Logan Verrett Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
First five Padre hitters tonight all above average hitters vs RHP this season
The Padres were, at one point, the worst offense in the majors vs RHP and still have just an 83 wRC+ and 17.0 K-BB% against them, but they are facing a poor pitcher tonight (4.66 ERA, 5.03 SIERA, 15.3 K%) and the top five batters in the lineup all have a wRC+ above 115 against RHP this year. While Jankowski (136 wRC+, .095 ISO vs RHP this season) has no power and costs $4.9K on DraftKings, the next four all have an ISO above .190 against righties. Dickerson (133 wRC+, .263 ISO vs RHP this season) and Schimpf (138 wRC+, .331 ISO vs RHP) still retain a cost below $4K on DraftKings, while all except Myers (116 wRC+, .201 ISO vs RHP this season) are below $3.5K on FanDuel. The top five Padres are a reasonable stack here, despite a projection below four runs, but Dickerson and Schimpf appear the potential value plays.
Cardinals have a 113 wRC+, .341 wOBA, .199 ISO as a team versus RHP
To this point in his brief career, Logan Verrett has shown reverse splits, which sets up well for this righty-heavy Cardinals lineup. Verrett has a career 15.9% K%, 10.0% BB%, and 4.64 xFIP versus right-handed batters. Unfortunately, he hasn't fared much better against lefties posting a 18.6% K%, 8.2% BB%, and 4.56 xFIP. Verrett induces a respectable number of ground balls (45.3%), but nothing special, so the Cardinals should be able to take full advantage of Verrett in this matchup. There's a lot of ways we can go with the Cardinals bats as the entire lineup is in a good spot but Jedd Gyorko (153 wRC+, .398 wOBA, .374 ISO), Greg Garcia (151 wRC+, .395 wOBA), Aledmys Diaz (145 wRC+, .386 wOBA, .216 ISO), and Matt Adams (.242 ISO) are the ideal options given their lineup position and season long numbers against righties.
Giancarlo Stanton (.255 ISO vs RHP since 2015) costs less than $4.5K and faces a RHP with a reverse split
Logan Verrett has struggled with a 4.21 ERA even with a 78.8 LOB%. He's shown a bit of reverse platoon split since last year with LHBs having a .329 wOBA against him since last season (RHBs .307 wOBA), but RHBs having a higher hit hard rate (32.3% vs 29.5%). Giancarlo Stanton is back in the cleanup spot tonight and is the top bat (120 wRC+, .255 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and is reasonably priced at less than $4.5K on either site. Marcell Ozuna costs $3.5K or less and has started to pick it up against RHP (113 wRC+, .173 ISO this season). While Realmuto and Yelich rate decently as well, both cost in excess of $4.5K on DraftKings.
Andres Blanco bats 3rd for Phillies tonight
Andres Blanco had a surprising 136 wRC+ last season, though a lesser 118 vs RHP, in about a half season worth of PAs (261). That's enough to bump Maikel Franco down to the 5th spot against spot starter Logan Verrett tonight. Verrett has acquitted himself well in his limited opportunities in this capacity for the Mets over the last year, occasionally struggling with control, but missing a near league average number of bats. He's a viable secondary option on DraftKings for the low cost in a good spot (Phillies 55 wRC+ at home, 75 wRC+ vs RHP so far), but don't expect too much. The two through five batters in the order for Philadelphia all have hit RHP decently since last season (114 - 129 wRC+) with Ryan Howard suddenly more of a threat to go deep again (.246 ISO vs RHP since last year). They could be used as a small contrarian stacks or individually against Verrett as well, though Maikel Franco loses just a touch of value with the two spot drop in the order.
Can Mets bats turn it around today?
The Mets came into this season with much hype and while their pitching has been as expected on most occasions, their offense has been a complete failure thus far. They'll look to turn it around today against LHP Adam Conley when they face the Marlins this afternoon in one of three games on the early slate. We don't have much to work with in regards to Conley as he has only pitched 68 innings in the major leagues and on the surface it appears he struggles more against same-handed batters with a .380 wOBA allowed but that's in a very small sample size of 9 2/3 IP. He's a bit better against RH bats (.309 wOBA) but we still have to think that the Mets should be able to do something against him. David Wright, Yoenis Cespedes, and Wilmer Flores are the key three to target as they all hit LHP very well. Juan Lagares could also make for a very sneaky punt option hitting seventh. Logan Verrett takes the mound for the Mets and is probably the second option at SP behind Taijuan Walker in the early slate. He's been extremely tough on RH bats thus far in his career (.248 wOBA) and holds his own against LH bats (.284 wOBA). Dee Gordon and Christian Yelich are worth a look if you're just playing the three game slate and if you really want to stretch for value, Ichiro Suzuki batting second is about as cheap as they come but as a wise man once said... "you get what you pay for" so buyer beware.