| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-09-25 | @ ARI | $5.2K | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2020-09-24 | @ SF | $6.4K | $5K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-09-22 | @ SF | $3.3K | $2.6K | 15 | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 2020-09-19 | vs. LAD | $3.4K | $3.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-17 | vs. LAD | $3.3K | $3.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-15 | vs. OAK | $3.7K | $3.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-13 | vs. LAA | $3.4K | $3.3K | 14 | 18.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2020-09-11 | vs. LAA | $3.6K | $3.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-09 | @ SD | $3.3K | $2.7K | 16 | 22.2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2020-09-08 | @ SD | $3K | $5K | 8 | 9.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-09-07 | @ SD | $3K | $2.6K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2020-09-06 | @ LAD | $2.5K | $2.6K | 21 | 28.4 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 |
| 2020-09-05 | @ LAD | $2.7K | $2.6K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-04 | @ LAD | $2.9K | $2.7K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-09-02 | vs. SF | $3.5K | $3.3K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-09-01 | vs. SF | $3.4K | $3.3K | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2020-08-31 | vs. SD | $3K | $3.4K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-29 | vs. SD | $2.9K | $3.2K | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2020-08-28 | vs. SD | $5.2K | $3.2K | 18 | 25.7 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-25 | @ ARI | $2.8K | $2.4K | 10 | 12.5 | 0 | 5 | 0.6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | 1 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-08-24 | @ ARI | $2.8K | $2.3K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-22 | @ LAD | $3K | $2.4K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-08-21 | @ LAD | $3.1K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-20 | vs. HOU | $8.7K | $3K | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-19 | vs. HOU | $4K | $3K | 10 | 12.4 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.67 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-08-17 | @ HOU | $3.8K | $2.4K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-16 | vs. TEX | $5.9K | $4.5K | 12 | 15.6 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-08-15 | vs. TEX | $4.2K | $3K | 4 | 6.2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-11 | vs. ARI | $4.5K | $3.2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-10 | vs. ARI | $4.5K | $3.3K | 7 | 9.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.65 | 1 |
| 2020-08-09 | @ SEA | $4.2K | $2.7K | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2020-08-08 | @ SEA | $3.8K | $2.7K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2020-08-07 | @ SEA | $3.3K | $2.8K | 11 | 15.4 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| 2020-08-06 | vs. SF | $4K | $3.1K | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.17 | 0 |
| 2020-08-05 | vs. SF | $4K | $3.1K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-04 | vs. SF | $3.6K | $3K | 2 | 3.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020-08-03 | vs. SF | $3.8K | $3K | 7 | 9.7 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2020-08-02 | vs. SD | $6.9K | $4.5K | 19 | 25.2 | 0 | 4 | 1.25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.75 | 0 | 1.75 | 0 |
| 2020-08-01 | vs. SD | $3.4K | $2.7K | 18 | 24.9 | 0 | 3 | 1.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.83 | 0 |
| 2020-07-31 | vs. SD | $3.7K | $2.8K | 9 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 2020-07-29 | @ OAK | $2.7K | $2.2K | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 2020-07-25 | @ TEX | $3.2K | $2.2K | 7 | 9.5 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.83 | 0 |
| 2020-07-24 | @ TEX | $3.2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-21 | @ SD | -- | -- | 7 | 9.2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 |
| 2019-04-20 | @ SD | -- | -- | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 |
| 2019-04-19 | @ SD | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-18 | @ SD | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 |
| 2019-04-17 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 5 | 6.5 | 1 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.58 | 0 |
| 2019-04-16 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 |
| 2019-04-15 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 8 | 9.5 | 0 | 4 | 0.5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-04-14 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-04-13 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-11 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-10 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2019-04-09 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 23 | 31.9 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 | 0 | 1.4 | 0 |
| 2019-04-07 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 5 | 6.2 | 0 | 2 | 0.5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-04-06 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-05 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-04 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-03 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.33 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
| 2019-04-02 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-01 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-03-31 | vs. PIT | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Matt Kemp Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Way Too Cheap on DK/Yahoo
Given the way DraftKings usually prices up Coors bats, it shocks me that Matt Kemp is priced at $2,900 against a LHP. He hasn’t been awful this year, always profiles better against lefties, and smacked a home run on Friday. He needs to be in your DK lineups, and he’s also a great value at $12 on Yahoo. He’s less necessary on FanDuel but isn’t exactly “too expensive” over there, either.
Let's See How This Works Out
I don't want to play Matt Kemp, and I know you really don't either. With that said, this price in Coors makes a ton of sense. He's 6 for 17 to start the season, and I'm hoping they continue to throw him in the lineup with his hot bat. Gausman has good games from time to time, but he typically only throws two pitches. A two-pitch mix is likely not going to do well for him, and on a slate where we need some value, I'm willing to roll the dice on any of these Coors bats.
A Top Value In A Great Lineup Spot
We have Kemp projected as the cleanup hitter for the Reds tonight, and his career numbers have always profiled better against left-handed pitching. I don’t really like the Reds as a whole tonight, but Kemp is cheap and facing a pitcher that struggles with hard contact. If he’s in the middle of the order, I love Kemp as a one off value play.
Line movement against this top pitcher
Clayton Kershaw makes his first start of the season and will likely be on an extremely value compromising pitch count tonight. This isn’t about whether players should roster him or not tonight, but whether or not they should perhaps roster bats against him. Even at a diminished level, Kershaw is one of the better pitchers in the game, so this is really a question about upside and ownership rates. While Dodgers Stadium remains one of the most negative run environments in baseball, it’s impossible not to notice the pace at which balls have been flying out of that park (mostly off home team bats). Kershaw has allowed 40 HRs over the last two seasons (2017/18), which is not a tremendous amount, but he’s only allowed 145 for his career. Batters from either side of the plate have hit more than one-third of batted balls hard over the last calendar year, but LHBs have a ground ball rate 11.9 percentage points lower than RHBs against him over that span. The last point of interest is the line movement in this game, which has moved slightly in Cincinnati’s favor while the total is moving up. It’s probably not casual bets moving the line against Kershaw either, as it appears to be reverse line movement. At depressed prices, Cincinnati bats with power against LHP might be worth a shot tonight, no matter which side of the plate they bat from. Over the last calendar year, this includes Eugenio Suarez (.279 ISO), Matt Kemp (.251), Derek Dietrich (.202) as the only batters on the team above a .200 ISO against southpaws over that span. While Joey Votto remains a tough out (119 wRC+), his power against lefties has fallen of significantly over the past year (.127 ISO).
Increasing run line for lineup that hammers southpaws
The run line for the Dodgers has increased to 5.14, putting them second highest on the board currently and if weather should impact the game in Texas, they may end up one of just two teams even above five implied runs tonight. Eric Lauer has struggled with RHBs (.347 wOBA and xwOBA) and the Dodgers stack the lineup full of quality ones. Despite the extremely negative run environment, Justin Turner (180 wRC+, .221 ISO vs LHP this season) is the must play. Manny Machado (150 wRC+, .241 ISO), Matt Kemp (120 wRC+, .228 ISO) and David Freese (127 wRC+, .154 ISO) have all done strong work against southpaws as well.
Potentially under-valued lineup against a pitcher with a large ERA to estimators gap
The Dodgers are on the bottom half of the board at just 4.35 implied runs against rookie Austin Gomber in St Louis, who has a 2.93 ERA through eight starts, but underlying numbers may suggest this total is too low. Aside from a SIERA and xFIP in the high fours, Gomber has a .357 xwOBA against, 53 points than the actual number against him. He does have an 85.9 mph aEV, but a 36.6 GB% has led to 7.8% Barrels/BBE, which is slightly on the high side and dangerous against a Dodger offense producing seven batters above a league average hard hit rate (33%) against LHP this year. Four of those batters are above a 110 wRC+ and .220 ISO vs LHP this year as well: Chris Tayler (112 wRC+, .222 ISO), Justin Turner (181 wRC+, .227 ISO), Manny Machado (149 wRC+, .244 ISO) and Matt Kemp (115 wRC+, .224 ISO). David Freese adds a 125 wRC+ with just a .144 ISO with a low price tag out of the cleanup spot. A mostly very affordable Los Angeles lineup may be a bit under-valued here.
Uncommonly high run line
The Dodgers, like the Mariners, have an uncommonly high implied run line for a west coast game (4.92), not to mention the most negative environment on the west coast. While the fact is that Jason Vargas has been pitching much better of late (3.31 ERA, 3.88 SIERA last 30 days), as has the Mets' bullpen, he still has a .385 wOBA against RHBs this year. At least some exposure to Manny Machado (148 wRC+, .252 ISO vs LHP this season), Justin Turner (189 wRC+, .241 ISO) and Matt Kemp (124 wRC+, .237 ISO) is a probably warranted, though the total in this game may be a tad aggressive.
Smashing southpaws this year (188 wRC+)
The Dodgers may be the most interesting west coast lineup, though they're merely tied for third among the six teams with a 4.4 implied run line. That is because when Robbie Ray blows up, he's capable of walking the park as well as allowing tons of hard contact. In fact, RHBs have a .363 wOBA and 43.8 Hard% against him this season. Realize that Dodger Stadium is one of the most negative run environments in baseball, but there are really no incredibly positive run environments on this slate. Justin Turner (188 wRC+, .241 ISO) is just smashing southpaws this year and has a lineup best 226 wRC+ over the last week. Manny Machado (146 wRC+, .240 ISO) and Matt Kemp (127 wRC+, .245 ISO) offer support with high upside as well.
A Sneaky One-Off Play?
Most people tend to avoid hitters against Robbie Ray, but I don't mind taking power one-off bats against him. Ray struggles with his control and hasn't been good this season, and we all know that he allows a boatload of hard contact. Matt Kemp still has some pop left in the tank with a .245 ISO against LHP for 2018, and I like him as a sub-5% owned tournament dart this evening.
Better pitcher, likely similar result against a powerhouse lineup
The Dodgers will face off with a better pitcher in Texas tonight, but should still have the advantage in this environment against Mike Minor (RHBs .316 wOBA, but .358 xwOBA with a 38.9 Hard% and 32.7 GB% this season). Emphasis on the first six batters in the order for the Dodgers. Aside from Brian Dozier's (102 wRC+, .118 ISO) shocking lack of power against southpaws this year, they all are above a .175 ISO vs LHP this season. Justin Turner (193 wRC+, .247 ISO) is the top bat. Matt Kemp (132 wRC+, .250 ISO) may be the value play here. The Dodgers had the top run line last night, but drop a full run to third tonight (5.49).