| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-17 | vs. KC | $2.7K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-16 | @ BOS | $2.9K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-15 | @ BOS | $2.8K | $2.1K | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 1.5 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 |
| 2022-06-12 | @ CLE | $8.7K | $2.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-11 | @ CLE | $2.7K | $2.1K | 10 | 12.7 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2022-06-09 | @ CLE | $2.9K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-06-08 | @ ATL | $3.2K | $2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2022-06-07 | @ ATL | $3.1K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-04-30 | @ STL | $2.7K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-04-27 | vs. LAD | $6K | $6K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 |
| 2022-04-25 | vs. LAD | $2.1K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-04-22 | vs. NYM | $2K | -- | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2022-04-21 | @ WSH | $2K | -- | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
Matt Davidson Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
No Strikeout Downside
Since the start of 2019, Brett Anderson has a 13.3% strikeout rate with a 52.6% groundball rate against right-handed hitters. He also has a 31.4% hard to soft contact ratio against right-handed hitters. Castellanos, Suarez, Davidson (small sample size), and Ervin have really good numbers against left-handed pitching. The Reds have a 4.5 implied team total, which is the fifth highest on the slate. I’m hoping they come in a little lower owned, and if you’re playing on DraftKings or Yahoo, I don’t mind throwing in Casali.
Boom or Bust Spot
Davidson is a guy we can pretty much always count on for 16 Dk points or zero, and this spot is probably no different. He gets a matchup against Littell who, although we don't have a huge sample size this season, is only K'ing guys at a 12% clip (which plays perfectly for Davidson and his 34.1% k rate vs RHP). Davidson owns a .188 ISO and .452 CXwOBA this year and when he's putting the ball in play, like he likely is doing today, the dude can mash the ball. They aren't fantastic weather conditions today, but in comparison to all the other games on the slate they aren't terrible. Take the boom or bust spot here and hope that he gets ahold of one.
Value against a below average lefty
The White Sox are hitting the ball well (112 team wRC+ last seven days) and have a healthy 4.79 implied run line against a southpaw who gets smashed by RHBs (.386 wOBA) in Francisco Liriano. There should be some interest in reasonably priced bats in their lineup tonight. Matt Davidson (158 wRC+, .250 ISO vs LHP this season) and Tim Anderson (103 wRC+, .196 ISO) are the top bats here and most expensive with ideal lineup spots. Jose Rondon has few PAs against LHP, but bats second for less than $4K on DraftKings. Also all less than $4K on DraftKings or $2.5K on FanDuel are Welington Castillo (110 wRC+, .176 ISO), Kevan Smith (178 wRC+, .135 ISO) and Ryan LaMarre (125 wRC+, .127 ISO). Of course, Castillo and Smith are both catcher eligible bats.
Really Like These Right-Handed Hitters
The White Sox are a prime target for me tonight, and Matt Davidson in particular has a ton of upside in this matchup. A lot of these hitters strike out a lot against left-handed pitching, but Liriano just doesn't strike a lot of right-handed hitters out. He has a .393 wOBA with a .221 ISO and a 16.5% strikeout rate against right-handed hitters this season. In 110 PAs, Davidson has a .250 ISO with a .403 wOBA and a 43.3% hard-hit rate against lefties this season. I want to attack Liriano, and on a 15-game slate, I highly doubt the White Sox have a ton of ownership.
Bartolo Colon has a 40.0% Hard-Soft% (51.6% Hard%) through five June starts
Colon has gone through stretches this season where he's seemed like a competent starting pitcher at the big league level, but in recent weeks, the BABIP regression monster has begun to rear its ugly head, as his June ERA has ballooned to 7.77, fueled by a .371 BABIP that is much closer to the .331 mark he posted over the course of the 2017 season. Not only has Colon recorded just 14 strikeouts in those five starts, but his 43.2% fly ball rate and 43.9% hard-hit percentage should continue to become a larger problem in the rising Texas temperatures over the upcoming summer months, making it highly likely he will serve up some long balls to Chicago White Sox batters at Globe Life Park this evening. The White Sox are certainly a volatile offense against right-handed pitching, as evidenced by Saturday's starting lineup's massive 25.5% strikeout rate to righties over the last two seasons, but those concerns are largely mitigated by Colon's strike-heavy approach on the mound and his minuscule 14.9% strikeout rate on the year, making a full White Sox stack extremely viable in large-field tournament formats given tonight's ideal hitting conditions. Even with a higher-than-desirable 34.4% strikeout rate, Yoan Moncada remains the clear-cut top target in this Chicago lineup, as his skillset versus right-handed pitching is evident once examining his 0.519 xwOBA, 0.211 ISO, and 41.6% hard-hit percentage against righties to this point in his young career. If aiming to surround Moncada in lineups with some of his teammates, look no further than Jose Abreu (0.222 ISO, 0.418 xwOBA vs RHP since 2017), Avisail Garcia (0.173 ISO, 0.427 xwOBA vs RHP since 2017), and Matt Davidson (39.4% HH%, 0.225 ISO, 0.493 xwOBA vs RHP since 2017), all of whom sacrifice the platoon advantage in a matchup with Colon but still exhibit the necessary power and contact abilities to take advantage of Colon's inefficiencies on the mound at this stage in his career.
A Guy in a Perfect Matchup
The two things I generally look for when I'm trying to figure out if Davidson is a good matchup is if the pitcher strikes out a lot of guys and if he gives up hard contact. Looking at how Colon does in that area, is enough to have me max out my credit cards just betting on Davidson. On the year, Colon has a 43.5% hard hit rate and a tiny 14.9% K rate. Davidson owns a .197 ISO and .533 CXwOBA on the year which grades out perfectly versus Colon. Add in that its hot and humid over in Texas and you've got a great spot for a HR here.
Double Dong Possibility Here
There are three things I look for when I'm thinking of playing Davidson: does the pitcher give up hard contact, fly balls and does he K guys at a high rate. All these boxes are checked with a pitcher like Hardy. Since to the beginning of 2017, Hardy has a below average K rate (17.9%) and above average hard hit (33.5%) and FB rate (42%). Davidson's wOBA is a full 150 points lower than his CXwOBA and he own a .235 ISO since 2017. With his 31% K rate mostly mitigated and his multi position eligibility over on DK, I'm going to be throwing him in all over the place. Don't trust him in cash, but in GPP's you aren't gonna find a much better play for the price.
Jose Abreu (.251 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) gets a shot at a home run prone pitcher in a power friendly park
Jake Odorizzi has allowed four HRs over his last two starts and 13 over his last 9, pushing his season ERA above four with estimators still above that. Odorizzi is a fly ball pitcher with a reverse split (RHBs .341 xwOBA, 39.4 Hard% since last season) in a park that favors RH power in Minnesota. Jose Abreu has a lineup leading 142 wRC+ and .251 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year. He has a contact xwOBA above .390 against both the four-seam fastball and slider since 2016 according to PlateIQ, the two pitches Odorizzi utilizes 80% of the time against RHBs this year. Yoan Moncada (127 wRC+, .220 ISO) and Matt Davidson (94 wRC+, .235 ISO) have shown above average power against RHP as well. Davidson, additionally, has a .500+ Contact xwOBA against those two pitches since 2016 as well.
If at first your Game-Stack succeeds, Try and Try again
I have been doing more game stacking over the last couple years and it has treated me extremely well. This game screams game stack to me.. We have the perfect recipe, Terrible starting pitching in Shields and Hardy, 2 of the worst bullpens in baseball, 2 teams who hit much better during the day and pretty nice hitting conditions in Detroit. I love the Sox righty power vs lefties like Hardy, especially Abreu, Anderson and Davidson who all have terrific splits. On the Tigers side I am all about the lineup 1 though 7 against the fraudulent James Shields. Detroit has some major pop that I think crushes Shields and that Sox pen today. I am especially high on Candelario, Castellanos, Martin and Hicks
Matt Davidson (back) scratched Saturday: Jose Rondon replaces
Davidson has been scratched from the Chicago White Sox original confirmed lineup and will not start in Saturday's matchup against the Detroit Tigers due to a lingering back issue. He'll be replaced in the lineup by Jose Rondon, who will handle the designated hitter duties and slot into the cleanup spot in the order, which does enable the remainder of the White Sox lineup to stay intact as they face off against left-hander Francisco Liriano on the road this afternoon.