Odrisamer Despaigne Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Odrisamer Despaigne may not believe the Angels did him any favors, inserting him into their rotation with his first start in Texas. The Rangers sit behind just one team with their team run line at 5.7. LHBs have a wOBA and xwOBA within eight points of .350 against him since last season and this Texas offense is suddenly stacked with powerful LHBs in five of the first six spots. In fact, among those first five LHBs, only cleanup hitter, Nomar Mazara (102 wRC+, .172 ISO) is below a .200 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year and he homered last night. He's also one of the cheapest bats in the top half of the lineup. While the Texas bats have plenty of power, Shin-Soo Choo (138 wRC+, .243 ISO) is the only main the lineup above a 110 wRC+ vs RHP over the last calendar year, though none of those LHBs are below 100.

Colorado has the highest implied run line (6.39) on the entire slate and by a large margin, as is often the case at home, even when, like tonight, the opposing team often has a better offense. Six more teams on a nine game board are between 5.02 and 5.52 runs. The Rockies are facing the very contact prone Odrisamer Despaigne (10.9 K%), who's only been in the rotation for about a month. While he's generally done a strong job of limiting hard contact, two of his three HRs this season came in his last start with a 31.8 Hard-Soft%. Charlie Blackmon (147 wRC+, .298 ISO vs RHP) is probably tonight's top batter. LHBs have a .360 wOBA and just a 33 GB% against Despaigne, but with just a 26.1 Hard%. RHBs have actually hit him harder 33.3%, but with just a .239 wOBA in a small sample (88 PAs). Regardless, the more contact they make, the more likely the Rockies are to do some damage at Coors despite their 83 wRC+ vs RHP this year and this is a pitcher they should make plenty of contact against at least. The Marlins have just the fifth highest implied run line (5.11) against ground ball specialist Tyler Chatwood, who has a ground ball rate above 57% and hard hit rate below 30% to batters from either side. His issue has generally been poor control. RHBs have a 59.1 GB% and 32 Hard% with nine HRs against him at Coors this year. Giancarlo Stanton (147 wRC+, .333 ISO vs RHP), Marcell Ozuna (148 wRC+, .271 ISO vs RHP) and Justin Bour (143 wRC+, .263 ISO vs RHP) are have a wRC+ above 200 and a hard hit rate above 40% over the last week and all are fairly expensive.

Tuesday night's slate is particularly abundant in strong contact managers with 11 pitchers carrying an average exit velocity below 86 mph. Six of those have allowed barrels on 5% or fewer of batted balls and 95 mph exit velocity on less than 30% of batted balls. Those six may include some pitchers on players' radars, but also probably many who aren't (and probably shouldn't be due to either low strikeout or high walk rates or both). They are C.C. Sabathia (84.1 mph aEV, 4% Barrels/BBE, 29.6% 95+ mph EV), Chase Anderson (84.5 mph, 4.4%, 25.5%), Jose Berrios (85.3 mph, 4.6%, 28.7%), Mike Montgomery (85.1 mph, 3.2%, 28.4%), Odrisamer Despaigne (82.3 mph, 3.9%, 28.4%) and Trevor Williams (84.8 mph, 5%, 28.7%). Anderson and Montgomery have workload concerns. The former has only completed six innings once in six starts since returning from injury, while the latter has thrown more than 90 innings just once this season. Sabathia has increased his strikeout rate to 21.4% over the last month, but with a small drop in swinging strike rate to 8.2%. Despaigne has an 11.3% strikeout rate and has worked almost exclusively out of the pen until recently. Williams has just a 17.5 K% this season and an 11.8 BB% over his last six starts, which has held him to five innings or less in three of them. Berrios is probably the most interesting name, but he has one of the more difficult matchups at Yankee Stadium tonight. He's also been fairly inconsistent, striking out seven or more in four straight before six strikeouts to go with six walks over his last two starts. He had a stretch of eight straight starts with six strikeouts or fewer to start July too. Whether considering rostering any of these pitchers or not, players may want to think twice about rostering batters against them as well.

C.C. Sabathia has done a great job of managing contact this year. He may still have some issues facing a powerful, predominantly RH lineup in Baltimore, but it's probably not a surprise at this point to find out that his 84.8 mph aEV is lowest on the slate. What might be a surprise is the two pitchers who are lower. Both have sample size issues and would probably increase over a full season, but the point stands that neither Ordrisamer Despaigne (81.6 mph aEV in 28 IP) nor Ben Lively (84.5 mph aEV in 59 IP) are allowing a lot of hard contact. Neither misses enough bats to be considered a useful daily fantasy pitcher with strikeout rates below 15%, but they may not necessarily be pitchers players should be lining up to attack either. Both have a 95+ mph EV rate below 30% as well. Jacob deGrom and Michael Wacha are the only other pitchers on the board who can boast that as well. Lively does have a 23.6 K% (10.5 SwStr%) over his last three starts, but in the outing with the most strikeouts (eight) and only above average SwStr%, he also allowed four HRs with a 50% hard hit rate. On the other end of the spectrum, Kendall Graveman has the worse aEV (89.5 mph) and 95+ mph EV (42%). No other pitcher is above 88.5 mph or 40%. Robert Stephenson (9.9%) and Ariel Miranda (9.7%) have the highest rate of Barrels on batted balls. Stephenson has a 15+ SwStr% in three of his last four starts with just one HR allowed over his last five though.

Odrisamer Despaigne had a 10.3 SwStr% in his second start of the season (first since May) against the Padres, but struck out only one. He has just a 13.8 K% in 276.2 major league innings, but also just a 6.8 Hard-Soft% and 48.5 GB%. His 81.4 mph aEV in 25 innings this season is lowest on the slate. We have a pitcher who doesn't miss bats, but generates weak contact against a below average offense (Phillies 77 wRC+ on the road, 87 wRC+ vs RHP) that gets a park downgrade and has just a 3.83 implied run line. There's not much to see here. The lower price tags on DraftKings gives most of the Philadelphia lineup a bit more value. Daniel Nava (139 wRC+ vs RHP) is near min-priced on FanDuel, while Nick Williams (117 wRC+, .219 ISO, 40.8 Hard%, 29.1 FB% vs RHP) and Cesar Hernandez (128 wRC+, 42.9 Hard% last seven days) are likely usable on either site at reasonable prices. Rhys Hoskins (167 wRC+, .357 ISO, 37.8 Hard%, 42.2 FB% vs RHP) is the big name here. He's likely to be popular and has just a 26.1 Hard% over the last week.