Ryan Vogelsong Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Ryan Vogelsong is a very low strikeout pitcher (14.2% K%) with no control (12.8% BB%) against left-handed batters and has been unable to keep the ball on the ground against right-handed batters (38.5%). The Cubs are running out a lineup of almost all lefties tonight, making Dexter Fowler 124 wRC+, .359 wOBA, .168 ISO vs RHP), Anthony Rizzo (156 wRC+, .408 wOBA, .276 ISO vs RHP), Ben Zobrist (118 wRC+, .351 wOBA, .163 ISO vs RHP), and Tommy La Stella (.151 ISO vs RHP) our primary targets for a high-upside tournament stack. The Cubs bats are probably not worth spending on in cash games, outside of Coghlan and La Stella, but could make fantastic lineup fillers in tournaments if not opting for the full stack in tournaments.

Ryan Vogelsong has an 8.61 ERA with estimators around six over the last month. LHBs (.383 wOBA) have hit him much better than RHBs (.311 wOBA) since last season without a ton of hard contact to either side. While that's not optimal for the Milwaukee offense, this is still a pitcher players can look to target with a significant park downgrade tonight. Ryan Braun (125 wRC+, .222 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the obvious bat with a 253 wRC+ and 60 Hard% over the last week, but also much more expensive than anyone else in the lineup. The rest of the top five are all around average (91 - 106 wRC+) against RHP this season and may provide reasonable value. This is a combination Villar should be able to run on, while Gennett (226 wRC+) and Santana (157 wRC+) join Braun as hot hitters over the last week.

Ryan Vogelson has been lit up for a 6.90 ERA with estimators above six over his last six starts, though more due to poor peripherals (0.7 K-BB%) than hard contact (6.7 Hard-Soft%). Projected for 4.8 runs, a Reds stack is completely viable and a potential path to a higher priced arm tonight, but for optimal potency, players should consider two LHBs (.378 wOBA vs Vogelsong since last season). Joey Votto (166 wRC+, .239 ISO vs RHP since 2015) registers as one of tonight's top overall bat via the BAT projections. He's one of few nearly guaranteed high floors among batters with tremendous on base skills, but his ceiling may be a bit more questionable refuses to throw strikes. Scott Schebler (103 wRC+, .177 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is your value play here for less than $3.5K. While not sure what a Steve Selsky is (27 year-old 2011 33rd round draft pick), but he had a 138 wRC+ at AAA this season and costs the minimum on FanDuel batting second.

Ryan Vogelsong is on the mound for the Pirates, which could very well make Joey Votto the greatest high floor play in the history of baseball. While that may be hyperbole, consider that Vogelsong has a strikeout rate of 11% over the last two weeks while Joey Votto only strikes out 18% of the time versus RHPs. Votto’s 0.236 ISO against RHP gives him some upside as well, although the game will be at PNC Park. However, while PNC Park may be viewed as a negative ballpark for hitters ( an RG Ballpark Factors score of 0.79 for RHB home runs), it is neutral for home runs by LHBs.

Ryan Vogelsong has just a 7.5 K-BB% with a 3.56 ERA more than a run below his estimators because 18.5% of his runs have been unearned. He's in a nice park to suppress RH power in Pittsburgh, but LHBs have continued to torch him. They have a .378 wOBA and 32.3 Hard% since last season. While Matt Carpenter's offense is a major blow to this offense, it still doesn't interest us in Vogelsong, but does make Kolten Wong (104 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015) more interesting. He's just $3.3K on DraftKings ($1K less on FanDuel) and brings a 233 wRC+ (55.6 Hard%) over the last week to the top of the lineup tonight. Matt Adams (95 wRC+, .190 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is another cheap LHB we can look at on FanDuel ($3.5K). Brandon Moss (136 wRC+, .336 ISO vs RHP this season) is the top bat here, but has a -34 wRC+ and 11.1 Hard% over the last week. Jeremy Hazelbaker (122 wRC+, .262 ISO vs RHP) costs just $2.1K on FanDuel.

The wind blowing in at Wrigley Field is a bit of a buzzkill for the Cubs power bats, and its even more of a downgrade for the right-handed power throughout the Cubs batting order. However, the left-handed batters remain firmly in play, notably Anthony Rizzo (158 wRC+, .410 wOBA, .273 ISO), Tommy La Stella (130 wRC+, .369 wOBA, .172 ISO), and Dexter Fowler (121 wRC+, .355 wOBA, .161 ISO) who all have strong on base skills against right-handed pitching. Ryan Vogelsong has a 16.8% strikeout rate and 12.9% walk rate to left-handed batters, and has been consistently worse against lefties over the past few seasons.

Though LHBs have hit Ryan Vogelsong much better than RHBs since last season (.386 wOBA, 38.6 Hard% vs .287 wOBA, 28.3 Hard%), Chris Carter (100 wRC+, .243 ISO vs RHP since 2015) may be a bat worth taking a chance on with a 250 wRC+ and 57.1 Hard% at home tonight. A cheaper player that may be worth looking at is Kirk Nieuwenhuis (97 wRC+, .197 ISO vs RHP since 2015). This is a league average bat with some power costing $3.6K or less on either site. Jonathan Villar (107 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015) is much more expensive, but should be able to run against Cervelli if he gets on.

Ryan Vogelsong had a few solid starts with respectable peripherals before quickly regressing back into the pitcher he has been over the last two years. In his last couple of starts, Vogelsong is only striking out opponents 12% of the time and is giving up an inflated 40% fly ball percentage. His peripherals have led to an xFIP of 5.42 over this period, pointing towards an all out stack of the Marlins. The only number that points towards using some caution when using Marlins is Vogelsong’s hard hit percentage, standing at a meager 18%. On the season, Vogelsong's hard hit percentage versus LHBs is 33%, greater than his respectable 24% allowed to RHBs. Even with Vogelsong’s recent struggles, after considering his 18% hard hit percentage in recent starts, stacking Marlins RHBs may be reserved for the bravest GPP lineups. As a singular play, look to Christian Yelich who will be batting third for the fish.

Ryan Vogelsong clearly does not belong in the majors anymore. He managed to pitch relatively good back in 2014 but that's about the extent of his major league success. Vogelsong has posted basically average strikeouts (19.0% K%) to go along with a not terrible 4.38 SIERA in a small sample size of 27 innings this season. Voglesong never really exhibited any sort of significant platoon splits throughout his career but left-handed batters in the Padres order will definitely be our preferred targets here. Ryan Schimpf (137 wRC+, .371 wOBA, .336 ISO) is the top option in this spot given his stellar numbers against right-handed pitching. The secondary targets to consider as stacking options with Schimpf would be Alex Dickerson (144 wRC+, .383 wOBA, .284 ISO vs RHP), Travis Jankowski (136 wRC+, .370 wOBA vs RHP), and Yangervis Solarte (129 wRC+, .360 wOBA, .196 ISO vs RHP).

The Braves have the worst offense vs RHP in the majors (79 wRC+) and second worst at home (80 wRC+) more due to an absence of power than a high strikeout rate. Oddly, their 127 wRC+ over the last week is the lowest on the board with just a 16.4 K%. That may be enough to move us off Ryan Vogelsong who hasn’t pitched in the majors since May due to a neck injury and was mostly out of the bullpen for the first two months (two starts) with an awful 6.4 K-BB%. He's controlled RHBs since last season (.298 wOBA, 29.6 Hard%), but LHBs have hammered him (.392 wOBA, 34.7 Hard%). Players who are paying up for the top pitchers on an ugly slate, might consider a few Atlanta bats today, all of whom have a wRC+ above 110 over the last week. Leadoff man Jace Peterson (120 wRC+ vs RHP this season) is the bargain on DraftKings ($3.7K), while Nick Markakis (115 wRC+ vs RHP since 2015, 217 wRC+ & 44.4 Hard% last seven days) claims the same on FanDuel ($2.9K). Freddie Freeman (136 wRC+, .233 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is obviously the top overall bat, but a bit more costly on either site.