Tim Adleman

Detroit Tigers
Pos: SP | Hand: R
Status: Inactive
player props

Tim Adleman Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Tim Adleman has posted a 5.1% K-BB% versus LHB, leading to a 6.07 xFIP

After a decent start to the 2017 campaign, Tim Adleman has pitched, well, like Tim Adleman of late, allowing three or more earned runs in each of his last seven starts. So, clearly, he still isn't the type of pitcher we need to shy away from attacking with opposing hitters. This is especially true given his matchup with a Miami Marlins squad that can certainly hold its own against right-handed pitching, ranking in the middle of the pack in wRC+, wOBA, and ISO, each of the major offensive categories. To this point in his career, Adleman has been a fly ball pitcher to left-handed batters (51.1% FB%) and owns, essentially, neutral splits to righties, though he is surrendering a lot more hard contact (36.8% HH%) against righties opposed to 31.4% against lefties. He also looks to be an average strikeout pitcher (19.4% K%) that has exhibited some questionable control (9.1% BB% in 2017), meaning that there should be expected to be a plethora of baserunners from both sides of the plate Saturday evening. Christian Yelich (112 wRC+, .347 wOBA vs RHP) is far and away the top overall option to target from this Miami lineup in all formats given his platoon advantage and long track record of crushing fly ball pitchers. He's closely followed by Marcell Ozuna (142 wRC+, .392 wOBA, .269 ISO vs RHP) and Giancarlo Stanton (139 wRC+, .388 wOBA, .299 ISO vs RHP), each possessing enough individual power to take advantage of an average pitcher like Adleman. The secondary tier of Marlins hitters looks to be J.T. Realmuto (112 wRC+, .347 wOBA vs RHP), Miguel Rojas (117 wRC+, .355 wOBA vs RHP), and even Tomas Telis, though Realmuto and Rojas have really lacked individual power, making them less appealing options on their own. Meaning, the aforementioned trio is likely better utilized as stack fillers, whereas, Yelich, Ozuna, and Stanton have tremendous upside, as always, and are viable as both one-offs and core pieces to a Marlins stack in tournaments.

The Diamondbacks are among the seven teams with implied team totals at 5.0 runs or higher on Wednesday's slate

After a decent start to the 2017 campaign, Tim Adleman has pitched, well, like Tim Adleman of late, allowing three or more earned runs and failing to pitch past the fifth inning in each of his last five starts. So, clearly, he still isn't the type of pitcher we need to shy away from attacking with opposing hitters. This is especially true given his matchup with an Arizona Diamondbacks squad that just continues to roll, ranking 4th in wOBA and 9th in ISO against right-handed pitching, and not to mention just added another big time bat in J.D. Martinez, who will make his Diamondbacks debut this evening. To this point in his career, Adleman has been a fly ball pitcher to left-handed batters (51.2% FB%) and owns, essentially, neutral splits to righties, though he is surrendering a lot more hard contact (37.9% HH%) against righties opposed to 30.1% against lefties. He also looks to be an average strikeout pitcher (19.2% K%) that has exhibited some questionable control (9.5% BB% in 2017), meaning that there should be expected to be a plethora of baserunners from both sides of the plate Wednesday night. Paul Goldschmidt (172 wRC+, .446 wOBA, .303 ISO vs RHP) and Jake Lamb (148 wRC+, .410 wOBA, .282 ISO vs RHP) and far and away the top overall options to target from this Arizona lineup in all formats, closely followed by the newly acquired Martinez (119 wRC+, .350 wOBA, .247 ISO vs RHP), who should be looking to put on a show in his debut. The secondary tier of Diamondbacks hitters looks to be David Peralta (117 wRC+, .362 wOBA vs RHP), A.J. Pollock (110 wRC+, .351 wOBA vs RHP), and Brandon Drury (117 wRC+, .363 wOBA, .190 ISO vs RHP), though Peralta and Pollock have really lacked individual power this season, making them less appealing options. The aforementioned trio is likely better utilized as stack fillers, whereas, Goldschmidt, Lamb, and Martinez possess enough upside on their own to be viable as both one-offs and core pieces to a Diamondbacks stack in tournaments.

Red-hot Yankees look to capitalize in matchup with RHP, Tim Adleman, and his 41.9% HH%

Tim Adleman has actually been a respectable starting pitcher so far this season, allowing more than two earned runs in just one start, but he still isn't the type of pitcher we need to shy away from attacking with opposing hitters. This is especially true given his matchup with a New York Yankees squad that just continues to roll, leading the American League in runs scored, and are showing no signs of slowing down. To this point in his career, Adleman has been fly ball pitcher to left-handed batters (54.6% FB%) and owns essentially neutral splits to righties but is surrendering a lot more hard contact (40.4% HH%). He also looks to be a below-average strikeout pitcher (17.9% K%) that has exhibited some decent control (6.4% BB%), meaning that it should be expected for a lot of balls to be put into play this evening, especially with how hot the Yankees' sticks have been in recent weeks. Aaron Judge (146 wRC+, .382 wOBA, .327 ISO vs RHP since 2016) is back in the lineup after receiving the night off yesterday, and he'll join Gary Sanchez (177 wRC+, .432 wOBA, .311 ISO vs RHP since 2016) as the top overall options to target from this lineup in all formats. Brett Gardner (117 wRC+, .344 wOBA vs RHP since 2016) has added a bit of extra power to his game thus far in 2017, but it remains to be seen if he will be able to sustain that type of upside going forward, which relegates him to more of a secondary option along with Jacoby Ellsbury and Starlin Castro. The aforementioned trio is likely better utilized in a stack for tournaments, whereas, Judge and Sanchez possess enough upside on their own to be viable as both one-offs and core pieces to a Yankees stack in tournaments.

Cubs bats are one of the top places to look for hitting away from Coors Field

Tim Adleman is set to toe the rubber in tonight's game against the Chicago Cubs after pitching decently well in his first start of the season against the Milwaukee Brewers, allowing just one earned run while punching out five in four innings of work. The currently available sample size of Adleman at the Major League level is still fairly limited, but he has shown early signs of being a reverse splits pitcher, posting a 21.0% strikeout to lefties compared to a 14.1% strikeout rate to right-handed batters. Adleman has also surrendered an above average hard contact rate (33.0%) and a massive amount of flyballs to left-handed batters (53.7%), putting power lefties like Anthony Rizzo (150 wRC+, .398 wOBA, .254 ISO vs RHP since 2016) and Kyle Schwarber (148 wRC+, .387 wOBA, .256 ISO career vs RHP) in amazing spots to potentially go deep in the hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark this evening. However, given Adleman's low strikeout rate and 37.0% hard contact rate to righties, there is no reason to write-off Cubs right-handed bats like Kris Bryant (132 wRC+, .371 wOBA, .227 ISO vs RHP since 2016), Wilson Contreras (120 wRC+, .353 wOBA, .202 ISO vs RHP since 2016), and even Addison Russell as a part of a Cubs stack or one-offs. With all this said, the Cubs are shaping up to be one of the top places to look for offense away from Coors Field on Friday's slate.

Cubs tie for top run projection (5.8) vs Adleman with a game at Coors on the board

Tim Adleman has an ERA over four that probably should be above five if not for a .255 BABIP and 82.7 LOB%. LHBs have a .391 wOBA against him, but RHBs have a 35.4 Hard%. The Cubs have a 5.8 run projection that ties them for tops on the slate and that's with a game at Coors on the board. This is an entirely stackable lineup....if players can afford to do so. Bryant (143 wRC+, .233 ISO vs RHP career) and Rizzo (151 wRC+, .268 ISO vs RHP since 2015) are top overall bats, to the surprise of nobody. Willson Contreras (104 wRC+, .181 ISO vs RHP) and Addison Russell (98 wRC+, .153 ISO vs RHP since 2015) are more affordable bats at more difficult positions.

Tim Adleman has allowed 10 HRs in 46.1 innings with ERA estimators well above five

Tim Adleman has allowed 10 HRs in 46.1 innings, but only 20 runs total with a 7.7 K-BB% and 34.2 Hard% (0.81 GB/FB) due to an 86.3% strand rate. Though he has a 3.88 ERA, his estimators are all well above five. RHBs have a .342 wOBA and 36.5 Hard% against him, LHBs a .382 wOBA and 31.2 Hard%. Everyone hits him well. Ryan Braun (122 wRC+, .214 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the top bat, but an expensive one. The really interesting option here might be Keon Broxton (88 wRC+, .178 ISO vs RHP) in the second spot. He has hit the ball hard 53.9% of the time over the last week and costs just $2.8K on FanDuel.

Tim Adleman has allowed seven HRs over his last three starts

Tim Adleman has a 4.02 ERA that's still about a run below his estimators (two full runs below his FIP) due to a .252 BABIP and 87.8 LOB%. He is missing more bats that expected though (9.7 SwStr%), even if it’s not showing up in his strikeout rate (17.5%). He has allowed 10 HRs in eight starts (seven over his last three) with batters from either side hitting him about equally well. While he does get a significant park upgrade, especially against RH power, there are certainly some Pittsburgh bats to consider, especially for Fanduel players. Jung-Ho Kang (135 wRC+, .216 ISO vs RHP career) has a 362 wRC+ and 58.3 Hard% over the last week, while Andrew McCutchen (125 wRC+, .182 ISO vs RHP since 2015) has been swinging the bat better and costs less than $4K on either site. Josh Bell (154 wRC+, .196 ISO vs RHP) continues to be an affordable First Base pivot on either site out of the second slot.

Gyorko looks to commit righty-on-righty crime from the 2-hole today

Over the last month, Tim Adleman is striking out 12% of batters, while giving up hard contact on 33% of balls that are put into play. Of these, 50% have been flyballs, leading one to believe that Adleman’s 2.81 HR/9 is not an aberration. Anytime a pitcher has shown an inability to get batters out of the same handedness, there is a slight DFS edge to be had, and Adleman holds a putrid 10% strikeout percentage versus RHBs. Cardinals RHBs are practical options today, starting with Jedd Gyorko, a RHB who possesses an impressive 131 wRC+ versus right-handed pitching. Look to target a low-owned RHB with a 0.340 ISO versus RHP today in Jedd Gyorko.

Angels check-in with an unusually high total of 5.2 runs (for them, at least)

Tim Adleman sets up to be a solid matchup for the Angels. Against a pitcher like Adleman with a low strikeout rate to right-handed batters (13.1%), a high hard-hit rate to right-handed batters (35.4%), and an average enough batted ball profile that these Angels bats can hammer out some extra base hits even if they don’t send the ball out of the ballpark. Mike Trout (180 wRC+, .432 wOBA, .266 ISO vs RHP) and C.J. Cron (127 wRC+, .355 wOBA, .196 ISO vs RHP) are the primary targets here as one offs or part of tournament stacks. The Angels may not produce five home runs again like last night but at least rostering them puts us in a position where we can rack up points even if the home runs don't come in this matchup.

Tim Adleman has an 88.4 LOB% through five starts and some odd lefty/righty splits

The Rangers are in Cincinnati facing a young pitcher with some interesting splits in Tim Adleman, who's 88.4 LOB% through five starts has kept his 2.96 ERA over two runs below his estimators with just a 17.9 K%. LHBs have a .412 wOBA, but just a 25.7 Hard% against him, while RHBs have a .250 wOBA with a 36.8 Hard%. All three of his HRs have gone to LHBs. Nearly all of the Texas bats seem reasonable here with just Elvis Andrus below a 100 wRC+ vs RHP this year, but he has a 200 wRC+ over the last week. None grade out as exceptionally necessary tonight with Jonathan Lucroy's 131 wRC+ being the only one above 108 vs RHP this season and he costs $5K on DraftKings. It's a collection of average bats at reasonably average prices that should be able to fill holes in your lineup if needed. Players really looking for exposure to this lineup should probably look most closely at Mitch Moreland (108 wRC+, .229 ISO vs RHP this season), who is less than $4K on either site and Rougned Odor (107 wRC+, .228 ISO vs RHP this season) for just a few hundred more. Carlos Beltran is the other league average bat with an ISO above .200 against RHP this season, but has a -100 wRC+ over the last week.