Prince Fielder Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
LHBs have a .372 wOBA against Nova since last season, he's allowed a HR in all nine starts this year
Ivan Nova has allowed a HR in all nine starts this year with at least four runs in five of his last six and lasted a total of nine innings over his last two starts. Batters from both sides have hit him well this season (six HRs each), but LHBs have a .372 wOBA against him since last season, making Texas bats some of the most coveted for daily fantasy purposes with that short RF porch in Yankee Stadium tonight. Shin-Soo Choo (139 wRC+, .197 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is a top overall bat for less than $4K on either site as he starts to heat up (166 wRC+, 47.4 Hard% over the last week). Prince Fielder (119 wRC+, .155 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is finally hitting better as well (197 wRC+ last seven days) and costs less than $3.5K. The Rangers are a strong stack from the left-side tonight with any of their LHBs usable in this park with Mazara, Odor, and Moreland all having an ISO above .180 against RHP since last season. Ian Desmond (124 wRC+, .208 ISO vs RHP this season) might be a RHB to look at batting 2nd with a 296 wRC+ over the last week.
Prepare the fIreworks, Buchholz is pitching in Texas
Buchholz has been poor against left-handed batters, allowing an xFIP of 6.47. He is pitching in Texas where the ball tends to fly, so look to target Rangers lefties like Shin-Soo Choo and Rougned Odor. Still, the bravest DFS players will play Prince Fielder today and benefit from a sneaky home run. Fielder has a wRC+ of 168 over the last seven days, indicating that perhaps the big man is coming out of his slump.
Profar and Desmond OUT vs Straily in Texas
Dan Straily has maintained a strikeout rate above 21% over the last month, though his SwStr rate has dropped to 8.3%. His double digit walk rate and 0.89 GB/FB should be cause for concern tonight even with an average rate of hard contact this year (29.8 Hard%). Texas is one of the more positive run environments in baseball with this lineup projected for more than five runs tonight (2nd best on the board). Straily has shown little platoon split with LHBs and RHBs both right around a .300 wOBA against him since last season with his 11 HRs very evenly split. Shin Soo Choo (140 wRC+, .200 ISO vs RHP since 2015) has yet to get on track this season, but is a strong career hitter vs RHP and costs $3.5K or less on either site out of the leadoff spot. He's a top OF bat tonight. Rougned Odor (99 wRC+, .218 ISO vs RHP since 2015) moves back into the 2nd spot with Desmond out, but is a bit more pricey. Nomar Mazarra (125 wRC+, .199 ISO vs RHP) has been a strong bat out of the 3rd hole, but has just a 1 wRC+ with a 19.2 Hard% over the last week. The middle three (Beltre, Fielder, Rua) have all been below average bats vs RHP this year, though fairly inexpensive for the most part.
Rangers projected as one of the top offenses against Nick Tropeano
The Rangers now have the 3rd highest run total projections with 4.70, putting their left-handed bats in play. Rougned Odor has a .350 wOBA and 117 wRC+ at home this season vs. RHP. Odor also has a .216 ISO vs. RHP and is a strong option with 2B relatively thin today. Prince Fielder is also a strong option that has a .361 wOBA vs. RHP this season. Nick Tropeano has allowed a .380 wOBA and a majority of his walks to LHB this season. Mitch Moreland (.315 wOBA, 93 wRC+ vs. RHP) and Ian Desmond (.405 wOBA L14) also deserve consideration because the Rangers were originally projected as the top offense of the day.
Choo leads off, Odor & Mazara dropped in Texas order
Shin-Soo Choo makes return to the Texas lineup in the leadoff spot, dropping Rougned Odor (-24 wRC+ last seven days) to the 5th spot. Ian Desmond and Prince Fielder bat 2nd and 3rd with Nomar Mazara dropping to 7th. That knocks some of value out of those young LH bats as this entire lineup has gone cold (71 wRC+ last seven days) in which Ian Desmond (159 wRC+) has been the only above average bat in the top eight lineup spots tonight, though he has just an 80 wRC+ vs RHP since last season and costs $4K tonight. The Rangers have five LHBs in the top seven and Lance McCullers allowed just a .266 wOBA to lefties last season. He was beaten up a bit by the Red Sox in his 2016 debut, but should be ready to go with fewer restrictions in this start. He was excellent at home with a 20.0 K-BB% last year, despite some old minor league control issues popping back up towards the end of the season. He's an arm to consider for $8K tonight.
Jesse Hahn could keep the Rangers' bats in check at home
Hahn has 76.5 GB% and 11.8 FB% at home this season with a 22.2 K% against LHB and a 1.60 FIP. The Rangers will throw four left-hand bats at the RHP but they do not have much appeal in Oakland. Prince Fielder will return after sitting out on Monday, but he has been struggling all season and now is only $2.6k on FanDuel. Mitch Moreland also did not play on Monday and will be batting 6th behind Fielder. Moreland (.339 wOBA, 109 wRC+) still deserves some consideration because he has been consistent all season and his salary has fallen $500 on DK, giving us a viable value option.
Aaron Sanchez struggles against LHB, will be facing four very capable ones tonight
While Sanchez does have filthy stuff, his L/R splits are quite alarming. He’s been dominate against RHB this year (1.77 FIP – 3.8BB% - 18Hard%) but has struggled mightily with LHB (4.90 FIP – 10.5BB% - 26Hard%). The Rangers lineup features four above average lefties that could present Sanchez with some issues tonight. Consider Sanchez no more than a GPP option. Nomar Mazara owns a .421 wOBA and 174 wRC+ against RHP this season through 49 AB’s and is a great play. Prince Fielder has struggled this season, but owns a career .400 wOBA and 149 wRC+ against RHP and is a viable GPP target. Mitch Moreland (.352 wOBA - .227 ISO – 124 wRC+ vs RHP in 2016) and Rougned Odor (.331 wOBA - .214 ISO vs RHP in 2016) should also be your radar this evening.
Odor has a 214 wRC+ over the last week in leadoff spot
R.A. Dickey is missing bats at a league average rate again (18.2 K%, 9.6 SwStr%), but has also been getting hit hard (17.1 Hard-Soft%). His BABIP and LOB% are at extremes and are likely to regress in his favor, but the Ranges come to town with some hot LH bats (though Dickey has no real career platoon split). Rougned Odor has taken to the leadoff spot with a 214 wRC+ over the last week. He and Mitch Moreland (131 wRC+ since 2015, 173 wRC+ last seven days) both have an ISO above .200 vs RHP since last season. Nomar Mazara has cooled off (66 wRC+ last seven days), but still has a 180 wRC+ vs RHP. Even Ian Desmond has found his stroke over the last week (175 wRC+). Prince Fielder continues to struggle, but has been the best overall bat (133 wRC+) vs RHP since last season.
Prince Fielder OUT tonight against LHP Sabathia
With Prince Fielder getting the night off, Ian Desmond will slide up to the cleanup spot this evening. While Desmond (.336 wOBA – 111 wRC+ - 179 ISO career vs LHP) should definitely be in consideration for your lineups this evening, Adrian Beltre may perhaps be the top option of all the Rangers tonight. A lefty masher, Beltre (.376 wOBA - .215 ISO – 134 wRC+ career vs LHP) should have no problem hitting Sabathia and his 2016 13.7K% - 5.45 xFIP. Also to be considered include Delino DeShields (.324 wOBA vs LHP) and Nomar Mazara, who are batting first and second in a lineup projected to score 5.04 runs.
LH Ranger bats in good spot tonight against HR prone Eovaldi
In his 17.2 IP this season, Eovaldi has allowed 12 ER’s and 4 HR’s. In addition, of his 21 hits allowed, 48% of them have been doubles. While he does have the ability to strike batters out (29K% this season), Eovaldi has been quite blow-up prone in the past. The Rangers are in good position to exploit him tonight and boast a Vegas projected run total of 4.76, which is the highest of any non-Coors game tonight. Rougned Odor (.333 wOBA - .210 ISO vs RHP in 2015) is hitting lead off and serves as an excellent play. Both Prince Fielder (.392 wOBA – 146 wRC+ vs RHP in 2015) and Mitch Moreland (.372 wOBA - .234 ISO vs RHP in 2015) have immense power upside, and are also in prime spots tonight. Stack any TEX hitters 1-6 with confidence tonight.