| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | ip | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 | 2ba |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-03 | vs. COL | $4.5K | -- | 0.9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-29 | @ CIN | $7K | -- | -4.45 | -5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-28 | @ TEX | $4.5K | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024-02-26 | @ COL | -- | -- | 3.65 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
| 2024-02-22 | @ SD | -- | -- | 7.05 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 0 |
Stephen Gonsalves Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Walk machine gives weak offense a top implied run line tonight
Stephen Gonsalves has started four games for the Twins. He's allowed at least four runs in all four and has completed four innings just once. On top of a -9.7 K-BB% and a 13+ BB% at AA and AAA this season, batters from either side of the plate are above a .480 wOBA and xwOBA as well as a 40% hard hit rate. The Royals will send eight RHBs to the plate, a side against which Gonsalves has just a 28.9 GB% so far. Additionally, the Twins are just one of five teams in baseball with a bullpen FIP above five over the last month. Kansas City can only boast two above average hitters against LHP in Whit Merrifield (156 wRC+, .180 ISO) and Raul Mondesi (117 wRC+, .209 ISO), but Sal Perez (93 wRC+, .185 ISO) would seem viable here as well. Only three other teams exceed the Royals' 4.69 implied run line tonight.
Daily Bullpen Alert: Rookie pitchers in front of bad pens
No bullpen has a FIP above six over the last month, which means the Nationals (5.58 FIP, 11.8 K-BB%) and Orioles (5.56 FIP, 7.4 K-BB%) have made great strides, but are still the worst two bullpens in the majors by FIP over the last month. Only the Orioles are available, but it's a prime spot for Oakland bats, the hardest hitting offense in baseball against home run prone Dylan Bundy ahead of the Baltimore bullpen. Three more pens exceed a five FIP over the last month. FanDuel players will have access to the Miami pen (5.41 FIP, 8.9 K-BB%) for game two of their double-header against the Mets with rookie Jeff Brigham, making just his second start. Players from both sites should feel free to attack the Minnesota bullpen (5.11 FIP, 10.6 K-BB%). They are in Kansas City, but starter Stephen Gonsalves has a -9.7 K-BB% with an ERA and estimators all well above seven through four starts. Rookie Austin Gomber (ERA well below estimators) also makes his ninth start against the Dodgers in front of a St Louis bullpen with a 4.88 FIP and 4.9 K-BB% over the last 30 days.
Tough to imagine a rougher start to a career than this pitcher
Stephen Gonsalves has started three games for the Twins. He's not ready. Opponents have scored 14 runs in 10 innings. He's struck out five of 58 batters and walked twice as many. Batters from both sides of the plate exceed a .480 wOBA and xwOBA and 50% hard hit rate. It a small sample to be sure, but perhaps one daily fantasy plays can act off of tonight with the lowly Royals opposing him in a positive run environment. Whit Merrifield (156 wRC+, .180 ISO), Raul Modesi (93 wRC+, .224 ISO) and Salvador Perez (101 wRC+, .193 ISO) are the top batters in this lineup against southpaws this year. Only one other batter is above a 75 wRC+ and no other batter is above a .120 ISO against them.
Not THAT Bad
Ok, hear me out: Stephen Gonsalves is not THAT bad. I mean, he's not good, but he's not 9.90 ERA bad. Prior to a rough first three Big League starts for Gonsalves he was putting together a nice little year in AAA with a 2.96 ERA and 23.1% strikeout rate. He's struggled at all levels with control but thankfully for him the Royals are one of the most impatient teams in the Majors - they own the third lowest walk-rate (7.2%) versus LHP. On top of a low walk-rate, the Royals strikeout a lot (23.8 K%) versus southpaws and are just generally inept offensively as they own the league's worst wRC+ (77). Don't roster Gonsalves expecting a gem but there's plenty of room for him to return value on his dirt cheap price tag and for you to capitalize on his minuscule ownership while public perception on him remains strongly negative.
Rookie starter struggling with contact in worst run environment
Not only is Texas the most positive run environment on the board, it's one of just four clearly positive run environments at all. No surprise to find the Rangers atop the board at 5.72 runs against a rookie, who has missed some bats in the minors, but now has a double digit walk rate (13%+) across three levels of baseball this year. When your most frequent batted ball allowed is line drives (37.5%) through two starts that have lasted a combined 6.1 innings with a 54.2 Hard%, that's not a good start. Things aren't likely to improve in Texas. Joey Gallo (122 wRC+, .333 ISO vs LHP this season) is the upside bat against a pitcher with just eight ground balls so far, despite both being left-handed. Jurickson Profar (112 wRC+, .197 ISO) is second by both wRC+ and ISO vs LHP this season. It's not that this is a particularly potent Texas offense against LHP, but it's just a great spot. The majority of this lineup has some value at reasonable cost here.
Start of Monday's CHW-MIN game will be delayed due to rain
The start of the matchup between the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins on Monday night will be delayed due to rain. There’s yet to be any confirmation of an official start time, and the Twins have not committed to a specific timeline for providing further updates. The confirmed late start is potentially better news for the prospects of starting pitchers like Stephen Gonsalves not being pulled from their starts early because of a mid-game delay, but as Kevin Roth detailed in the latest update to his MLB weather forecast, pitchers and hitters from this contest are probably best reserved for tournament formats and gamers that are largely risk averse may be better off avoiding this matchup altogether with the potential of a late postponement, albeit, not the likeliest outcome.
One spot to watch on Monday night
Kevin's forecast is fairly quiet tonight, but there is one spot to watch, which could be of interest to players. The updated forecast is now available on the Weather page. Premium subscribers can join Kevin on Crunch Time at 6:30 ET for further updates.