| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | 2ba | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ip | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-07-17 | @ BOS | $4.8K | $5.5K | 3.5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.5 |
| 2019-07-13 | @ NYY | $4.8K | $5.5K | 10.2 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10.15 |
| 2019-07-06 | vs. BAL | $4.8K | $5.5K | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3.38 |
| 2019-07-04 | vs. BOS | $4.8K | $5.5K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2019-06-30 | vs. KC | $4.8K | $5.5K | 5.7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3.1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2.7 |
| 2019-06-26 | @ NYY | $4.8K | $5.5K | -3.05 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-06-22 | @ BOS | $4.8K | $5.5K | 13.9 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.5 |
| 2019-06-20 | vs. LAA | $5.3K | $5.5K | 5.65 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2019-06-17 | vs. LAA | $5.3K | $5.5K | 0.45 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2019-06-15 | @ HOU | -- | $5.5K | -0.5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4.5 |
| 2019-06-07 | @ MIL | $5.3K | $5.5K | -7.75 | -8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 2.1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 2019-06-01 | vs. MIL | $5.3K | $5.6K | -0.05 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 |
| 2019-05-27 | @ CIN | $6.6K | $5.7K | 9.7 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4.2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9.66 |
| 2019-05-22 | vs. COL | $6.6K | $5.7K | -4.8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6.75 |
| 2019-05-13 | @ ARI | $6.5K | $5.6K | -7.6 | -3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4.5 |
| 2019-05-08 | vs. TEX | $7.3K | $5.5K | 11.4 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11.25 |
| 2019-05-03 | vs. OAK | $7K | $5.6K | -0.95 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11.59 |
| 2019-04-26 | @ LAD | $7K | $5.6K | 9.9 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13.5 |
| 2019-04-24 | vs. ARI | $7K | $5.6K | -1.9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4.5 |
| 2019-04-21 | vs. SF | $7K | $5.9K | 1.05 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019-04-16 | @ DET | $7K | $6.1K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2019-04-07 | vs. CIN | $7K | $6.1K | 5.3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13.5 |
| 2019-04-04 | vs. CIN | $7K | $6.2K | 11.3 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
| 2019-04-01 | vs. STL | $7K | $6.5K | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-09-28 | @ CIN | $6.6K | $6.3K | 4.85 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3.2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2.45 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7.38 |
| 2018-09-23 | vs. MIL | $7.3K | $7K | -9 | -5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13.53 |
| 2018-09-08 | vs. MIA | $7.3K | $7.2K | 4.1 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2018-09-02 | @ ATL | -- | $7.3K | 14.85 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7.2 |
| 2018-08-30 | @ STL | $7.3K | $7.6K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2018-08-26 | @ MIL | $7.3K | $7.9K | 5.9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2018-08-01 | vs. CHC | $7.3K | $7.9K | -2.75 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
| 2018-07-26 | vs. NYM | $9.4K | $8.5K | -9.85 | -6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2018-07-21 | @ CIN | $8.8K | $8.1K | 16.65 | 32 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4.27 |
| 2018-07-13 | vs. MIL | -- | -- | 26.65 | 47 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6.1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12.8 |
| 2018-07-08 | vs. PHI | -- | -- | 21.9 | 40 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7.5 |
| 2018-07-02 | @ LAD | -- | -- | -5.85 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.67 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2018-06-09 | @ CHC | -- | -- | 16.05 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7.11 |
| 2018-06-03 | @ STL | -- | -- | 12.25 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2018-05-29 | vs. CHC | -- | -- | 8.15 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.76 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6.36 |
| 2018-05-19 | vs. SD | -- | -- | 13.9 | 28 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7.5 |
| 2018-05-04 | @ MIL | -- | -- | 17.8 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5.1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11.82 |
| 2018-04-29 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 37.15 | 58 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11.57 |
Nick Kingham Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Nine HRs over his last five starts
Nick Kingham has six walks against just four strikeouts over his last two starts and has allowed nine HRs over his last five starts, five of them at home. A well disciplined Cubs' lineup is not going to help him. According to PlateIQ, tonight's confirmed lineup has just an 8.9 K-BB% vs RHP this season. A 4.22 implied run line puts the Cubs on the middle of this 12 team board and LHBs have a .377 wOBA and 5.6 K-BB% against Kingham this year. Anthony Rizzo (135 wRC+, .214 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is the strongest play in this lineup out of the leadoff spot. Ben Zobrist (130 wRC+, .162 ISO) has a 305 wRC+ over the last week right behind him. He costs just $2.6K on FanDuel. Javier Baez (122 wRC+, .253 ISO), Ian Happ (130 wRC+, .242 ISO) and Kyle Schwarber (130 wRC+, .290 ISO) are the top power bats in this lineup.
Pitching choices may come down to run environments on a tough slate
There are no...pitchers above $10K on either site, 25% strikeout rates, or offenses below 3.6 implied runs tonight. Tonight's pitching options are difficult at best. The top five strikeout rates on the board are Rich Hill (25.8%), Trevor Cahill (24.3%), Anibal Sanchez (24.2%), Kyle Gibson (23.6%) and Nick Kingham (22.7%). Hill has workload issues and is facing the Braves (116 wRC+, 19.7 K% vs LHP), but should probably still be considered for $9K on this slate. Cahill is facing an offense with a 25.3 K% vs RHP, but does so in Texas. Sanchez gets the Dodgers (111 wRC+ vs RHP), Gibson has the Red Sox at Fenway and Kingham hosts the Mets (92 wRC+, 21.9 K% vs RHP). He's gone at least six innings in four of his last five starts, allowing seven HRs over that span though. Never the less, he may be an answer as the second most expensive pitcher on either site. The other thing to consider is that there are just two extremely negative run environments on the board in Miami and San Francisco. The first pits Tommy Milone against Dan Straily. Straily has just a 17 K% over the last month, but has gone at least six innings in five straight and has a .273 xwOBA over the last 30 days that's 100 points below his season average. The Washington lineup is dangerous, but he gets to face them in a power suppressing park for $7K or less. Milone is interesting because of a 19.9 K-BB% in 20 AAA starts this year, but he has just a 10.8% mark over 736 major league innings and has never reached a 20 K% in any season. He's not available on FanDuel. San Francisco looks like the destination for daily fantasy pitching tonight. Derek Rodriguez (18.9 K%, 4.25 SIERA, .306 xwOBA). He's completed six innings in six of eight starts and the Brewers should supply some upside (25.3 K%), while their power (16.3 HR/FB vs RHP) should be tempered by the park. Wade Miley (14.7 K%, 5.55 SIERA, .317 xwOBA) is much less exciting, but doesn't allow too much hard contact and keeps the ball on the ground (56.9%).
Talented Pitcher in a Favorable Ballpark
Kingham has pitched well in his first ten major league starts. He owns a 3.87 SIERA with a strikeout rate of 23% and a walk rate of 6%. There have been a couple of poor outings mixed in, but that’s to be expected from a rookie pitcher. I don’t want to rely too heavily on home/road splits, but he has averaged 22 fantasy points (DK scoring) at home and only 11 fantasy points on the road. He’s affordable across the industry and draws an exploitable matchup against the Mets, whose projected lineup has an average strikeout rate of 23% against right-handed pitching.
You Have To Play Somebody
Nick Kingham has shown wide splits this season, so the Mets lineup will play into how highly to rate him, but on this slate, there's just not much else to look at. Simply getting a pitcher who throws strikes in a good ballpark may well be enough tonight. Kingham has a big 28.5% strikeout rate to right-handed batters, and should see at least a couple high strikeout righties. Against lefties, his strikeouts are down, but so is his hard contact, so if he can just get past the limited power of a couple bats up top, another quality start is well within reach here.
Nick Kingham paces Sunday's main slate with a 26.0% K% and 3.28 SIERA
I'll start by saying it's a brutal day for pitching. Without a single "must-play" option, ownership should be fairly spread out and you'll have to play some imperfect options. That said, if I told you there was a pitcher with the highest K%, lowest SIERA and lowest BB% on the main slate, you'd probably think he was worth consideration. Today, that pitcher is Nick Kingham. The fact that Kingham's 26% K-rate is the highest on the main slate really tells you all you need to know about the quality of pitching in general, but I digress. Kingham does appear to be the victim of some bad luck in recent starts, as his SIERA is a solid 3.28, despite possessing an actual ERA of 3.75. He also has shown excellent control, only walking 4.2% of batters. While the Cardinals aren't an offense that you often want to pick on, they do have an exploitable 23.2 K% to RHP. This all points to Kingham being a viable option on a rough pitching slate, with both a reasonably high floor and ceiling due to his strikeout upside.
Tyson Ross has struck out a quarter of batters faced and has failed to complete six innings just once
If high cost pitching comes with some problems tonight (which is not to say they're not worthy of rostering), what do the mid and low cost ranges offer tonight? To start with, Tyson Ross has gone at least six innings in all but one start and has struck out a quarter of the batters he's faced. That would appear to be the floor at home against the Marlins (77 wRC+, 16.8 K-BB% vs RHP). He's not far from the top of the board, but well below $9K on FanDuel. Jake Arrieta decided to throw more sliders in his last start and struck out more than five for just the second time this season. It's good to see he can still do that on occasion and he may be worth for $7.5K on DraftKings, should he decide to do that again in LA (NL). Jeremy Hellickson has pitched to 22 batters or fewer in every start and has gone beyond 75 in just one of his last five, but his overall work has been quality and he costs a reasonable $6.5K on FanDuel in a matchup with some upside in Baltimore. Luis Castillo has increased his strikeout rate to 26.3% over the last month, but his swinging strike rate continues to shoot up and is the highest on the board over this span (16.3%). After allowing no fewer than three runs in any of his first six starts, he hasn’t allowed that many in any of his five May starts, in which he's more than doubled his K-BB%. Nick Kingham's underlying numbers are all over the place through three starts and his 30.4 K% is suspect (11.1 SwStr%), but that's not to say there's no upside at a reasonable price. At the bottom end of the board there appear to be maybe two pitchers considered rosterable, both with massive contact authority concerns. Dan Straily and Danny Duffy are the only pitchers on the board above a .400 xwOBA, but Straily has some upside in his 17 K% with a 10 SwStr% and is pitching in San Diego (26.6 K% vs RHP). Duffy pitched perhaps his best game of the season Texas last time out and costs the minimum on DK against the Twins (25.1 K% vs LHP), though they do have Miguel Sano back.
Who Needs Sustainability
Things that are not sustainable: Nick Kingham's 35.6% strikeout rate and 2.17 SIERA. But season long sustainability doesn't mean a whole lot in DFS and it means even less when pitching against the terrible San Diego Padres offense. The Padres lead the league in strikeout rate versus RHP (26.8%) and are 26th in the league with a 82 wRC+ versus righties. Kingham more closely resembles an "average" Major League pitcher than the stud he has been through two Big League starts but even average pitchers can have monster games against this anemic offense. Kingham is my favorite salary conscious SP2 of the slate.
Target Nick Kingham Against the Padres
If you are looking for a solid value at SP today, look no further than Pirates rookie Nick Kingham, who squares off against the Padres at home. Kingham has been lights-out in his first two MLB starts, sporting an amazing 35.6 K% compared to just a 2.2% BB rate, leading to his slate-low SIERA of 2.18. Obviously these types of numbers aren't sustainable in the long-run, but there is no reason to fear the matchup today against a Padres team with the second highest K rate and second lowest ISO on the slate. At just $7600 on Draftkings and $8600 on Fanduel, look for Kingham to build on his strong start as he provides a high-floor option that will allow you to fit in some power bats as well.