 47.4 Hard% over the last week. With several of those bats around or below $2.5K on FanDuel, players should be able to plug in Brewer bats around their Astros and still have enough for a premium pitcher left over.

RHBs have a .415 wOBA (39.1 Hard%) against Nick Pivetta

It's still a small sample size (11 starts), but Nick Pivetta has shown some stunning reverse splits so far with RHBs torching him for a .415 wOBA and 39.1 Hard%. Although his 14.8 K-BB% is actually a bit higher than against LHBs (11.9%), 11 of his 12 HRs have been surrendered to RHBs as well. He has an identical 36 GB% against batters from either side, so it's really the harder contact (by 10 points) that's done him in. Being a fly ball pitcher in Philadelphia isn't very friendly and though he's not pitching there tonight, it may not get any better in Milwaukee against an offense with a 20 HR/FB at home and vs RHP. This fact hasn't snuck up on anyway, as the Brewers currently hold the second highest implied total (5.35 runs), but players may not immediately recognize that RHBs should be the path to success here. It will be interesting to see if they play Jesus Aguilar (105 wRC+, .252 ISO vs RHP since last season), but in addition, Domingo Santana, Ryan Braun, Keon Broxton, Manny Pina and Hernan Perez are all RHBs with an ISO above .190 vs RHP this year. Santana has the highest wRC+ at 123.