Mitch White Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

We have to consider that a lot of FanDuel players will be paying up for Logan Gilbert against the A’s tonight or even Joe Musgrove at Dodger Stadium tonight because the pickings get slim real fast on a 10 pitcher slate tonight (it’s a bit stronger on DraftKings with four more pitchers available). Current PlateIQ projections for FanDuel (which are fluid and subject to change) suggest that Mitch White is the top value at $6.7K, opposing Musgrove. He has produced a modest 22.1 K% and 14.0 K-BB% over five starts, though with just 37.3% of his contact on the ground and a 91.8 mph EV. Four of his eight barrels (9.6%) have left the yard this season overall (including relief work). The Dodgers have pulled him around the 70-75 pitch range in each of his last three starts, so this is less a point of building up rather than they just don’t want a batting order to see him a third time. His 4.25 ERA is a bit above estimators ranging as low as a 3.74 SIERA, while stranding just 69.1% of runners. The workload is problematic on FD, but that’s likely baked into the low cost. The Padres have just a 97 wRC+, 22.1 K% and 8.1 HR/FB vs RHP this year. White also appears to be a fine SP2 on DK for just $6.4K.

Adrian Martinez threw 5.1 innings of shutout ball in his major league debut, striking out three of 21 Tigers without a walk and 85.1 mph EV. The 25 year-old came over in the Sean Manaea trade just a few months ago without any prospect pedigree or even a Future Value grade on his Fangraphs page. He did have an impressive 18.1 K-BB% in 64 AAA innings this year, but just 11.2% over 44.1 there last year. He projects as the third best value on FanDuel for $6.2K in Seattle (107 wRC+, 22.3 K% vs RHP). You can suddenly see why Logan Gilbert currently projects around 50% ownership on FanDuel tonight.

In terms of additional SP2 arms on DraftKings (look away now if you have a weak stomach), Kyle Hendricks costs just $5.1K against the Reds (87 wRC+, 23.0 K% vs RHP, 75 wRC+, 7.4 HR/FB on the road). He has struck out exactly six batters in three straight starts after having struck out more than two in just two of his previous eight. His newly rediscovered strikeout ability, which does come with an increase in SwStr%, still has him at just 17.2% on the season. He’s no longer a ground ball pitcher (36.3%), who excels at suppressing barrels (10%) either. He does still limit the free passes at least (6.6%). Hendricks has just three Quality Starts all season, completing seven innings in each without completing six innings in any other. His 4.90 ERA is within one-third of a run of all estimators. Also an issue are the double digit winds blowing out at Wrigley tonight.

Ian Anderson has increased his strikeout rate from 16.2% to 20.2% over his last seven starts, but continues to struggle to find the strike zone with an 11.2 BB% (44.4 Z-O-Swing%). The result has been at least four runs in five of these last seven, while the ground ball rate is down two more points since last year (47.3%). Allowing just 5.0% Barrels/BBE registers a 3.86 xERA, but with just a 9.0 K-BB%, all additional estimators are within one-third of a run of his 4.60 ERA. He costs $7.2K and may have to face some difficult conditions in Philly, but it’s a marginal offense (97 wRC+, 22.4 K% vs RHP), but they have replaced Bryce Harper by something called a Darick Hall in the cleanup spot.