Tyrell Jenkins Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections

Bryce Harper will face Tyrell Jenkins today, a pitcher who has a giant xFIP of 6.77 against LHBs. Jenkins is only striking out lefties 10% of the time, a tendency that should be am issue when he faces off against Bryce Harper. Harper is only striking out 15% of the time in at bats against RHPs, holding a wRC+ 122 against righties, with a 0.207 ISO. National's park is not the most hitter friendly park, but Harper has proven he has the power to hit it out at home, holding a 0.195 ISO at home.

It's not often the Brewers are projected for five runs, but it's not often they face a pitcher the caliber of Tyrell Jenkins, who has failed to strike out more than he's walked in each of his five starts. Batters from either side have a wOBA just above .360 against him so far and while that's had a lot to do with terrible control, a 14.8 BB% fits right in with the Milwaukee offense (9.4 BB% vs RHP) that likes to run. Despite just Braun (125 wRC+, .211 ISO) and Villar (113 wRC+) having an above average wRC+ vs RHP since last season, this is an inexpensive lineup with some value on it all the way through with the potential exception of paying $4.8K for Hernan Perez (63 wRC+, .070 ISO vs RHP since 2015) on DraftKings. Both Braun and Villar have a wRC+ above 200 over the last week as does Keon Broxton, who adds a 55.6 Hard% and costs just $2.9K on FanDuel ($3.8K on DraftKings). Villar is expensive (as is Braun), but he's tied for the major league lead with 45 SBs.

Tyerell Jenkins has failed to strike out more batters than he's walked in any of his four starts this season. Batters from both sides have a wOBA better than .370 against him, though only RHBs have hit him particularly hard (37.1%). That works out well for the Pirates with six of them in the lineup tonight (not counting the pitcher), though none of them have been hitting the ball particularly well. Only Starling Marte (140 wRC+, .162 ISO vs RHP this season) has a wRC+ above 27 among those with more than 10 PAs over the last week. He's sporting a 182 wRC+ and 46.2 Hard% over the last week as the top bat in this lineup if you can afford him ($5.3K on DK). Matt Joyce (168 wRC+, .297 ISO vs RHP this season) is just $2.4K on FanDuel. Adam Frazier (129 wRC+, .234 ISO vs RHP) has strong numbers in a small sample. He's the other LHB, but has been struggling. Jung-Ho Kang (128 wRC+, .194 ISO vs RHP career) is probably the best combination of price, power, and matchup here.

Tyrell Jenkins has walked 10, striking out just five in three starts this month. He is one of the few pitchers that probably should not be considered against the Phillies. He's allowed six HRs with a 34.5 Hard% in 23 innings overall in the majors and while LHBs have hit him well (.342 wOBA), RHBs have pounded him (.458 wOBA and 38 Hard%). It's still a very small sample, but probably worth looking at some affordable Philadelphia bats here. Aaron Altherr (167 wRC+, .308 ISO vs RHP since 2015) is the ultimate value/punt Outfielder tonight at $2.8K on DraftKings and the absolute minimum on FanDuel. Tommy Joseph (99 wRC+, .252 ISO vs RHP) is less than $4K on either site and Maikel Franco (112 wRC+, .207 ISO vs RHP career) is less than $3.5K. Those are really the top power bats against RHP in this lineup.

Tyler Jenkins is a what the Braves hope will be a weak contact guy, ranked 19th in the organization prospect list this pre-season by fangraphs, and strikeout rates well below league average in the minors the past couple of seasons. He's walked and struck out seven each in 14 major league innings, but does have just a 24.5 Hard%. There doesn't appear to be much upside here, but its unknown yet if he's a pitcher players should attack offensively with a 57.4 GB% so far. LHBs have elevated a bit more often (47.6 GB%) with a bit harder contact (28.6%), so Joey Votto (161 wRC+, .228 ISO vs RHP since 2015) with a 273 wRC+ and 75 Hard% since the All Star break remains a top overall bat and probably still a good value at a high price, but still below $5K on DraftKings (below $4K on FanDuel). Jay Bruce (107 wRC+, .252 ISO vs RHP since 2015) and Adam Duvall (114 wRC+, .310 ISO vs RHP since 2015) who is just $3K on FanDuel and hits RHP better than LHP are still power threats in a power friendly home park, but both cost nearly $5K as well on DraftKings.

Tyrell Jenkins was a top 50 selection in the 2010 MLB draft and has appeared four times out of the bullpen this season for the Braves. Today he will make his first start against the Phillies. He's as cheap as they come ($4K on FanDuel, $5.4K on DraftKings) so there is some merit to using him as a punt to load up on big bats especially facing a Phillies team that for most of the season has been underwhelming. The problem with that though is he probably won't last past the fifth inning, if that, and he hasn't shown much in his relief appearances (.390+ wOBA allowed to both sides of the plate with just 6K's in 9 1/3 IP). The safer bet is to target Phillies bats like Odubel Herrera and the red-hot Maikel Franco (homers in three straight games). Jeremy Hellickson gets the start for the Phillies and is in line for a easy win against a hapless Braves offense. He's vulnerable to LH bats (.374 wOBA allowed), however, making Freddie Freeman (.374 wOBA, .247 ISO) a great option. The Braves have loaded up LH bats (Jace Peterson - 1st, Ender Inciarte - 2nd, Nick Markakis - 4th) at the top of the order and while none of those three have huge upside, they do have the capability to put together nice games and would make for a nice stack along with Freeman.