Patrick Dean

Minnesota Twins
Pos: SP | Hand: L
Status: Inactive
player props

Patrick Dean Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Blue Jays have the the highest implied run total on the slate, currently sitting at 6.2 runs

Pat Dean has a 5.48 ERA that is somewhat inflated due to a .341 BABIP, as his 4.34 SIERA is more than a full run better than that. The issue is that he has been particularly bad against right-handed bats, and the Blue Jays are loaded with them. Dean is very good against left-handed batters, allowing just a 9.4% line drive rate to go along with a 68.8% ground ball rate and a 21.9% hard hit rate. Against righties, these numbers are incredibly worse. The line drive rate jumps to 21.2%, the ground ball rate plummets to 38.9%, and the hard hit rate skyrockets to 37.2%. Stacking up the right-handed batters for Toronto makes a ton of sense here, but it will be an extremely popular option. In cash games, Troy Tulowitzki (.193 ISO vs LHP) and Jose Bautista (.214 ISO vs LHP) are the preferred plays, as their prices are significantly cheaper than the rest of the Blue Jays lineup. Josh Donaldson (167 wRC+, .419 wOBA, .234 ISO vs LHP) and Edwin Encarnacion (145 wRC+, .388 wOBA, .297 ISO vs LHP) are elite plays as well but are definitely more costly on most sites.

RHBs have a .362 wOBA and 34.8 Hard% against Patrick Dean

Patrick Dean has an 18.1 K%, but just a 5.8 SwStr%, leaving a lot of batted ball opportunities for Yankee hitters tonight. RHBs have taken advantage of them with a .362 wOBA and 34.8 Hard%, though lefties have been limited to just a .293 wOBA and 21.7 Hard%. So though they both have a wRC+ below 10 over the last week Alex Rodriguez (141 wRC+, .267 ISO vs LHP since last season), who missed a few games in Colorado, and Carlos Beltran (141 wRC+, .307 ISO vs LHP this year) are the strongest plays here, though Beltran's cost is a bit excessive. Rob Refsnyder (94 wRC+ vs LHP career) is the value play in two spot though. He's $3K on DK, but barely above min-price on FD. Though he bats 8th, those looking for a punt Catcher, might do worse than Austin Romine (103 wRC+ vs LHP this year) for $2.5K or less.

Marcell Ozuna has 258 wRC+ and .452 ISO vs LHP this year

Pat Dean has a 20.9 K%, but just a 6.6 SwStr% and has not had a strikeout rate above 15% at any level of the minor leagues since rookie ball in 2011. He has allowed RHBs a .366 wOBA and 34.3 Hard% so far. Despite the slump (14 wRC+ last seven days) Giancarlo Stanton has a 42.9 Hard% over the last week and a 186 wRC+ with a .449 ISO vs LHP since last season. He's a top OF bat for less than $4.5K tonight, while we could say the same for Marcell Ozuna (258 wRC+, .452 ISO vs LHP this season) at the same price. Martin Prado has a 127 wRC+ vs LHP since last year for less than $3.5K and Christian Yelich has hit LHP well this year (130 wRC+) and is swinging a hot bat (198 wRC+, 45 Hard%) for less than $4K. The two through five spots look very strong in this lineup at affordable prices.