Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-06-19 | @ TEX | $4K | $5.5K | 1.55 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
2024-06-16 | vs. SD | $4K | $5.5K | 2.25 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024-06-14 | vs. SD | $4K | $5.5K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-06-13 | vs. MIA | $4K | $5.5K | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-06-11 | vs. MIA | $4K | $5.5K | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 |
2024-06-08 | vs. PHI | $4K | $5.5K | 0.75 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024-06-02 | vs. ARI | $4K | $5.5K | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2024-05-31 | vs. ARI | $4K | $5.5K | -0.8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6.75 | 0 |
2024-05-29 | vs. LAD | $4K | $5.5K | 5.2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13.5 | 0 |
2024-05-25 | vs. SF | $4K | $5.5K | 1.7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13.5 | 0 |
2024-05-21 | @ CLE | $4K | $5.5K | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-05-19 | @ MIA | $4K | $5.5K | 5.05 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 0 |
2024-05-14 | vs. PHI | $4K | $5.5K | -4.15 | -3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
2024-05-13 | vs. PHI | $4K | $5.5K | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-05-11 | vs. ATL | $4K | $5.5K | 8.5 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-05-07 | @ STL | $4K | $5.5K | -0.45 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2024-05-05 | @ TB | $4K | $5.5K | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-05-04 | @ TB | $4K | $5.5K | 2.15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2024-05-01 | vs. CHC | $4K | $5.5K | 8.25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2024-04-30 | vs. CHC | $4K | $5.5K | 7.65 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-04-27 | vs. STL | $4K | $5.5K | 6.25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
2024-04-26 | vs. STL | $4K | $5.5K | 6.25 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
2024-04-24 | @ SF | $4K | $5.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024-04-22 | @ SF | $4K | $5.5K | 3.05 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-04-17 | vs. PIT | $4K | $5.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024-03-24 | @ MIA | -- | -- | -5.8 | -6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2024-03-11 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2024-03-09 | @ STL | $4.5K | -- | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-03-05 | vs. NYY | $4.5K | -- | 8.25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2024-03-01 | @ STL | $4.5K | -- | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
2024-02-26 | @ WSH | -- | -- | 5.65 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 0 |
2023-09-11 | vs. ARI | $4K | $5.5K | 7.65 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2023-09-09 | @ MIN | $4K | $5.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023-09-08 | @ MIN | $4K | $5.5K | -2.3 | -1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 1 |
2023-09-05 | @ WSH | $4K | $5.5K | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
2023-09-02 | vs. SEA | $4K | $5.5K | 8.25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2023-08-30 | vs. TEX | $4K | $5.5K | 3.7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 0 |
2023-08-28 | vs. TEX | $4K | $5.5K | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 |
2023-08-26 | vs. LAA | $4K | $5.5K | 8.4 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20.25 | 0 |
2023-08-25 | vs. LAA | $4K | $5.5K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2023-08-23 | @ ATL | -- | -- | 4.25 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Sean Reid-Foley Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Giovanny Urshela has a 340 wRC+ with five HRs over the last seven days
Sean Reid-Foley has a 2.49 ERA through 21.2 innings due to impressive contact suppression (6.7 HR/FB, 4.5% Barrels/BBE, 27.7% 95+ mph EV). There’s certainly some regression due those numbers, especially the HR rate and that could be a big problem because he’s struck out just four more batters than he’s walked (18/14) through 99 batters faced with a 45.1 Z-O-Swing%. Most estimators are more than double his 2.49 ERA so far due not only to the HR rate, but also a .266 BABIP and half of his runs being unearned. The high walk rate has been a staple of his professional career, though he has generally put up above average strikeout rates throughout the minors. The projected Yankee lineup features only three or four of their projected started nine this season and has for the past couple of weeks. They are down to second or third options at many positions, yet they are currently the hottest offense in the majors after destroying Baltimore pitching this week. They lead the league with both a 175 wRC+ and 26.5 HR/FB over the last week and are fairly affordable on either site with a 5.84 implied run line that’s third best on the board. Two of the hottest bats include Giovanny Urshela (147 wRC+, .235 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Brett Gardner (114 wRC+, .236 ISO), who aren’t generally who come to mind when picturing Yankee sluggers, yet, they’ve each generated much more power than anyone would expect. Urhela has a 340 wRC+ over the last week, in which he’s homered five times in 25 PAs.
Pitcher with some upside also struggles with control
Sean Reid-Foley has made five starts, totaling 26 innings. He's struck out 10 in two of the last three, but has just one more strikeout (12) than walks (11) over the other three. He has been above a 27 K% in both AA and AAA this season, but batters from either side of the plate have had some success against him with Statcast (RHBs .369 xwOBA) and his actual wOBA (LHBs .381) disagreeing about which side that is. Oddsmakers believe at least one side will prevail against him, installing the Rays with a 4.74 implied run line that's sixth highest on the board. Four of the first five batters in the order are above a 110 wRC+ vs RHP this season with only Tommy Pham (114 wRC+, .179 ISO) above $4.5K on DK. Ji-Man Choi (143 wRC+, .259 ISO) is the power bat here. Joey Wendle (117 wRC+, .136 ISO) has a lineup high 261 wRC+ over the last week.
Cheap in Miami
Sunday’s pitching slate is all time bad. Aaron Nola is the clear top option but is priced as such. Things after Nola get ugly...and fast. A general rule of thumb I live by when choosing a SP2 is: if all options are terrible, just take the one that’s the cheapest. SRF isn’t the literal cheapest but is the cheapest option you can consider rostering. The Blue Jays righty struggled in the two spot starts he received in the Majors earlier this season but has pitched extremely well in 85.1 innings pitched in AAA. SRF has shown strikeout upside in AAA with a 27.1% strikeout rate and while that’s unlikely to translate directly into the Majors it’s nice to see that he’s able to generate swings and misses. Control is going to be SRF’s biggest issue so it’s a plus that he’s facing a team that has drawn the fifth fewest walks this season versus RHP (7.2 BB%). Reid-Foley doesn’t have much of a floor nor ceiling but neither does virtually any option priced less than Nola on this atrocious slate.
Punting for the SP #2 Choice
This will likely be the place where people land for their affordable SP #2 choice today. It makes a lot of sense, because the opportunity cost isn’t all that high. What are you missing out on by fading the DeSclafani’s and Lynn’s of the world, all of whom cost quite a bit more? Reid-Foley is a solid 23 year old prospect who posted an ERA of 3.90, an xFIP of 3.36, and owned a K/9 mark well over 10.00 in 16 starts at the AAA level this season. He struggled in his first two big league starts, but this is essentially a glorified minor league game against the current version of the Marlins. His strikeout upside might be a little bit limited in this matchup, but the point per dollar potential is definitely better than what you get with some other options. He’s a fine second pitcher choice in any format.
A few mid-range pitchers should have reasonable floors if not high ceilings tonight
If the top priced pitchers all come with some level of concern, is there enough on the middle of the board to bypass them completely? Perhaps not in terms of upside, but there are some useful pitchers. Miles Mikolas struck out just one of 25 Marlins and does not have what we normally look for in a strikeout rate for our daily fantasy pitching (16.9%). However, in more than half of his 23 starts, he’s recorded a seventh inning out and he’s allowed more than two runs just six times this year. He has the lowest aEV on the board (85.1 mph) in a great park with a reasonable price tag around $8K. He probably won't win someone a GPP, but he probably won't lose a cash game either. Marco Gonzales has a league average strikeout rate and has recorded a seventh inning out in seven of 23 starts. Oakland isn’t as negative a run environment as Seattle, but still no the negative side and despite a predominantly right-handed lineup, the A’s tend to lean more towards an average offense against southpaws. He's struck out 11 of 42 A's faced this year and costs around $8K as well. Andrew Heaney faces a hot Padres' offense (131 wRC+, 20.9 HR/FB last seven days) that has some right-handed pop. Despite allowing at least three runs in seven of his last 10 starts, he’s also completed seven innings in six of those starts and is still missing bats at a league average rate over that span (21.1 K%). He costs a bit more than $8K on either site and the Padres have a 15.6 K-BB% vs LHP. On the lower end of the board, Sean Reid-Foley makes his major league debut. He's not a highly regarded prospect, but has been above a 27% strikeout rate over 23 AA and AAA starts this season. The Royals have just a 20 K% vs RHP, but just an 80 wRC+ at home and 82 wRC+ vs RHP. Artie Lewicki has struck out 25 of 96 AAA batters over the last month and then five of 10 Angels. The White Sox have an 18.5 K-BB% on the road, 19.2 K-BB% vs RHP, and 30.4 K-BB% over the last seven days.
Sometimes You Just Have To
Let's be clear here, nobody has any idea how Sean Reid-Foley is going to pitch in his first career start. There is obviously some risk with a 22-year old kid in his first game. Even if he's going to be great, there could be jitters in his way. But, at this salary, almost anybody would be playable against the Royals. And Reid-Foley may well be much better than 'just anybody'. He had a big 27.4% strikeout rate with just 7.9% walks, a 3.50 ERA and 3.30 xFIP in 82 innings at Triple-A. Those numbers suggest he should be at least an average pitcher, with upside from there out of the gate, and he's priced below Bartolo Colon and even with Clayton Richard. I'm in.
Chalk and Pivot
I am not sure if labeling Reid-Foley as a GPP play is really accurate as slate context could have SRF easily coming in as chalk as SP2 on DraftKings. Reid-Foley will make his Major League debut on Monday night and gets a great matchup on the road against the Kansas City Royals at hitter friendly Kauffman Stadium. SRF has posted strong strikeout totals this year in the Minors (29.2 K% in AA; 27.4 K% in AAA) and has been good in terms of run prevention (2.03 ERA, 3.38 xFIP in AA; 3.50 ERA, 3.30 xFIP in AAA). Something to note: Clayton Richard is the same price on DraftKings. Richard is certainly the less #fun option of the two as he seemingly has less upside but he is worth looking into as a pivot if it appears that ownership is going to skew heavily toward SRF.
Start Off On The Right Foot
It's always tough playing and trusting a pitcher making his Major League debut, but it helps when they face a weak offense. Sean Reid-Foley has posted great numbers in AAA this season with the Blue Jays, as he has a 3.30 xFIP with a 1.15 WHIP and a 27.4% strikeout rate in 82.1 innings. The projected starters for the Royals have a .144 ISO with a .296 wOBA and a 21.9% strikeout rate against right-handed pitching this season. They're one of the weakest offenses in baseball, so this is a plus matchup for the young righty. He's a great value option tonight, but I'd expect him to be popular with all the great hitting options we have available.