Date | Opp | DKSAL | FDSAL | DKFPTS | FDFPTS | k | 2ba | ab | sho | w | hra | l | er | cg | ip | ha | 3ba | bba | sba | ibba | whip | hbp | qstart | 1ba | k/9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2019-05-10 | @ MIN | $6K | $6.2K | -3.35 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3.6 |
2019-05-04 | vs. KC | $6.4K | $6.4K | -10.4 | -8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6.77 |
2019-04-24 | @ BOS | $6.8K | $7.3K | 7.25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
2019-04-18 | vs. CWS | $7K | $7.6K | 9.3 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
2019-04-13 | @ MIN | $6.7K | $7.3K | 6.1 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4.5 |
2019-04-07 | vs. KC | $5.5K | $5.8K | 30.15 | 52 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10.29 |
2019-04-01 | @ NYY | $7.5K | $5.9K | 10.45 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7.2 |
2018-09-25 | vs. MIL | $7.2K | $6.5K | -4.1 | -1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13.64 |
2018-09-21 | vs. SF | $7.2K | $6.5K | 12.65 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15.45 |
2018-09-13 | vs. LAD | $7.2K | $6.5K | 5.55 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
2018-09-04 | @ WSH | $7.2K | $6.5K | 5.8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.77 |
2018-09-01 | vs. CIN | $7.2K | $6.5K | 12.1 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4.2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.86 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5.79 |
2018-08-26 | @ COL | $7.2K | $6.5K | 0.7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
2018-08-19 | vs. MIL | $7.2K | $6.7K | 5.55 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2018-08-16 | vs. WSH | $7.2K | $6.9K | 7.1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2.7 |
2018-08-12 | @ KC | $7.2K | $6.8K | 17.9 | 34 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
2018-08-03 | @ CHC | -- | $6.8K | 4.45 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3.6 |
2018-07-28 | vs. ARI | $7.2K | $7.1K | 3.25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5.4 |
2018-07-22 | @ PHI | -- | $6.8K | 15.85 | 30 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
2018-07-12 | vs. LAD | $5.1K | $6.3K | 16.65 | 32 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6.1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7.11 |
2018-07-08 | @ ARI | $7.5K | $6.9K | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2018-07-07 | @ ARI | $7.5K | $6.9K | -12.9 | -12 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
2018-07-01 | vs. PIT | $7.9K | $7.4K | -8.75 | -6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
2018-06-26 | @ TEX | $8.5K | $7.4K | 14.1 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7.5 |
2018-06-21 | @ SF | $7.8K | $7.4K | 15.55 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3.86 |
2018-06-14 | @ ATL | $8.1K | $7.9K | 11.9 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.67 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
2018-06-09 | @ MIA | -- | -- | 15.2 | 28 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11.82 |
2018-06-03 | vs. CIN | -- | -- | 11.85 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5.4 |
2018-05-29 | vs. MIA | -- | -- | 9.8 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5.1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.31 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6.75 |
2018-05-27 | @ LAD | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2018-05-23 | @ WSH | -- | -- | 31.4 | 54 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6.2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12.16 |
2018-05-18 | @ PIT | -- | -- | 11.5 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2018-05-12 | vs. STL | -- | -- | 21.9 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.83 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10.5 |
2018-05-07 | vs. WSH | -- | -- | 10.1 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 |
2018-05-01 | @ SF | -- | -- | 25.3 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1.17 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13.5 |
2018-04-25 | @ COL | -- | -- | 9.6 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.25 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15.75 |
2018-04-20 | @ ARI | -- | -- | 32.85 | 54 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7.2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.52 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11.75 |
2018-04-17 | vs. LAD | -- | -- | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2018-04-13 | vs. SF | -- | -- | 22.1 | 43 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7.5 |
2018-04-08 | @ HOU | -- | -- | 15.9 | 27 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10.5 |
2018-04-03 | vs. COL | -- | -- | 10.7 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1.33 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Tyson Ross Daily Fantasy News, Rankings, Projections
First five Twins in projected lineup above .200 ISO vs RHP last calendar year
Tyson Ross has a board high 92.8 Z-Contact% and has allowed 11% Barrels/BBE with just a 6.6 K-BB%. Over the last 12 months, LHBs have a .356 wOBA against him, more than 50 points higher than RHBs, but xwOBA bumps RHBs up to .335 and same-handed batters also have a higher hard hit rate against him (43.7%). This situation is worthy of a full on stack with batters from either side of the plate. Minnesota is not a negative run environment and favorable hitting conditions are currently expected (Weather Edge is a premium tool which is updated throughout the day). The home team is currently implied for a healthy 5.6 runs (third best on the board). Each of the first five batters in the lineup (Max Kepler, Jorge Polanco, Nelson Cruz, Eddie Rosario, C.J. Cron) are above a .200 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year and only Kepler (99) is below a 110 wRC+ among that group. This is a well-balanced lineup that doesn’t strike out much (19.4% vs RHP as a team this year) in a strong spot against a pitcher, who probably isn’t starting in most major league rotations at this point.
Good chance they get back to hard hitting ways
Tyson Ross has not been very good despite the 3.38 ERA. He has just an 8.0 K-BB% and has thrived on the back of a .243 BABIP and 5.0 HR/FB, neither of which is very sustainable. Batters are making contact on 93% of swings on pitches in the strike zone and sooner or later, some of his 24.3 LD% (which makes the BABIP even more absurd) are going to turn into fly balls and home runs. While the Red Sox have been a disappointment thus far (79 wRC+ vs RHP), this too is mostly BABIP driven with an 11.8 K-BB% and 19.6 Hard-Soft% vs RHP. This is a firmly positive run environment with weather not expected to impact this game and an extremely hitter friendly umpire behind the plate (Alfonso Marquez). While Ross has shown a substantial platoon split over his career, a 43 Hard% and GB% against RHP over the last calendar year boosts his .273 wOBA against them to .327 by xwOBA. LHBs are hammering him for a wOBA and xwOBA both above .350 over that span. The Red Sox are the top projected offense (5.7 runs) for good reason despite offensive struggles. Load up on bats from either side of the plate with confidence here. Both Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez remain above a 160 wRC+ and .250 ISO vs RHP over the last calendar year and both are above a 140 wRC+ over the last week as well. Andrew Benintendi (136 wRC+, .184 ISO), Mitch Moreland (106 wRC+, .230 ISO) and Xander Bogaerts (125 wRC+, .235 ISO) make the entire top half of this lineup great plays. Add in the fact that Ross is a pitcher the Sox could run on if they choose.
Luke Weaver (finger) scratched Sunday; Tyson Ross will start in his place
Weaver is dealing with a laceration on his finger on his pitching hand, and he will consequentially not make his scheduled start for the St. Louis Cardinals in Sunday’s road matchup against the Kansas City Royals due to the aforementioned finger ailment. He’ll be replaced on the mound by Tyson Ross, who will make his Cardinals debut and, like Weaver, is a right-handed pitcher, so his presence on the bump won’t alter the projected lineup of the Royals hitters in any significant fashion, though the Kansas City bats weren't likely to be heavily targeted options in today's daily fantasy contests, to begin with. That said, still be sure to double check out the projections in LineupHQ for any notable changes prior to submitting lineups for this afternoon’s main slate.
Potent LHBs against pitcher who's been lit up by lefties recently
Tyson Ross enjoyed a resurgence earlier in the season, but has just a 15.3 K% over his last eight starts. Over that span, LHBs have a .419 wOBA against him with five HRs and a 39 Hard%. Since last season, LHBs are at a .366 wOBA and 36.9 Hard%. Despite the negative run environment in San Diego, the Dodgers have the second highest implied run line on the board, even at just 4.38 runs. Though not necessarily cheap, this is a spot where players want to attack with potent left-handed bats in the top half of the lineup. Joc Pederson (121 wRC+, .262 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is expected to leadoff when the lineup is released and costs a very reasonable $4.3K on DK/$3.3K on FD. Max Muncy (166 wRC+, .331 ISO) is much more expensive, but continues to punish RHP like few other batters this year. Hopefully, Cody Bellinger (126 wRC+, .251 ISO) is in the cleanup spot. Each of the first seven batters in the projected lineup is above a 100 wRC+ with only Justin Turner (.174) below a .200 ISO vs RHP, but price is going to be an issue, as there are no cheap bats expected in this lineup.
Best Of The Cheap Options
I really don't like the cheap pitching options but if you want to go below David Price, Tyson Ross is the guy I would look at. I am mainly just buying on that he is a way more talented pitcher than Keller, Chen and McGuire. I don't love these cheap options but Ross gets a good pitching environment in Arizona compared to these other options that are all pitching in tough pitching environments. I am likely not paying below David Price tonight but if you want some big bats this is the guy I trust.
Value bats in Texas could help pave the way to expensive pitching
Tyson Ross seemed rejuvenated through the early part of the season, but has just a 7.5 SwStr% over the last month and now has to return to the place of his greatest failure as a major league pitcher, struggling in his return from injury with the Rangers last season. It's the most positive run environment in play on Tuesday night and Ross has always struggled with LHBs. They have a .354 wOBA against him this season and are within five points of .350 by both wOBA and xwOBA since last season. What makes this even more interesting, considering the price of pitching tonight, is that many of these bats are affordable. Shin-soo Choo (121 wRC+, .202 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is the top bat in the lineup and the most expensive. Joey Gallo (126 wRC+, .321 ISO) finds himself batting eight tonight. Adrian Beltre (120 wRC+, .187 ISO) and Elvis Andrus (109 wRC+, .178 ISO) are perfectly acceptable from the right-side, considering cost and environment. While RHBs have just a .295 wOBA against Ross since last season, xwOBA increases that 33 points, while batters from either side are above a 35% hard hit rate with merely a league average ground ball rate these days.
Could be some upside to bats with the platoon advantage in San Francisco
Even at less than their best, same-handed batters may not be a successful proposition against either Madison Bumgarner or Tyson Ross. Select batters with the platoon advantage in either lineup could have some merit though. LHBs have a .392 wOBA with equal 44.2% ground ball and hard hit rates against Ross over the last month. He's a pitcher with a history of platoon issues (LHBs .351 wOBA, .365 xwOBA since last season). San Francisco is far from an optimal park for LHBs, but Brandon Belt (162 wRC+, .286 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) is so good that he should be considered in this spot. Bumgarner has faced 64 right-handed batters this season. He's struck out just six and allowed six HRs (.381 wOBA). Obviously not this bad when everything's right, the Padres do have a few bats who can mash southpaws, all for well below $4K on either site and in a park that's a bit more fair for RHBs. Jose Pirela (121 wRC+, .180 ISO vs LHP last calendar year), Hunter Renfroe (159 wRC+, .354 ISO) and Christian Villanueva (235 wRC+, .414 xwOBA, .541 ISO) are batters that should be considered. Lineups for this game have not yet been confirmed.
Some high risk, but potentially under-priced mid-range pitching options
The best overall arms tonight are probably the most expensive ones, but there are a number of less expensive pitchers that players should pay attention to as well. Kevin Guasman has a 26.6 K% and 15.9 SwStr% over the last month. His 2.93 SIERA is half his 5.74 ERA over that span. That's due to a .436 BABIP and 22.2 HR/FB over that span that's not entirely unwarranted with a .362 xwOBA. He's a high risk GPP play, but certainly not without upside as there's going to be regression in those numbers and he has a price tag around $7K. Zack Godley has suddenly looked good in two straight starts against the Mets and Rockies (18 Ks, 51 BF), Pittsburgh could be a park upgrade, but the Pirates have just a 19.7 K% vs RHP. His cost is below $8K though. Tyson Ross still has strong season numbers (24 K%, 3.83 SIERA, .324 xwOBA). None of that has changed much over the last month (the SIERA has actually improved 20 points), but the results haven't been as positive (21.2 IP - 11 ER - 3 HR - 6 BB - 18 K last four starts). The Giants have a 17.0 K-BB% vs RHP. Kyle Hendricks has similarly struggled over his last four starts (21 IP - 11 ER - 4 HR - 10 BB - 13 K), but has a long track record of contact suppression with a league average strikeout rate and costs $7.5K against the Reds. Madison Bumgarner is within $400 of $9K on either site. He has not struck out more than three batters in any of his three starts. He has a 7.0 K% and 9.7% Barrels/BBE, but his 84.3 mph aEV and 27.4% 95+ mph EV suggest the contact hasn't been that bad. The Padres are better against LHP, but still have a 91 wRC+ and 17.4 K-BB% against them to go along with their 71 wRC+ and 21.5 K-BB% on the road. Something has to give here.
Tyson Ross has struggled against weak lineups recently, faces a few bats who hit sliders well
Tyson Ross is one of the better pitchers on tonight's four game slate, but he has faltered as of late (15.2 IP - 9 R - 2 HR - 5 BB - 14 K - 47 BF) against the Marlins (twice) and Reds. Batters from either side of the plate are going to get either a four-seam fastball or slider over 90% of the time. This would be a good time to see what PlateIQ says. Each of the first five batters are above a .350 wOBA against the four-seamer since 2016. Freddie Freeman has a .452 wOBA against the pitch and a strong 64.88 IQ Rating overall that's eighth best on the board tonight (available to premium subscribers). Freeman, Ozzie Albies and Tyler Flowers are the only three batters in the lineup with at least a .390 wOBA against four-seam fastballs and also the only ones above a .320 wOBA against sliders since 2016. Even with his early season rejuvenation, Ross has an extreme split this season (LHBs .364 wOBA, RHBs .227 wOBA), though the only real difference is in 10 points of K-BB%. Batters from either side have around a league average ground ball rate and 40% hard hit rate. Albies (100 wRC+, .201 ISO vs RHP last calendar year) and Freeman (146 wRC+, .223 ISO) are obviously stronger plays than Flowers (81 wRC+, .177 ISO).
Good pitchers in bad spots, bad pitchers in good ones on Thursday night
It's not that there aren't good pitchers on a small four game slate tonight. There are. It's not that there aren't any good spots. There are a couple of those too. It's matching up the good pitchers with the good spots that's tricky. The best pitcher on the board is probably Blake Snell. He's the only pitcher above $9K on either site and has a board leading 27.4 K%, 3.48 SIERA, and .291 xwOBA. He's failed to go at least 5.2 innings just twice in 14 starts and has allowed more than two runs just twice. He's also in what is by far the worst spot on the board at Yankee Stadium (119 wRC+, 12 BB%, 17.1 HR/FB at home, 118 wRC+, 10.9 BB%, 17.6 HR/FB vs LHP - all of these numbers are board best splits). David Price (27.2 K%, 3.64 SIERA, and .303 xwOBA last 30 days) and Tyson Ross (24.9 K%, 3.81 SIERA, 3.29 xwOBA this season) are the next best and next most expensive pitchers on the board. They face the Mariners (115 wRC+, 20 K% vs RHP, 142 wRC+, 22.5 HR/FB last seven days) and the Braves (99 wRC+, 20.6 K% vs RHP). Ross has also faltered a bit over his last three starts (15.2 IP - 9 R - 2 HR - 5 BB - 14 K - 47 BF), facing the Marlins twice and the Reds. The best spots on the board go to Anibal Sanchez (8.7 SwStr%, 4.20 SIERA), who actually has a reasonable .316 xwOBA and the lowest aEV (83 mph) on the board, against the Padres (71 wRC+, 21.4 K-BB% on the road, 83 wRC+, 25.8 K% vs RHP) and Matt Koch (13.4 K%, 4.84 SIERA, .430 xwOBA, 90.6 mph aEV, 14.4% Barrels/BBE) against the Mets (31 wRC+, 32.9 K% last seven days). Sanchez may be a top value tonight. He's pitched into the seventh with two runs or less in three of his last four starts (against the Cubs and the Dodgers too). Koch would seem untouchable. The Mets would have to bat from the wrong side of the plate (which might be an improvement) to have much confidence in his profile.