| Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | sf | ab | slg | h | so | hbp | gidp | 1b | babip | 2b | pa | 3b | sb | hr | xbh | r | obp | rbi | iso | bb | ops | ibb |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-24 | @ HOU | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-22 | vs. TEX | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-21 | vs. TEX | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-15 | vs. KC | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-13 | @ LAA | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-10 | @ LAD | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-07 | vs. TOR | $2K | $2K | 2 | 3.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-05 | vs. TOR | $2K | $2K | 5 | 6.5 | 0 | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.25 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 0 |
| 2022-08-04 | vs. TOR | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-02 | vs. DET | $2.1K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-08-01 | vs. DET | $2K | $2K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2022-07-31 | @ SD | $2K | -- | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 0 |
Tim Beckham Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Kyle Seager (wrist) scratched Friday; Tim Beckham replaces
Seager has been scratched from the Seattle Mariners original confirmed lineup and will not start in Friday’s matchup against the Houston Astros due to the lingering effects of a sore wrist. He’ll be replaced in the lineup by Tim Beckham, who will now play third base and slot into the fifth spot in the order, which slides Tom Murphy down to sixth, respectively. However, the remainder of the Mariners lineup will stay intact offensively as they face off against left-hander Wade Miley on the road this evening.
Corbin Martin has allowed five HRs with eight walks in his last three starts (11 innings)
Corbin Martin has allowed 10 runs (nine earned) in 11 innings since an impressive debut, where he struck out nine Rangers. The 50th ranked prospect (Fangraphs) has faced 56 batters since then, walking eight and striking out only seven, while allowing five HRs. Martin has had above average strikeout rates at every stop in professional baseball, so it’s not a question of talent, but he appears over-matched in recent starts. The good news is that his 31.6 HR/FB comes with a board best 17.6 Hard-Soft%, supported by a 17.6 LD% and 15.8 IFFB%. The Statcast numbers tell a different, and stranger story though. While he’s allowed just 5.9% Barrels/BBE (best on the board), he’s also generating a 90.1 mph aEV with 45.1% of his contact above a 95 mph EV. Estimators, all above five, stand by his 5.51 ERA. On a three game slate, this is a spot where players can certainly take GPP shots on his prospect upside in a secondary role on DraftKings for $7.1K, but Seattle bats are certainly worth a flyer as well, as a lot of players probably aren’t sure how to handle Martin yet and would rather attack Eric Lauer’s 4.8 SwStr% over the last month or Wade LeBlanc’s .410 xwOBA this season. Martin has allowed much harder contact (42.3 Hard%) and a .370 xwOBA to same-handed batters so far (LHBs 28 Hard%, .288 xwOBA). Mitch Haniger (134 wRC+, .174 ISO), Domingo Santana (115 wRC+, .254 ISO) and Edwin Encarnacion (135 wRC+, .214 ISO) have been the batters who have done the most damage to same-handed pitching this year. Tim Beckham (103 wRC+, .203 ISO) has been competent as well.
Hot Hitter vs. a Bad Pitcher
Since the all star break, Beckham has shown a whole lot more power (.085 ISO Pre All Star vs. .193 ISO Post All Star) and he gets a matchup vs. a terrible pitcher in Jorge Lopez. In the small sample size we do have with Lopez, he has given up a 46.6% hard contact rate and is only striking guys out at a 16.7% clip. Beckham on the other hand, has be a big strikeout guy (25% vs. RHP) and that should be negated by Lopez low K numbers. Add in that the KC bullpen is terrible and you have a near guarantee that Beckham should hit value at his low 3.3k pricetag over on DK.
Ugly Stack
This one is ugly. Typically on short slates ownership is much more predictable and it's important to take into account when building GPP lineups. It seems likely that Sam Gaviglio will attract healthy ownership on DraftKings as SP2 which in turn makes Baltimore an intriguing "sneaky" stack. Advanced run prevention metrics place Gaviglio as a league average pitcher but he has struggled with stolen bases (-1 rSB) and the long ball (16.7 HR/FB%) - both things we want to target when looking for teams to stack.
Two Top Values in a Great Spot
There is a path to Mike Minor potentially putting up a good performance here, given the awful nature of the Orioles as a team in general. However, I wouldn’t bank on it. As I mentioned above, Arlington is a great park for offense, and the Orioles will undoubtedly throw a RH-heavy lineup out there tonight. RHBs have posted a .342 wOBA and a 41% hard contact rate against Minor this year, and the Orioles do have some reasonable RHBs in their lineup. Both Jonathan Villar and Tim Beckham are going to get traction as value plays tonight, and they both make sense in all formats. They are very affordable, the matchup is there, and they bring some upside hitting in this park. Villar owns a .380 wOBA and a surprising 46% hard contact rate against LHP this year, and he carries much more fantasy appeal in Baltimore as long as he is going to be allowed to hit leadoff. Beckham has good career splits against lefties, as well, and he makes for a reasonable value.
Hottest offense in the league (after trading away best bats) in a great spot tonight
The Baltimore Orioles just traded away their two biggest bats, so it makes complete sense that they'd have a major league leading 169 team wOBA with a 20.3 HR/FB over the last week. Tonight, they are fourth on the board with a 5.2 run line against a pitcher making his third major league start in Texas. Ariel Jurado gets his first home start, but struck out just four of 43 Astros and White Sox after just a 13.9 K% in 16 AA starts this season. Adam Jones (112 wRC+, .182 ISO) and Trey Mancini (93 wRC+, .173 ISO) are really the only Baltimore bats approaching average against RHP, but Jonathan Villar (85 wRC+, .104 ISO) and Tim Beckham (90 wRC+, .136 ISO) considering their low cost and lineup spots in this run environment.
Salary saving may mean having to oppose one of tonight's top pitchers
Players are likely spending a little bit on their pitchers tonight, which means they can't just pile up on expensive offenses too. While David Price may be one of those arms players are spending on, no Baltimore bat is above $4K on DraftKings and only one is above $3K on FanDuel. Price has been a league average arm against RHBs since last season (.311 wOBA), but with a 35.3 Hard% and 37 GB% that pushes his xwOBA up to .337, offering some opportunity to save salary at the top of this lineup. Tim Beckham costs $3K or less and has been the top bat in the lineup against LHP since last season (127 wRC+, .242 ISO). Nobody else is above a 115 wRC+ or .200 ISO over that span. Jonathan Schoop (107 wRC+, .174 ISO) is the most expensive bat in the lineup, but still only costs $3.8K on DraftKings.
Punt the Position
Beckham has two things going for him - he's cheap and he hits toward the top of the order. The matchup against Happ isn't a good one but his price tag and positional eligibility on FanDuel (SS) make him a focus of lineup construction. With Lindor off FD's main slate it appears the best approach is to simply punt the SS position and Beckham is the best option to do so. While he's not SS eligible on DK, Beckham is still only $3,100 which keeps him in play there.
Lead-off Hitter on the Cheap
I don't love picking on J.A. Happ, but ever since Manny Machado was shipped out of town, Tim Beckham has been given the everyday shortstop role and has been leading off for the Orioles. This is one of baseball's worst offenses, but Beckham will hold the platoon-advantage against Happ and is cheap across the industry. Beckham doesn't have a ton of power, but he does have a 834 OPS against lefties this season and I don't mind him as a punt if you need some savings.
Much Needed Salary Relief
Mike Minor has been elite against left-handed bats this year, but Baltimore is a RH-heavy lineup, and you aren’t playing Chris Davis anyway. My favorite individual bat here is Tim Beckham, who is affordable and has the best profile against left-handed pitching. Beckham doesn’t have a large sample size this year, but he has a decent track record against lefties and has managed a .380 wOBA in the limited sample this year. That's a good sign, and the most important part is that he offers salary relief that is invariably needed as we build lineups.