Tyler Wilson Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
Red Sox have highest implied run line on the slate (5.2) against late replacement Tyler Wilson
Tyler Wilson is a last minute replacement with a career 5.8 K-BB%, who hasn't faced more than 17 batters in any appearance at any level this year. Expect to see a lot of the Baltimore bullpen one way or another, as the Red Sox are the only offense projected to score more than five runs tonight. Wilson has actually been a bit worse vs RHBs (.358 wOBA, 11 HRs) during his time in the majors, though LHBs (.330 wOBA, 6 HRs) have hit him well too in a nearly equal number of PAs. Hanley Ramirez (105 wRC+, .183 ISO vs RHP since 2015) has been one of the hottest bats on the slate (257 wRC+, 50 Hard%, 4 HRs last seven days). Both he and Andrew Benintendi (148 wRC+, .203 ISO vs RHP career) are top bats according to RotoGrinders Player Projections, though this is one of the most stackable lineups on the slate one through eight with perhaps the exception of Jeff Rutledge. The bats are not cheap with a couple exceeding $5K on DraftKings, but there shouldn't be much issue affording the bats players want to include tonight. Though the skies appear clear tonight, temperatures are only expected to be in the mid-50s in Boston with a 10 mph breeze out towards the Green Monster.
Tyler Wilson will start for Baltimore tonight against the Red Sox
Wilson has only pitched out of the bullpen this season for the Orioles and is being recalled from AAA to start after Ubaldo Jiminez had to pitch in relief last night after Kevin Gausman was ejected. The Red Sox bats are top targets in the small five game evening slate - don't expect Wilson to last long though given he hasn't started a game all season.
Cano has a 175 wRC+, .427 wOBA, .302 ISO versus RHP this season
Cano has crushed RHP this year and hasn't allowed Safeco Field to contain his home run power. He gets a great matchup tonight as Tyler Wilson is set to start for the Orioles. Wilson (4.99 SIERA, 6.6% K-BB%) has not pitched particularly well this season. Wilson surrenders a lot of contact and doesn't miss many bats as he only has a 6.7% SwStr%. The Mariners offense is a great spot to target batters on the night slate and may even go a little overlooked. Outside of Cano, Kyle Seager (165 wRC+, .413 wOBA, .285 ISO vs RHP) and Dae-Ho Lee (142 wRC+, .379 wOBA, .227 ISO vs RHP) are must plays in any Seattle stack given their power upside. Nelson Cruz (126 wRC+, .355 wOBA, .187 ISO) hits LHP much better than RHP but is still in consideration due to his ability to hit a bomb off anyone at anytime.
Red Sox have tonight's top run projection (5.48) by nearly a run against Tyler Wilson (11.9 K%)
The Red Sox are tonight's top projected lineup by nearly a run (5.48) against a pitcher who has allowed at least three runs in each of his last five and five runs in three of those starts. Tyler Wilson has just an 11.9 K% with an average batted ball and contact profile, which means plenty of opportunities for batted ball damage. The issue is going to be fitting them into your lineup, even without a lot of high priced pitching tonight. The top six, outside of Hanley Ramirez, all cost $4.9K or more on DraftKings, $3.5K or more on FanDuel. Wilson has actually allowed RHBs a slightly higher wOBA (.329) since last season with a 32.0 Hard%, but Oritz is still the stud bat here (206 wRC+, .386 ISO vs RHP this year), though Bogaerts is the hottest (293 wRC+, 45.5 Hard% last seven days). Jackie Bradley Jr. has an aEV of 105 mph on three batted balls against Wilson. All of the expensive batters hit RHP very well (135 or better wRC+ this season), but Ramirez could be a slightly cheaper pivot from Ortiz if need be. He has just an 83 wRC+ vs RHP this season, but with a .199 ISO and has been heating up over the last week (168 wRC+). One more interesting name for FanDuel players is Rusney Castillo in the seventh spot. He's a min-priced way to get some exposure to the expected action, though costs $4K on FanDuel for some reason.
Tyler Wilson has a 50% ground ball rate, but doesn't miss bats (12.0 K%)
Tyler Wilson has not struck out more than four in a game this season, but has an ERA only just above four due to a .257 BABIP and an ability to keep the ball on the ground 50% of the time. With the Blue Jays being projected for five runs tonight, this is a spot where we'll want to target some hitters. Wilson has shown no real platoon split (.311 wOBA vs LHBs, .318 vs RHBs) since last season, so our top overall bat and one of the top overall bats tonight is Josh Donaldson (143 wRC+, .259 ISO vs RHP since 2015). He appears to be over his thumb injury with a 176 wRC+ over the last week and a big game yesterday. He's expensive, but no more than usual. Jose Bautista (145 wRC+, .285 ISO vs RHP since 2015) appears to be one of the top OF bats tonight and a better value on DraftKings ($4.4K). He has three career plate appearances against Wilson with a HR that left the bat at 107 mph. Justin Smoak (113 wRC+, .223 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the value play here for less than $3.5K, though you might not need to save on salary tonight.
Astros have a 50 wRC+ last seven days, but Wilson just an 11.9 K%, 4.87 SIERA
The Astros stay with George Springer (118 wRC+, .170 ISO vs RHP since 2015) in the leadoff spot and Jose Altuve (116 wRC+, .163 ISO vs RHP since 2015) in the 2nd spot as they try to ignite a stagnant offense (50 wRC+ over the last week). Tyler Wilson may or may not be the pitcher they do that against, but his 11.9 K% and 4.87 SIERA offer daily fantasy players nothing from a pitching perspective, even if his ERA is more than a run lower due to a .237 BABIP. Players are probably sick of Houston bats sinking them over the last week and there are really none that stand out at high costs here except for Colby Rasmus (111 wRC+, .236 ISO vs RHP since 2015), who can't break $4K on either site. Wilson has offered no real platoon split (.307 wOBA vs LHBs, .305 vs RHBs).
Can Tyler Wilson continue his recent good run?
After a slow start to the season, Orioles SP Tyler Wilson has looked impressive of late and comes into today's game with a wOBA allowed this season of .287 to LH bats and .265 to RH bats. He doesn't have high K upside but if you're playing the two game early slate he's worth a look. His counterpart Nate Karns does have some upside but faces one of the tougher match ups in baseball facing the Orioles at their home park. The Mariners have loaded their lineups with lefties with Nelson Cruz being the only right handed hitter in the lineup. Robinson Cano and Kyle Seager both come in with >.400 wOBA's vs RHP this season and are the top options from that side of the plate. Seth Smith and Cruz are secondary options and good adds if you're looking to stack the Mariners. From the Orioles side - Chris Davis, Manny Machado, and Mark Trumbo all enter the game with > .400 wOBA's vs RHP this season and are excellent choices to start your Orioles stacks with.