Steven Moya Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Ian Kennedy has struck out 29 of his last 71 batters and faces a decent lineup with a 111 wRC+ at home, but a more marginal 102 wRC+ and 15.2 K-BB% vs RHP. A $10K price tag on DraftKings appears to be too much for a pitcher who has allowed 17 of his 21 HRs in 11 road starts this season, but $8.3K on FanDuel might be at least reasonable for a pitcher with some upside. When batters do make contact, it's generally hard (37.5%) and in the air (0.7 GB/FB). LHBs (.346 wOBA) have hit him better than RHBs (.325 wOBA) since last season, but not by that much. Miguel Cabrera (156 wRC+, .214 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the top overall bat at a reasonable $4.1K on DraftKings, while Steven Moya (141 wRC+, .272 ISO vs RHP this season) moves up a spot in the order with Upton out and is probably the top bargain for $3K or less on either site.

Drew Hutchison struck out 27.6% of batters in 87 AAA innings this season, but just the fact that he's spent that much time in the minors after an awful season last year is a major concern. His big league peripherals rate about league average (13.8 K-BB%) over 400 innings and he actually pitched better at home (15.8 K-BB%, 3.58 ERA, 3.74 FIP career), but just was never able to put it all together with a career 4.92 ERA overall. LHBs and RHBs both have a wOBA just above .330 against him career with an equal hard hit rate just above 31%. Miguel Cabrera (161 wRC+, .218 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the obvious choice. Nick Castellanos has been surprisingly good against RHP this season (145 wRC+, .223 ISO) and costs just $3.6K on DraftKings. Steven Moya (111 wRC+, .255 ISO career vs RHP) is the value play for less than $3K on either site.

Carlos Carrasco only struck out 14 of 26 Blue Jays in his last start after previously shutting out Detroit on four hits and has now at least pitched into the eighth inning in three straight games. He’s had a SwStr above 11% in each of his last five starts now with a 55.6 GB% in June. The Tigers are good offense, but have a 15.2 K-BB% vs RHP. Carrasco is one of tonight's top two arms and a top value on either site. Both left and right-handed bats have a wOBA in the .280s against him since last season, but he has allowed a HR in seven of 10 starts with a 34.3 Hard%. There's still little interest in Detroit bats, but two affordable ones may remain in play if not using Carrasco. Miguel Cabrera (162 wRC+, .221 ISO vs RHP since last season) has to be considered whenever he is less than $4K on DK, $3.5K on FD. He has a 201 wRC+ and 58.8 Hard% over the last week. Steven Moya (124 wRC+, .273 ISO vs RHP career) bats 7th, but costs around $2.5K on either site. He has a 93.9 mph aEV this season.

Danny Salazar is tonight's top priced pitcher on a four game slate and has the 28.5 K% to back it up and with few high priced batting options to consider, he's likely affordable and probably a fine choice (Detroit has a 15.2 K-BB% vs RHP). Another consideration might not only be fading, but going full contrarian and targeting Tiger bats because there are some red flags, including a 1.5 drop in his SwStr% with little change to his strikeout rate over the last month. Also, three times in his last five games he’s walked four or more, while he hasn't even reached six innings in four of his last nine starts. His low line drive rate (16.2%) and 7.4 HR/FB does not mesh with his 34.8 Hard%. LHB's have a 32.7 Hard% against him since last season, making Victor Martinez (132 wRC+, 212 ISO vs RHP this season) and Steven Moya (124 wRC+, .292 ISO vs RHP this season) interesting options. Miguel Cabrera (164 wRC+, .276 ISO vs RHP this season) is red hot (205 wRC+, 53.9 Hard% last seven days). Kinsler, Maybin, and Castellanos all have a wRC+ above 100 vs RHP this year and are above 175 overall the last seven days. Either way, Salazar is likely to have a lot of say in how daily fantasy contests turn out tonight.

Odorizzi is surprisingly much better against left handed batters than right handed batters this season and throughout his career. The root of his struggles can be traced directly to a high 43.3% FB% and a substantial 35.9% Hard% allowed. This combination could be trouble against the righty-heavy, power-filled lineup. Luckily for Odorizzi, this contest will take place at home in Tropicana Field which could limit the Tigers power potential slightly. The Tigers still have plenty of bats we can target for reasonable prices despite the park downgrade. Miguel Cabrera (168 wRC+, .426 wOBA, .284 ISO vs RHP) is the top Tigers option as he is usually. Nick Castellanos (135 wRC+, .377 wOBA, .202 ISO vs RHP) and Victor Martinez (131 wRC+, .371 wOBA, .205 ISO vs RHP) would be the second tier targets. Ian Kinsler (112 wRC+, .343 wOBA, .192 ISO vs RHP) is much better against lefties but is still a great option due to his position scarcity and lineup position. Steven Moya (152 wRC+, .402 WOBA, .322 ISO vs RHP) is a nice value for his price even though Odorizzi tends to be tougher on LHBs.

Danny Salazar has an amazing 29.5 K%, but an 11.7 BB% has held to him to fewer than six innings in five of 13 starts this season. That, plus a .250 BABIP and 86.0 LOB% has his ERA a bit lower than his estimators, potentially setting him up for a fade at $13K on DraftKings against a tough Detroit team (116 wRC+ at home, 108 wRC+ vs RHP). It's a bit of a close call for $10K on FanDuel, where he's just the 4th most expensive pitcher tonight. Detroit bats don't hold much interest, though Miguel Cabrera (178 wRC+, .292 ISO vs RHP this season) is back to being matchup proof and worth a look any time he's less than $4K on DraftKings. Steven Moya (146 wRC+, .302 ISO vs RHP this season) needs to be mentioned as a minimum cost (or close to it) Outfielder.

Vegas has given the Seattle-Detroit game a run total of 10 with Seattle bringing rookie Adrian Sampson to the mound and Detroit countering with Daniel Norris. Sampson was ineffective in his first start against Boston giving up 8 hits, 4 runs, and 2 homers in under 5 innings of work. Norris has had great K upside in the minors, especially against lefties, but that has not translated well into his major league career as he has <20% K rate to both sides of the plate and has actually allowed a staggering .356 wOBA to LH bats over his short major league career including a 2.50 HR/9 rate. Needless to say, we'll want to target bats from both sides. Nelson Cruz and Franklin Gutierrez are the obvious targets for the Mariners as both have wOBA's of .400+ against LHP. Given Norris's struggles against LH bats, Robinson Cano and Kyle Seager could make for nice contrarian plays. Chris Iannetta (.396 wOBA vs LHP) is an excellent value option at catcher. Ketel Marte and Dae-Ho Lee are also in play as secondary options. For the Tigers, Miguel Cabrera and his .452 wOBA and .296 ISO against RHP is the clear top option. Steven Moya is coming off a big game and is also in play with his .407 wOBA and .313 ISO. Others to consider from the Tigers are Ian Kinsler, Nick Castellanos, and Justin Upton.

Hisashi Iwakuma has a 12.5 K-BB% with an ERA and estimators above four this year, but somehow carries a price tag above $8K on both sites in Detroit tonight. His HR rate is down to league average this year (12.8 HR/FB), but his fly ball rate has jumped to 38.9%, so he's still allowing the same amount of HRs (14 this season) with about an average rate of hard contact (30.5%). LHBs (.323 wOBA since 2015) have hit him a bit better than RHBs (.289 wOBA since 2015), but Miguel Cabrera (167 wRC+, .222 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is still our top overall bat here. Steven Moya (100 wRC+, .208 ISO vs RHP this season) is the salary saver. With six batters excluding Upton, Maybin, and Iglesias carrying and ISO of .197 or higher vs RHP this year, a HR is likely, but it's going to be difficult guessing where it will come from. Kevin expressed some concern about weather factors in this game too this morning, so players will want to watch for his late update.

Nate Karns doesn't have a problem missing bats (24.5 K%, 10.3 SwStr%), but does have issues finding the plate sometimes with his 10.8 BB% keeping him to five innings or less in five of his last six starts. It's difficult to pay more than $7K for a five inning pitcher unless the performance is expected to be elite while he's in there. RHBs (.321 wOBA, 35.6 Hard%) have hit him harder than LHBs (.299 wOBA, 30.6 Hard%) since last season, which plays right into Miguel Cabrera's hands (174 wRC+, .275 ISO vs RHP this season). He has a 208 wRC+ over the last week and is a reasonable $4.5K on DraftKings. The other bat players who are paying up for pitching might want to look at is Steven Moya, who is left-handed and bats 7th, but has a 119 wRC+ and .227 ISO vs RHP this season with a 191 wRC+ over the last week for less than $2.5K.